headshot
Javier
Baez
College None
Team Chicago Cubs
9SS
6'0"Height
190Weight
26Age
6Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Javier Baez's Fantasy Scouting Report

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Javier Baez is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #1 while his projection (rest of week 9) rank is #7. Week 10 second basemen comparisons show these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Asdrubal Cabrera (18.2 FP), Daniel Murphy (16.6 FP), DJ LeMahieu (18.3 FP), Jose Altuve (16.8 FP), and Ketel Marte (17.8 FP). Starting in all virtually all leagues he is expected to produce 22.9 fantasy points (WK 10). Owners expect him to be the most productive second baseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #10 second baseman. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 6.5 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 3 which is less than his actual per game average (3.7).

He is projected for 16.4 fantasy points in week 10 (#10 2B) in 5 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start %s the market values Javier Baez over Torres and the projections agree.
  • Javier Baez last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/24): Baez is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 12 FD pts (#5 among shortstops). He is the #4 highest priced shortstop ($4100). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Xander Bogaerts is also priced at $4100, and Baez is a better option at this price. Instead of Baez consider these better options at lower salaries: Adalberto Mondesi (13.5 FP) and Gleyber Torres (12.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.8 FPs, a value reached in 91 of 208 games (44%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 44%.

    Baez is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 5/24, Javier Baez is the #1 ranked second baseman based on ownership percentage (100%) and fantasy rankings. Our projections indicate that Javier Baez is slightly overrated by the market. His fantasy second baseman projection rank is #3. There are other second basemen with virtually the same market rank (Jose Altuve, Whit Merrifield, Gleyber Torres 100% Owned) and Baez ranks #3 out of 4. There are 4 second basemen that are owned in all leagues and Javier Baez is projected to be the least productive for the rest of the season. He can be considered slightly overvalued and expect his ranking among 100% owned second basemen to go down. He is projected for 320 fantasy points in 103 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#4) based on projected fantasy average. The market values Javier Baez over Merrifield but the projections do not.

    He has more relative strengths than weaknesses which makes him a better value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 9 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 18.9 FPs in 2 of them.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 13.8 FD points and 11.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 19 and 25.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGABRHHRRBIBBKOSBCSAVGOBPSLG
    2019CHC4719436621233136122.319.360.603
    2018CHC1606061011763411129167219.290.326.554
    2017CHC14546975128237530144103.272.316.479
    2016CHC14242150115145915108123.273.314.422
    2015CHC28764221442412.289.325.407
    2014CHC522132536920159551.169.227.323
    Career (6 Seasons)5741979291539933021065995120.272.313.483
    YEARTEAM2B3BTBSFSHHPIBGDP
    2019CHC17111710024
    2018CHC409336415810
    2017CHC2422252611510
    2016CHC191178211138
    2015CHC603100010
    2014CHC606900105
    Career (6 Seasons)1121395698182937
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    March3145600261220.467.857.4291200000
    April2410218297171663101.324.578.2845900021
    May197312269031162601.400.603.3564410003
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Home2389132910141662802.365.596.3265310003
    Away2310022326081773120.364.620.3206200021
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Day177611247141342612.350.592.3164500011
    Night2911324379082093310.374.619.3277010013
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Ariz.6265621123600.310.500.2311300020
    vs. Atl.3131200110500.154.385.154500001
    vs. Cin.3141510000500.357.429.357600000
    vs. LA-AL290330020300.333.667.333600000
    vs. LA-NL3113500241101.5001.000.4551100000
    vs. Miami72781330262800.500.815.4812210001
    vs. Milw.62627201231201.345.462.2691200001
    vs. Phil.241200121200.6001.250.500500000
    vs. Pitt.3131310020400.231.308.231400000
    vs. Sea.2102320120300.300.800.300800000
    vs. St.L.3124410120500.333.667.333800001
    vs. Texas3145600261220.467.857.4291200000
    vs. Wash.3102210022300.333.300.200300000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Great American Ball Park3141510000500.357.429.357600000
    Nationals Park3102210022300.333.300.200300000
    T-Mobile Park2102320120300.300.800.300800000
    Marlins Park3136810240300.6151.154.6151500000
    SunTrust Park3131200110500.154.385.154500001
    Wrigley Field2389132910141662802.365.596.3265310003
    Miller Park3122200112700.286.417.167500000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Lefthanded Pitcher203081311584901.4861.033.4333110000
    vs. Righthanded Pitcher46159274815072595021.339.528.3028400024
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Turf3143410112300.375.571.286800020
    Grass4317532571511132115622.364.611.32610710004
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Pre All-Star4618935611611233135922.365.608.32311510024
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    RISP424623155022051002.385.565.3262610022
    RISP w/Two out28241010402142601.462.833.4172000010
    Runners on Base4593253010122392822.379.516.3234810024
    Bases Empty4596103160101043100.350.698.3236700000
    Bases Loaded1157100020200.200.200.200100000
    Late Inning Pressure192431150131810.480.792.4581900010
    LIP-Runners On11102520021410.545.700.500700010
    with 0 outs3867823505701410.343.642.3434300001
    with 1 out39511413303751611.316.490.2552510013
    with 2 outs397113258141982901.418.662.3524700010
    Leading Off3145414304401100.311.644.3112900000
    1st Inning322767300441001.344.370.2591010001
    >= 7th Inning45581424806961410.469.862.4145000010
    Extra Innings360310001000.571.667.500400010
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Lineup Slot 33130510011400.429.462.385600000
    Lineup Slot 44217535551511231125522.356.617.31410810024
    Lineup Slot 71101000100001.0001.0001.000100000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Playing SS4518835601611232135922.361.606.31911410024
    Pinch Hitter1101000100001.0001.0001.000100000
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    03/28@W12-4522002401000.400.600.400
    03/30@L8-6422000110100.444.111.455
    03/31@L11-10512000101100.429.857.438
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    04/01@L8-0401000000000.389.722.400
    04/03@L6-4500000003000.304.565.320
    04/04@L9-4411001102000.296.630.310
    04/05@L13-10400000004000.258.548.273
    04/06@W14-8521001112000.250.583.275
    04/07@L4-2301000011000.256.564.289
    04/08vsW10-0512000103000.273.545.300
    04/10vsL5-2401100101000.271.542.296
    04/11vsW2-0400000000000.250.500.276
    04/12vsW5-1400000003000.232.464.258
    04/13vsL6-5503300200000.262.525.284
    04/15@W7-2523100101000.288.545.306
    04/16@W4-0423001100000.314.600.329
    04/17@W6-0422001202000.324.635.338
    04/19vsW5-1510000003000.304.595.318
    04/20vsL6-0400000000000.289.566.303
    04/21vsW2-1312110110000.302.605.319
    04/23vsW7-2322001110000.315.640.333
    04/24vsW7-6411001300000.312.656.330
    04/25vsL2-1402000001010.320.649.336
    04/26@L8-3412001101000.327.673.342
    04/27@W9-1422100010000.333.676.350
    04/28@W6-5600000012000.315.640.336
    04/30@W6-5500000002000.302.612.323
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    05/01@W11-0523201201000.314.653.333
    05/03vsW4-0401000103000.312.640.331
    05/04vsW6-5422001101000.318.659.336
    05/05vsW13-5421100001000.316.654.333
    05/06vsL6-5411100012000.314.650.333
    05/07vsW5-2302100101000.321.657.340
    05/08vsW3-2401000101000.319.646.338
    05/09vsW4-1311000011000.320.639.339
    05/10vsL7-0401000002010.318.629.337
    05/11vsW2-1702100003000.316.620.335
    05/12vsW4-1302100110000.323.627.343
    05/14@W3-1502000000000.325.620.344
    05/15@L6-5501000004000.322.608.340
    05/16@L4-2412100001000.326.611.344
    05/17@W14-6422100122000.330.615.350
    05/18@L5-2300000001000.324.604.345
    05/19@W6-5300000100000.319.595.340
    05/21vsW3-2101000100000.323.597.343
    05/22vsW8-4311001112000.323.608.344
    05/23vsL9-7511100002000.320.603.341
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 22 May 2019

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 21 May 2019

    Javier Baez Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Javier Baez Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?
  • 20 May 2019

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Javier Baez Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations