headshot
Carlos
Carrasco
College None
Team Cleveland Indians
59SP
6'3"Height
212Weight
31Age
9Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Carlos Carrasco's Fantasy Scouting Report

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Carlos Carrasco is projected to be an elite fantasy starting pitcher and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #11 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 4.72 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Carlos Carrasco was the number #8 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (32). Based on average fantasy points he is the #9 SP. We split his 32 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 11 games he averaged 5.4 fantasy points which was higher than his start (4 FP) and his ending average (3.5 FP). His standard deviation divided by his average is 2.47 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 4.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Carrasco is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His average fantasy points decreased by 16% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 5.5 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 9 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 41.6 points and on DraftKings it was 24.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 4.9 and on FanDuel it was 9 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 38.1 fantasy points and 62 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Past Projections
  • 05 Dec 2018

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#11 SP)

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#11 SP)
  • 04 Dec 2018

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#10 SP)

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#10 SP)
  • 29 Nov 2018

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 SP)

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 SP)
  • 26 Nov 2018

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 SP)

    Carlos Carrasco is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 SP)
  • Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2018CLE3230192.017100231431733.371.1220
    2017CLE3232200.01860226461733.281.0910
    2016CLE2525146.31180150341343.321.1411
    2015CLE3030183.714120216431543.631.0731
    2014CLE4014134.0871140291032.550.9811
    2013CLE15746.71403018646.811.7700
    2012CLE000.00000000.000.0000
    2011CLE2121124.789085401304.631.3610
    2010CLE7744.72203814473.861.3810
    2009PHI-CLE5522.30401111408.952.3000
    Career (11 Seasons)2071711094.079621112727810183.711.18103
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2018CLE787221641831481.210910.410
    2017CLE7373211021901531.2001010.300
    2016CLE645421321571211.311410.530
    2015CLE757418521881241.51059.920
    2014CLE40387311421121.31049.070
    2013CLE363541260451.310216.170
    2012CLE00000000.0000 ---0
    2011CLE686415431601171.420312.610
    2010CLE201961160282.100112.620
    2009PHI-CLE232260134162.131020.770
    Career (11 Seasons)477451119331811748641.41023810.930
    2017 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    April222.0455000035.12188517340401487.175
    May303.955000030231313339311103468.215
    June315.6855000025.1291616419310100448.290
    July213.3155000032.2311212436391202512.254
    August324.566000034331717319401002539.254
    September501.4866100042.23677216512002604.231
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home743.991515000094.29342421352110726061426.263
    Away1122.6517171000105.1803131852511932041632.210
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day732.871313000081.273262673198833041255.242
    Night1133.5719191000118.110047471472713825061803.231
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Balt.100110000670000010000095.292
    vs. Bos.0111.882200008.114111121471001159.378
    vs. Chi-A301.2344100029.11744212280300383.172
    vs. Cin.005.681100006.154402460100104.217
    vs. Det.411.8266000039.23588129450202599.240
    vs. K.C.214.5330000181999104161001261.275
    vs. LA-AL002.841100006.16221205010199.261
    vs. Minn.300.9233000019.21522205300001319.211
    vs. NY-AL017.941100005.26550026000097.273
    vs. Oak.114.7322000013.11077413170000197.208
    vs. Sea.112.6322000013.21244202131100205.240
    vs. S.F.003110000662210261001106.261
    vs. T.B.103.8622000011.2855105160003181.190
    vs. Texas10102200009101010414140000156.286
    vs. Tor.10011000073000007100097.130
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Guaranteed Rate Field200.5322100017611101170100203.111
    Fenway Park00271100001.26551031000156.600
    Great American Ball Park005.681100006.154402460100104.217
    Progressive Field743.991515000094.29342421352110726061426.263
    Kauffman Stadium0110.381100004.15550023000077.278
    Oakland Coliseum017.111100006.165520210000096.250
    Oriole Park at Camden Yards100110000670000010000095.292
    Target Field201.5922000011.1922204160000207.220
    Safeco Field101.591100005.26110026100099.273
    Rogers Centre10011000073000007100097.130
    Tropicana Field1001100008200002100001106.077
    AT&T Park003110000662210261001106.261
    Comerica Park201.8330000201544022200001308.205
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Turf20022000015500002171001203.102
    Grass1663.5530301000185168737321104420948092855.245
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Post All-Star833.121515100095.1873333941911241061444.244
    Pre All-Star1033.4417170000104.28640401262711417041614.227
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP0012.083000000383151514311420105586.238
    RISP w/Two out008.27280000016.1111515035240001271.183
    Runners on Base006.5320000080.160585864188658091085.230
    Bases Empty001.133200000119.211315151562814000011973.238
    Bases Loaded00272000001.11440002000019.250
    Late Inning Pressure002.5710000007822100111000118.286
    LIP-Runners On003.386000002.22110005100043.222
    with 0 outs002.09320000073.166171772157003021154.243
    with 1 out004.6432000006659343495178101031008.249
    with 2 outs003.26320000060.24822225314755405896.212
    w/Bases Full 2 Out00812000000.1133000000004.500
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances601.2777100049.24277216592002687.231
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter1863.29323210002001737373211046226580103058.235
    > 5 Days Rest723.521414000084.1763333116199427041310.246
    5 Days Rest1043.1117171000110933838932612531061670.229
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    Globe Life Park in Arlington103.181100005.24221117000078.200
    2017 Game Log
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/04@W1-003.601005.742211710078
    04/11vsL1-002.251007.041110700095
    04/16vsL1-102.501006.7422155010102
    04/22@W2-101.731008.0300018000106
    04/28vsL2-202.121008.0633207000106
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/03@W3-202.251006.052201501091
    05/09@W4-201.911007.030000700097
    05/15vsL4-202.701003.765513602075
    05/23@L4-203.051006.3544046200104
    05/29vsW5-203.001007.0422217100101
    JUNE
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    06/03@L5-303.491004.355502300077
    06/11vsW6-303.501005.372201410085
    06/16@W7-303.351006.3411137000113
    06/21@W8-303.111006.0700001000095
    06/26vsL8-303.831003.368833700078
    JULY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    07/01@W9-303.641007.0411017100114
    07/07vsW10-303.561007.0922011100097
    07/14@L10-403.791006.3655221000096
    07/19@L10-403.741006.0622126010106
    07/26vsL10-403.711006.362210521099
    AUGUST
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    08/01@L10-404.051001.765513101056
    08/06vsL10-504.251005.765502600097
    08/11@W11-503.991008.02000210010106
    08/17@W12-503.911005.051111900094
    08/22vsL12-604.131006.7866116100103
    08/27vsW13-603.931007.060000800083
    SEPTEMBER
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    09/01@L13-603.821007.0611008100103
    09/06@W14-603.661109.031110900097
    09/11vsW15-603.541006.070001900092
    09/16vsW16-603.621006.7844125010101
    09/23@W17-603.571005.761102600099
    09/28vsW18-603.421008.36000114010112