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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

In simulations the Nationals have a 40 percent chance to beat the Yankees and just a 27 percent chance to beat their likely opponent, the Houston Astros. Their odds to win it all are 2/1, 33.3% (#2). They win the championship in 28.4% of simulations. They are a good bet to win the NL at 1/2, 66.7%. Their sim chance is 100%. They were a -105 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 63.1% at 2/1, 33.3%. Their regular season win total had them at #3 in the NL.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 162 games, their expected win percentage is 56% based on the money line odds. At 93-69 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down -2 units. They are one of the best teams against the spread (92-70) for a +1216 profit. Their over-under record is 76-76 with 10 pushes. Their 93-69 record this season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90-72. They broke even against the money line. They were down slightly (-2) against the money line. They were very good against the spread going 92-70 for (+1216 profit). They went over 76 times and came in under 76 times.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.95 which ranks #2 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #4 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 9 games is +1.44 which ranks them #1 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team this season led by Anthony Rendon who was the #2 third baseman. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the position rankings.