SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Padres are off the betting board and have no odds to win the championship. They are projected to win 73 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 78.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.3% at 15/1, 6.2%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 73.9-76.1. At 68-82 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (-1567 units). They are not good against the spread (71-79) for a -1271 loss. Their under-over record is 71-70 with 9 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 36% chance to beat the Brewers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their average run differential is -0.55 which ranks #12 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #11 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -1.46 which ranks them #13 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Manny Machado who is projected to be the #14 shortstop the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.