headshot
Brad
Keller
College None
Team Kansas City Royals
56SP
6'5"Height
230Weight
23Age
2Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Brad Keller's Fantasy Scouting Report

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 5 rankings vs other starting pitchers these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: CC Sabathia (1.9 FP), Anibal Sanchez (1.7 FP), Rich Hill (3.4 FP), Jon Lester (2.7 FP), and Jeff Samardzija (1.7 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other starting pitchers starting in more leagues: Robbie Ray (1.4 FP) and Jameson Taillon (1.4 FP). Starting in 70% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.7 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #37 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #73 starting pitcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 1.2 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 1.5 which is less than his actual per game average (3.2).

He is projected for 1.5 fantasy points in week 5 (#74 SP) in 2 games.


  • Based on 4/20 start percentages, Brad Keller is valued behind Boyd and above Fried but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 5.
  • Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (90%), Brad Keller is expected to be the #49 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. The market is higher on Brad Keller than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #60. There are other starting pitchers with virtually the same market rank (Yu Darvish, Ross Stripling 90% Owned) and Keller ranks #2 out of 3. He is projected for 54 fantasy points in 25 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Brad Keller behind Gray and above Stripling but the projections rank Stripling over Brad Keller.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 4/17 VS CHW

    • 5 IP, 3 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.6 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $8500, 18 FPs (-$2072 value, -5.8 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 4 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 4 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 33.9 points and on DraftKings it was 19.7 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019KC5530.72102617192.641.1700
    2018KC4120140.396096501333.071.3010
    Career (2 Seasons)4625171.01170122671523.001.2810
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019KC9923236281.300111.450
    2018KC50487211801221.500811.862
    Career (2 Seasons)59579532161501.400911.790
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March10011000072000015000092.087
    April113.3833000018.213771212180101328.194
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home201.8333000019.210441210200101311.147
    Away014.5110000653300330000109.227
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day112.082200001373300480000201.156
    Night102.8422000012.2844129150101219.178
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Chi-A10011000072000015000092.087
    vs. Clev.101.351100006.2311115100001118.130
    vs. Det.014.5110000653300330000109.227
    vs. Minn.004.5110000653301450100101.227
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Kauffman Stadium201.8333000019.210441210200101311.147
    Comerica Park014.5110000653300330000109.227
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Grass212.4544000025.215771213230101420.167
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star212.4544000025.215771213230101420.167
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP007.230000053440042000176.176
    RISP w/Two out0013.530000022330031000137.250
    Runners on Base004.9140000011666015100101169.162
    Bases Empty000.6140000014.2911118130000251.170
    Bases Loaded0001000000.2000000000004.000
    Late Inning Pressure0001000001000000000009.000
    with 0 outs0024000009522004100000139.161
    with 1 out002.164000008.152212490000147.167
    with 2 outs003.244000008.153300540101134.172
    w/Bases Full 2 Out0001000000.2000000000004.000
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances212.4544000025.215771213230101420.167
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    > 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    5 Days Rest113.3833000018.213771212180101328.194
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter212.4544000025.215771213230101420.167
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/28vsW1-000.001007.020001500092
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/02vsL1-002.081006.0533045100101
    04/07@L1-102.841006.0533033000109
    04/12vsW2-102.521006.73111510110118
    04/17@L2-102.701005.042214310091
    Past Projections
  • 19 Apr 2019

    Keller is Projected For 2 FPs and Starting in 74% of Leagues in WK5

    Keller is Projected For 2 FPs and Starting in 74% of Leagues in WK5
  • 18 Apr 2019

    Keller Projected to Average 2 FPs (#51 SP) And Meet Expectations

    Keller Projected to Average 2 FPs (#51 SP) And Meet Expectations
  • 17 Apr 2019

    Brad Keller's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

    Brad Keller's Rest of Season Value is Surprising
  • 16 Apr 2019

    Brad Keller Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Brad Keller Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?