As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Nelson Cruz is projected to be a must start first baseman next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #7 (at 1B/DH). In 2018, he was owned in 98 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.39 fantasy points per game in 138 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Nelson Cruz was the number #10 ranked 1B and the #40 ranked player overall. His elite ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #11 1B. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 49 games he averaged 3.9 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (2.4 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Cruz can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 3.1 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 19 fantasy points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His fantasy point average held steady over the past 2 seasons, which is a good sign given his advancing age.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 26 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 16.9 FPs in 5 of them. He had 5 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 10.7 points and on DraftKings it was 7.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 17 and on FanDuel it was 24.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.