San Francisco
Giants
Stadium Oracle Park
48-49 Overall | NL WEST 3rd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Giants.2384341034.42
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  7/20
vs
Mets
FS14:05pm
Sun  7/21
vs
Mets
4:05pm
Mon  7/22
vs
Cubs
9:45pm
Tue  7/23
vs
Cubs
9:45pm
Wed  7/24
vs
Cubs
3:45pm
Fri  7/26
@
Padres
10:10pm
Sat  7/27
@
Padres
8:40pm
Sun  7/28
@
Padres
4:10pm
Tue  7/30
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Wed  7/31
@
Phillies
7:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 48-49 the Giants are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 43 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 34 impressive wins where they were given

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.39 which ranks #12 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is +3 (#1 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Giants next 9 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUL 19
CLOSE GAME
51% NYM
--
JUL 20
LIKELY WIN
62% NYM
--
JUL 21
CLOSE GAME
47% NYM
--
JUL 22
CLOSE GAME
56% CHC
--
JUL 23
LIKELY WIN
61% CHC
--
JUL 24
LIKELY LOSS
33% CHC
--
JUL 26
CLOSE GAME
50% @SD
459 miles
JUL 27
CLOSE GAME
41% @SD
-- miles
JUL 28
LIKELY WIN
63% @SD
-- miles
JUL 30
CLOSE GAME
47% @PHI
2519 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 5-4 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 9.9%. At #9 in the league, they are behind the D-Backs by one point. With a -0.99 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Rockies by 1.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Rockies. There is only a 0.26 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Giants are the 4th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Giants are playing 13 games, traveling 13777 miles crossing 13 time zones. They rank #9 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the San Francisco Giants are +162 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Giants are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 2.8% chance of making the playoffs. On 5/2 they had a 0.1% chance before increasing to 3.9% on 7/18. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 5.1%. Before the start of their 6 game winning streak they were at 0.3%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 0.7% (150/1 odds) and a 0.3% chance of winning it all (300/1).

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #7 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #8 Toughest

Giants' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
64 Anderson, Shaun SP6-422510/29/19941Florida
19 Austin, Tyler LF6-222009/06/19914No College
38 Beede, Tyler SP6-321005/23/19932Vanderbilt
9 Belt, Brandon 1B6-423204/20/19889Texas
50 Blach, Ty RP6-222010/20/19904No College
40 Bumgarner, Madison SP6-424208/01/198911No College
35 Crawford, Brandon SS6-222701/21/19879UCLA
8 Dickerson, Alex LF6-322805/26/19903Indiana
49 Dyson, Sam RP6-121005/07/19888South Carolina
58 Gott, Trevor RP6-018508/26/19925Kentucky
45 Holland, Derek RP6-221310/09/198611No College
63 Jerez, Williams RP6-421005/16/19922No College
41 Melancon, Mark RP6-221003/28/198511Arizona
54 Moronta, Reyes RP5-1124101/06/19933No College
12 Panik, Joe 2B6-119910/30/19906No College
1 Pillar, Kevin CF6-020501/04/19897No College
37 Pomeranz, Drew SP6-522811/22/19889Ole Miss
28 Posey, Buster C6-120703/27/198711Florida State
29 Samardzija, Jeff SP6-524001/23/198512Notre Dame
48 Sandoval, Pablo 3B5-1126808/11/198612No College
53 Slater, Austin RF6-219712/13/19923Stanford
13 Smith, Will RP6-524807/10/19897No College
7 Solano, Donovan SS5-1020512/17/19876No College
21 Vogt, Stephen C6-021111/01/19847No College
56 Watson, Tony RP6-321805/30/19859Nebraska
5 Yastrzemski, Mike RF5-1118508/23/19901Vanderbilt