Toronto
Blue Jays
Stadium Rogers Centre
36-62 Overall | AL EAST 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Blue Jays.2314191364.93
Schedule
Regular season
Sun  7/21
@
Tigers
1:10pm
Mon  7/22
vs
Indians
7:07pm
Tue  7/23
vs
Indians
YouT7:07pm
Wed  7/24
vs
Indians
7:07pm
Fri  7/26
vs
Rays
7:07pm
Sat  7/27
vs
Rays
3:07pm
Sun  7/28
vs
Rays
1:07pm
Mon  7/29
@
Royals
8:15pm
Tue  7/30
@
Royals
8:15pm
Wed  7/31
@
Royals
1:15pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 36-62 Blue Jays 'should have' 43 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 29 good wins vs 28 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 18-30- home record is -12% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-10, 41%) is under their expected 43% win percentage. In simulations where the Blue Jays played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.6% of the time (#27 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 5/5.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is -0.93 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #12. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #13 in home games. Their average run differential in their past 10 games is -1.2 which ranks them #10 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 10 games is a mixed bag. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUL 19
LIKELY WIN
68% @DET
611 miles
JUL 20
LIKELY WIN
61% @DET
-- miles
JUL 21
LIKELY WIN
66% @DET
-- miles
JUL 22
CLOSE GAME
40% CLE
206 miles
JUL 23
LIKELY LOSS
38% CLE
--
JUL 24
CLOSE GAME
41% CLE
--
JUL 26
LIKELY LOSS
37% TB
--
JUL 27
LIKELY LOSS
33% TB
--
JUL 28
CLOSE GAME
42% TB
--
JUL 29
CLOSE GAME
43% @KC
844 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 12.1%. At #13 in the league, they are fighting with the Royals for positioning. With a +0.87 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Tigers by 4.5 points. With a +1.19 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blue Jays are the 12th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blue Jays are playing 14 games, traveling 5918 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #28 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Toronto Blue Jays' next game. They are -161 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Blue Jays were projected for 69.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 5/5 they had a 78.7% chance before dropping to 55.7% on 6/12. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 63.4.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #13 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #5 Toughest

Blue Jays' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • default-player-image
    Scout Staff

    Ken Giles Day-to-Day With Nerve Issue

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
31 Biagini, Joe RP6-523505/29/19904No College
8 Biggio, Cavan 2B6-220004/11/19951Notre Dame
3 Drury, Brandon 3B6-221008/21/19925No College
--- Font, Wilmer RP6-426505/24/19905No College
16 Galvis, Freddy SS5-1018511/14/19898No College
43 Gaviglio, Sam RP6-219505/22/19903Oregon State
51 Giles, Ken RP6-220509/20/19906No College
15 Grichuk, Randal CF6-120508/13/19916No College
27 Guerrero, Vladimir 3B6-225003/16/19991No College
13 Gurriel, Lourdes LF6-218510/10/19932No College
37 Hernandez, Teoscar LF6-218010/15/19924No College
46 Hudson, Daniel RP6-322503/09/198710No College
9 Jansen, Danny C6-222504/15/19952No College
64 Law, Derek RP6-322409/14/19904No College
21 Maile, Luke C6-322502/06/19915Kentucky
58 Mayza, Tim RP6-322001/15/19923No College
28 McKinney, Billy RF6-120508/23/19942No College
--- Pannone, Thomas 6-019504/28/19942No College
35 Phelps, David RP6-220010/09/19867Notre Dame
41 Sanchez, Aaron SP6-421507/01/19926No College
50 Shafer, Justin RP6-219509/18/19922Florida
14 Smoak, Justin 1B6-422012/05/198610South Carolina
5 Sogard, Eric 2B5-1018505/22/19869Arizona State
6 Stroman, Marcus SP5-818005/01/19916Duke
57 Thornton, Trent SP6-017509/30/19931North Carolina
62 Waguespack, Jacob RP6-622511/05/19931Ole Miss