2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: BENCH PLAYER
Byron Buxton is projected to be a outfielder worth having on the bench and potentially starting in certain situations. In our latest projection he is the #80 outfielder based on total projected fantasy points. In 2018, he was owned in 26 percent of leagues so he has had fantasy relevance in the past. He is projected to average 2.27 fantasy points per game in 138 games.
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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
He was the number #189 ranked OF and the #686 ranked player overall. His OF ranking drops to #200 when basing it on average fantasy points. We split his 27 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 10 games he averaged 1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (0.4 FP) and his ending average (0.6 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Buxton when he 'goes off' is 4 fantasy points (his average is 0.7FPs).
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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON
It is not a good sign to see a drop-off in production in a young player. His average fantasy points decreased by 67% this season.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
Out of 7 fantasy weeks he had one where he was +50% above his weekly average of 2.7 fantasy points. He had one bad week where he came up 50% below average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
He averaged 5.9 FD points and 4.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 12.7 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more bad than good games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.