SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

The back-hip slider in and under the hands was victimizing Bellinger against RHP throughout 2018, as pitchers seemed to be figuring him out in his sophomore season. He hit 14 fewer home runs, drove in 21 fewer runs, and his SLG% dropped over .100 points when comparing it to his rookie year, all in 30 more games played. His hard-hit percentage decreased 7.6% and barrel percentage decreased 3.6% with his exit velocity staying about the same. With the dodgers trading away a lot of power in Puig & Kemp, expect Bellinger to make the adjustment of getting the barrel on the ball more and having a big comeback year in the top of the dodgers batting order.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Cody Bellinger is projected to be the #4 rated player of 6 1B/DHs who are owned in 100% of leagues. If you sort these 6 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #1 rated player. He can be considered overvalued and expect his ranking among 100% owned 1B/DHs to go down. He is projected for 414 fantasy points in 124 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #5 highest average. The market values Cody Bellinger over Freeman but the projections do not.

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

His value comes in the form of stolen bases which can make him more valuable in certain leagues (rotisserie, higher points per SB).

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Cody Bellinger is a bad value this week. He has a market rank of #1 while his projection (week 5) rank is #10. Week 5 1B/DHs comparisons show instead of Bellinger consider these better options at lower start percentages: Shin-Soo Choo (19 FP), Nelson Cruz (20 FP), Joey Votto (18 FP), Freddie Freeman (20 FP), and Giancarlo Stanton (20 FP). Starting in all virtually all leagues he is expected to produce 22.5 fantasy points (WK 5). Owners expect him to be the most productive 1B/DH of the week, but he is projected to be the #10 1B/DH. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 4.9 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 3.2 which is less than his actual per game average (6.4).

He is projected for 17.6 fantasy points in week 5 (#10 1B/DH) in 5 games.

Cody Bellinger last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 4/21 VS MIL

• 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R, 1 SB, 1 BB
• FanDuel: $5100, 40.7 FPs (+$6892 value, +23.4 FPs)
• DraftKings: $5700, 31 FPs (+$10360 value, +20 FPs)

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has been consistent. Out of his 4 weeks all have been within 50% of his 35 weekly FP average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 20.5 FD points and 15 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 2 and on FanDuel it was 3 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 26 and on FanDuel it was 40.3 FPs. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more bad than good games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.