2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Carlos Carrasco is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #10 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 97 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 5.14 fantasy points per game in 32 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.
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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Carlos Carrasco was the number #14 ranked SP. His elite ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #15 SP. We split his 32 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 11 games he averaged 5.4 fantasy points which was higher than his start (4 FP) and his ending average (3.5 FP). His standard deviation divided by his average is 2.47 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Carrasco when he 'goes off' is 18 fantasy points (his average is 4.3FPs).
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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON
Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His fantasy average dropped by 16 percent.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 5.5 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 9 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 41.6 points and on DraftKings it was 24.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 4.9 and on FanDuel it was 9 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 38.1 fantasy points and 62 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.