REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK
The regular season went better than expected. They won 88 games vs an expected win total of 85.3. Their strength was in road games. They went 45-36 on the road and were expected to win 40.2. Their 53.1% home win percentage was worse than expected (55.8%). Our projected record for next season is similar. They are averaging 87 wins per sim and are projected to finish fourth in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #6 ranked Phillies who are projected for 84.6 wins. They are a contender with a 3.6% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 8.7% chance of reaching the Series. They are not a good futures betting value with championship odds of 12/1, 7.7% and odds to win the NL at 6/1, 14.3%. They are -110 to make the playoffs and -110 to miss the playoffs. This is pretty much exactly what the simulations have which is a 51% chance of making the playoffs.
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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +0.42 which ranks #6 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #10 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG
Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Cardinals in all of their games would have earned a +857 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -546 units risking 100 units on each pick (79-83 PL). The Cardinals have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.