|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 50-46 the Rangers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 43 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 35 impressive wins where they were given
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.01 which ranks #9 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. They are the #9 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 9 games is -3.78 (#13 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The Rangers next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 6.9%. At #8 in the league, they are behind the Red Sox by 2.5 points. With a -1.43 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Angels by one point. With a -1.81 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Rangers are the 10th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 13 games, traveling 22829 miles crossing 28 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Texas Rangers' next game. They are +191 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
Before the season, the Rangers were projected for 71.4 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 4/13 they had a 70.5% chance before increasing to 88% on 6/29. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 81.2%. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #8 in the conference) and have a 1% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 3.2% (30/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Rangers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|1||Andrus, Elvis||SS||6-0||200||08/26/1988||11||No College|
|---||Bird, Kyle||6-3||190||04/12/1993||1||No College|
|14||Cabrera, Asdrubal||3B||6-0||205||11/13/1985||13||No College|
|53||Chavez, Jesse||RP||6-2||175||08/21/1983||12||No College|
|17||Choo, Shin-Soo||DH||5-11||205||07/13/1982||15||No College|
|3||DeShields, Delino||CF||5-9||208||08/16/1992||5||No College|
|50||Federowicz, Tim||C||5-10||215||08/05/1987||8||North Carolina|
|13||Gallo, Joey||CF||6-5||230||11/19/1993||5||No College|
|46||Guerrieri, Taylor||RP||6-2||210||12/01/1992||2||No College|
|11||Guzman, Ronald||1B||6-4||225||10/20/1994||2||No College|
|79||Jimenez, A.J.||C||6-0||192||05/01/1990||1||No College|
|57||Jurado, Ariel||RP||6-1||230||01/30/1996||2||No College|
|27||Kelley, Shawn||RP||6-2||237||04/26/1984||11||No College|
|25||Leclerc, Jose||RP||6-0||190||12/19/1993||4||No College|
|35||Lynn, Lance||SP||6-5||255||05/12/1987||8||Ole Miss|
|74||Martin, Brett||RP||6-4||190||No College|
|31||Martin, Chris||RP||6-8||225||06/02/1986||4||No College|
|2||Mathis, Jeff||C||6-0||205||03/31/1983||15||No College|
|30||Mazara, Nomar||RF||6-4||215||04/26/1995||4||No College|
|12||Odor, Rougned||2B||5-11||195||02/03/1994||6||No College|
|24||Pence, Hunter||DH||6-4||220||04/13/1983||13||No College|
|52||Sampson, Adrian||SP||6-2||200||10/07/1991||3||No College|
|38||Santana, Danny||2B||5-11||190||11/07/1990||6||No College|
|67||Valdez, Phillips||RP||6-3||165||11/16/1991||1||No College|