SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 25/1, 3.8% (#7). Even with the juice, the Nationals are a good betting value. Their 6.2% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the NL at 12/1, 7.7%. Their sim chance is 13.7%. They are projected to win 92 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 89. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs, but they do not have a great chance of winning their division (0%). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 74.6-60.4. At 77-58 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up +8 units. They are one of the best teams against the spread (77-58) for a +1017 profit. Their over-under record is 64-64 with 7 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the New York Mets. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.91 which ranks #2 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #4 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +4.58 which ranks them #1 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Anthony Rendon who is projected to be the #1 third baseman the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.