REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 75 wins. Their 73 actual wins was below expectation. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. They won 38.3% on the road which was worse than expected (42%). They won 42 at home and were expected to win 41. We are currently projecting a drop in wins. They are averaging 71.2 wins per simulation for next season and are projected to finish third to last in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #12 ranked Padres who are projected for 72.3 wins. They are definitely not World Series contenders (less than a 0.1% chance). Their odds of winning it all are 200/1, 0.5%. Their odds of winning the NL are 100/1, 1%. Their chances of making it to the World Series are also basically zero.
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is -0.59 which ranks #12 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #13 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #11 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Giants in all of their games would be down -172 units. Against the run line, they have lost -776 units risking 100 units on each pick (79-83 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.