REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 79.3-70.7. They are ahead of expectations with their 84-66 record. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+418 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (81-69) for a +534 profit. Their under-over record is 81-61 with 8 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Washington Nationals. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 16/1, 5.9% (#6). Their simulation based win percentage (5%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the NL at 7/1, 12.5%. Their sim chance is 13.9%. They are projected to win 90 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their playoff chances stand at 90.8% (61.2% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.65 which ranks #5 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #6 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +2.23 (#2 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Paul Goldschmidt who is projected to be the #9 first baseman / DH the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.