Texas
Rangers
Stadium Globe Life Park in Arlington
25-23 Overall | AL WEST 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Rangers.257275775.07
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  5/21
vs
Mariners
W5-3
Wed  5/22
vs
Mariners
W2-1
Fri  5/24
@
Angels
W4-3
Sat  5/25
@
Angels
Gametracker
Sun  5/26
@
Angels
4:07pm
Mon  5/27
@
Mariners
9:10pm
Tue  5/28
@
Mariners
10:10pm
Wed  5/29
@
Mariners
3:40pm
Thu  5/30
vs
Royals
8:05pm
Fri  5/31
vs
Royals
8:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 25-23 the Rangers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 21 wins. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 17-8- home record is +23% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (11-8, 58%) is better than their expected 45% win percentage. The Rangers should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 50% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#16 in the league). This is their peak for the season. Back on 4/10 they were at 44.2%. In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #24 winning 44.4%.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.31 which ranks #7 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #6. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #6 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #12 in road games. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.08 which ranks them #8 over this stretch, slightly worse than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
48% @LAA
1203 miles
MAY 26
CLOSE GAME
44% @LAA
-- miles
MAY 27
CLOSE GAME
51% @SEA
982 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
37% @SEA
-- miles
MAY 29
CLOSE GAME
48% @SEA
-- miles
MAY 30
LIKELY WIN
66% KC
1671 miles
MAY 31
LIKELY WIN
65% KC
--
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
56% KC
--
JUN 2
CLOSE GAME
51% KC
--
JUN 4
LIKELY WIN
66% BAL
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 22.4%. At #6 in the league, they are behind the Red Sox by half a point. There is only a -0.1 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games so we do not expect them to pick up ground in the league. They are in a battle with Indians in the league. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Indians. There is only a 0.13 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Rangers are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 15 games, traveling 13635 miles crossing 18 time zones. They rank #12 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Texas Rangers' next game. They are +105 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Rangers are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 4/13 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 11.4% on 4/29. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 9.4%. Before the start of their 5 game winning streak they were at 7.2%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 0.4% (250/1 odds) and a 0.2% chance of winning it all (500/1).

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #13 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #15 Toughest

Rangers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
--- Andrus, Elvis 6-020008/26/198811No College
14 Cabrera, Asdrubal 3B6-020511/13/198513No College
53 Chavez, Jesse RP6-217508/21/198312No College
17 Choo, Shin-Soo LF5-1120507/13/198215No College
43 Dowdy, Kyle P6-119502/03/19931Houston
41 Forsythe, Logan 1B6-120501/14/19879Arkansas
13 Gallo, Joey LF6-523011/19/19935No College
46 Gomez, Jeanmar RP6-321502/10/198810No College
11 Guzman, Ronald 1B6-422510/20/19942No College
79 Jimenez, A.J. C6-019205/01/19901No College
57 Jurado, Ariel RP6-123001/30/19962No College
27 Kelley, Shawn RP6-223704/26/198411No College
9 Kiner-Falefa, Isiah C5-1017603/23/19952No College
25 Leclerc, Jose RP6-019012/19/19934No College
35 Lynn, Lance SP6-525505/12/19878Ole Miss
31 Martin, Chris RP6-822506/02/19864No College
2 Mathis, Jeff C6-020503/31/198315No College
30 Mazara, Nomar RF6-421504/26/19954No College
19 Miller, Shelby SP6-322510/10/19908No College
23 Minor, Mike SP6-422012/26/19878Vanderbilt
12 Odor, Rougned 2B5-1119502/03/19946No College
24 Pence, Hunter DH6-422004/13/198313No College
52 Sampson, Adrian RP6-220010/07/19913No College
38 Santana, Danny 2B5-1119011/07/19906No College
33 Smyly, Drew SP6-319006/13/19896Arkansas
54 Springs, Jeffrey RP6-319309/20/19922No College