San Diego
Padres
Stadium Petco Park
0-0 Overall | NL WEST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Padres00.00
Schedule
Preseason
Fri  3/1
@
Dodgers
W5-4
Sat  3/2
vs
Giants
W7-6
Sun  3/3
@
Rangers
L3-11
Mon  3/4
vs
Indians
W8-0
Tue  3/5
@
White Sox
W7-4
Tue  3/5
vs
Mariners
T7-7
Regular season
Thu  3/28
vs
Giants
4:10pm
Fri  3/29
vs
Giants
10:10pm
Sat  3/30
vs
Giants
8:40pm
Sun  3/31
vs
Giants
4:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

The regular season went worse than expected. They won 66 games vs an expected win total of 69.3. Home field was not an advantage, at least not in terms of meeting expectations. They were OK on the road. Their 38.3% home win percentage was much worse than expected (46.5%). They won 43.2% on the road which was better than expected (39%). We are projecting a +6.3 win improvement next season. They are averaging 72.3 wins per simulation and are projected to finish twelfth in the National League. There is a sizable gap between them and the #11 ranked D-Backs who are projected for 77.1 wins. They are definitely not World Series contenders (less than a 0.1% chance). Their odds of winning it all are 50/1, 2%. Their odds of winning the NL are 25/1, 3.8%. Their chances of making it to the World Series are also basically zero. In the simulations, Manny Machado is not having a huge impact. The Padres improved their projected win total by a shade under 2 wins. As far as superstar players go, Machado has a relatively low on base percentage and home run rate.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is -0.93 which ranks #14 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Padres in all of their games would be down -1716 units. Against the run line, they have lost -1240 units risking 100 units on each pick (81-81 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.

  • screen-shot-2019-03-18-at-10-17-13-am.png
    cbs sports

    Brewers spoof 'Mean Girls'

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
65 Castillo, Jose RP6-524601/10/19961No College
33 Cordero, Franchy CF6-317509/02/19942No College
47 Diaz, Miguel RP6-021411/28/19942No College
41 Erlin, Robbie SP6-019010/08/19905No College
67 France, Ty 3B6-020507/13/19940No College
5 Garcia, Greg 2B6-019008/08/19895No College
8 Guerra, Javy SS5-1115509/25/19951No College
18 Hedges, Austin C6-120608/18/19924No College
30 Hosmer, Eric 1B6-422510/24/19898No College
16 Jankowski, Travis CF6-218506/15/19914No College
60 Kennedy, Brett SP6-020008/04/19941No College
3 Kinsler, Ian 2B6-020006/22/198213No College
46 Lauer, Eric SP6-320506/03/19951No College
38 Loup, Aaron RP5-1121012/19/19877No College
37 Lucchesi, Joey SP6-520406/06/19931No College
13 Machado, Manny 3B6-318507/06/19927No College
7 Margot, Manuel CF5-1118009/28/19943No College
88 Maton, Phil RP6-322003/25/19932No College
27 Mejia, Francisco C5-1018010/27/19952No College
22 Mitchell, Bryan SP6-321004/19/19915No College
4 Myers, Wil RF6-320512/10/19906No College
63 Nix, Jacob SP6-422001/09/19961No College
71 Olivares, Edward RF6-218603/06/19960No College
59 Paddack, Chris SP6-4195No College
61 Perdomo, Luis SP6-218505/09/19933No College
2 Pirela, Jose LF5-1121511/21/19895No College
10 Renfroe, Hunter RF6-122001/28/19923No College
32 Reyes, Franmil RF6-527507/07/19951No College
72 Reyes, Gerardo RP5-1116005/13/19930No College
34 Stammen, Craig RP6-423003/09/19849No College
66 Stock, Robert RP6-121411/21/19891No College
55 Strahm, Matt RP6-318511/12/19913No College
21 Torrens, Luis C6-017505/02/19961No College
9 Urias, Luis 2B5-918506/03/19971No College
80 Villanueva, Christian 3B5-1121006/19/19912No College
57 Wieck, Brad RP6-925510/14/19911No College
58 Wingenter, Trey RP6-720004/15/19941No College
39 Yates, Kirby RP5-1021003/25/19875No College