headshot
Jose
Berrios
College None
Team Minnesota Twins
17SP
6'1"Height
185Weight
24Age
4Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Jose Berrios's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Jose Berrios is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 37 FD pts (#3 among pitchers). At $9900 he is expected to be the #6 pitcher. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Berrios is worth $9.9K. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Kyle Hendricks (31.9 FP), Blake Snell (35.8 FP), and Walker Buehler (34.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 37.1 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 42 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 49%.

  • 5/24 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: MIN 5.1 (#7 Most Today) vs CHW 3.9 (#25 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 36.95 Fantasy Points (#2), 0.57 wins (#1), 0.19 losses (#7 lowest), 6.48 strikeouts (#2), 6.04 innings (#2), 1.15 WHIP (#11), 3.29 ERA (#8),

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 20.1 DraftKings pts Jose Berrios is the #4 ranked pitcher. He is the #5 highest priced pitcher ($10200). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $10.7K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Noah Syndergaard (22.1 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Robbie Ray (19 FP) and Shane Bieber (17.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 19.1 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 42 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 47%.

Berrios is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among starting pitchers for the rest of week 9 is #10, which is better than his market rank of #13. When compared to other starting pitchers in week 10 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Zack Greinke (9.9 FP), Rich Hill (5.6 FP), Gio Gonzalez (5.3 FP), Jeff Samardzija (3.9 FP), and David Price (2.9 FP). Starting in 86% of leagues he is expected to produce 6 fantasy points (WK 10). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #14 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #37 starting pitcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 3.1 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 2.9 which is less than his actual per game average (4.9).

He is projected for 2.9 fantasy points in week 10 (#40 SP) in 2 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start percentages, Jose Berrios is valued behind Marquez and above Ryu but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 10.
  • Jose Berrios last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    The latest projections exactly match what is expected of Jose Berrios, at least in terms of position ranking. As of 5/24, Jose Berrios is the #13 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (98%). Projections also rank him #13. He is projected for 96 fantasy points in 23 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#19) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jose Berrios behind Syndergaard and above Greinke but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    His overall ranking is boosted by getting a lot of wins playing on a good team. His ERA and WHIP rank is not as high as his overall fantasy rank.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 6.1 fantasy points per week and had 5 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 3 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 36.3 points and on DraftKings it was 19.5 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019MIN101063.76206011613.391.1300
    2018MIN3232192.312110202611593.831.1421
    2017MIN2625145.71480139481313.891.2200
    2016MIN141458.33704935748.021.8600
    Career (4 Seasons)8281460.0352804501554254.321.2621
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019MIN242492054720.810210.460
    2018MIN8382251311741880.910210.900
    2017MIN7163151301221630.701711.860
    2016MIN5652125050680.710117.590
    Career (4 Seasons)234221613314004910.8311211.990
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March1001100007.220000110000096.080
    April313.6955000031.2281313627315001487.235
    May213.233000019.22377303131000281.291
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home41355000033321111415332001484.250
    Away213.12440000262199516214000380.221
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day412.1655000033.12288315372001481.182
    Night214.2144000025.2311212616174000383.304
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Balt.204.5220000121566313133001205.306
    vs. Clev.1001100007.220000110000096.080
    vs. Det.102.71100006.24221117000098.167
    vs. Hou.102.5711000077221005000088.259
    vs. K.C.003.8611000077331004100086.269
    vs. LA-AL017.941100005.2125520331000101.444
    vs. Phil.01311000062221037100098.100
    vs. Tor.10011000074000005000092.160
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Kauffman Stadium003.8611000077331004100086.269
    Oriole Park at Camden Yards106110000684431352000104.333
    Target Field41355000033321111415332001484.250
    Rogers Centre10011000074000005000092.160
    Citizens Bank Park01311000062221037100098.100
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Turf10011000074000005000092.160
    Grass523.46880000524920209211496001772.247
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star623.05990000595320209211546001864.238
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP009.9590000012.291414401150001177.200
    RISP w/Two out006.759000005.13441016000184.158
    Runners on Base005.6390000024171515404256001328.205
    Bases Empty001.29900000353655527290000536.257
    Bases Loaded0013.51000000.2011000100005.000
    Late Inning Pressure0004000004.12000013000059.133
    LIP-Runners On0002000000.2000000000003.000
    with 0 outs002.2190000020.12155114163000309.259
    with 1 out003.5490000020.11788411171000266.230
    with 2 outs003.4490000018.11577406212001289.221
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances523.4577000044.14417178210405001682.256
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    > 5 Days Rest314.8144000024.1311313627234001404.310
    5 Days Rest212.33440000272077303212000364.204
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter623.05990000595320209211546001864.238
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/28vsW1-000.001007.7200011000096
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/02@L1-001.931007.073310400086
    04/07@L1-102.251006.022213700098
    04/14vsW2-102.421006.742211710098
    04/20@W3-103.091006.0844335100104
    04/27vsW4-103.081006.0722008010101
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/02vsW5-103.001007.072210500088
    05/07@W6-102.601007.040000500092
    05/13vsL6-203.161005.71255233000101
    05/18@L6-203.541004.7844006010105
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Is Berrios Worth More than Nola in Fantasy?

    Is Berrios Worth More than Nola in Fantasy?
  • 22 May 2019

    Is Berrios Worth More than Syndergaard in Fantasy?

    Is Berrios Worth More than Syndergaard in Fantasy?
  • 21 May 2019

    Who is Worth More Over the Rest of the Season - Berrios vs Syndergaard

    Who is Worth More Over the Rest of the Season - Berrios vs Syndergaard
  • 20 May 2019

    Are 89% of Berrios Owners Correctly Starting Him in Week 9?

    Are 89% of Berrios Owners Correctly Starting Him in Week 9?