Toronto
Blue Jays
Stadium Rogers Centre
20-32 Overall | AL EAST 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Blue Jays.216195574.09
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  5/21
vs
Red Sox
W10-3
Wed  5/22
vs
Red Sox
L / 135-6
Thu  5/23
vs
Red Sox
L2-8
Fri  5/24
vs
Padres
L3-6
Sat  5/25
vs
Padres
L4-19
Sun  5/26
vs
Padres
1:07pm
Mon  5/27
@
Rays
1:10pm
Tue  5/28
@
Rays
7:10pm
Wed  5/29
@
Rays
7:10pm
Fri  5/31
@
Rockies
8:40pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Blue Jays next 9 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 9 out of the 9 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

MAY 25
CLOSE GAME
43% SD
--
MAY 26
LIKELY LOSS
38% SD
--
MAY 27
LIKELY LOSS
35% @TB
1113 miles
MAY 28
LIKELY LOSS
20% @TB
-- miles
MAY 29
LIKELY LOSS
21% @TB
-- miles
MAY 31
LIKELY LOSS
32% @COL
1344 miles
JUN 1
CLOSE GAME
46% @COL
-- miles
JUN 2
CLOSE GAME
47% @COL
-- miles
JUN 4
LIKELY LOSS
37% NYY
--
JUN 5
LIKELY LOSS
37% NYY
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 3-6 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 17.8%. At #12 in the league, they are behind the Mariners by 2 points. With a -1.67 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Tigers in the league. With a +0.53 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Blue Jays are the 10th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blue Jays are playing 13 games, traveling 14742 miles crossing 12 time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Toronto Blue Jays' next game. They are +105 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 20-31 Blue Jays 'should have' 24 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 15 good wins vs 14 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 9-17- home record is -15% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 35.3% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations where the Blue Jays played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.6% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 4/12.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.75 which ranks #10 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #12. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #11 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -1.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Blue Jays were projected for 69.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 4/12 they had a 61.7% chance before increasing to 78.7% on 5/5. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 64.5. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #13 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #3 Toughest

Blue Jays' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
31 Biagini, Joe RP6-523505/29/19904No College
8 Biggio, Cavan 2B6-120304/11/19951Notre Dame
49 Davis, Jonathan CF5-819005/12/19922No College
3 Drury, Brandon 3B6-221008/21/19925No College
16 Galvis, Freddy SS5-1018511/14/19898No College
43 Gaviglio, Sam RP6-219505/22/19903Oregon State
51 Giles, Ken RP6-220509/20/19906No College
15 Grichuk, Randal CF6-120508/13/19916No College
27 Guerrero, Vladimir 3B6-225003/16/19991No College
13 Gurriel, Lourdes 2B6-218510/10/19932No College
46 Hudson, Daniel RP6-322503/09/198710No College
33 Jackson, Edwin SP6-221509/09/198317No College
9 Jansen, Danny C6-222504/15/19952No College
64 Law, Derek RP6-322409/14/19904No College
21 Maile, Luke C6-322502/06/19915Kentucky
58 Mayza, Tim RP6-322001/15/19923No College
45 Pannone, Thomas RP6-019504/28/19942No College
2 Richard, Clayton SP6-524009/12/198311Michigan
59 Rosscup, Zac RP6-222006/09/19886No College
41 Sanchez, Aaron SP6-421507/01/19926No College
14 Smoak, Justin 1B6-422012/05/198610South Carolina
5 Sogard, Eric 2B5-1018505/22/19869Arizona State
6 Stroman, Marcus SP5-818005/01/19916Duke
44 Tellez, Rowdy DH6-422003/16/19952No College
57 Thornton, Trent SP6-017509/30/19931North Carolina