headshot
Nelson
Cruz
College None
Team Minnesota Twins
23RF
6'2"Height
230Weight
38Age
14Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Nelson Cruz's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Nelson Cruz is projected to be a must start first baseman next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #7 (at 1B/DH). In 2018, he was owned in 98 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.39 fantasy points per game in 138 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Nelson Cruz was the number #10 ranked 1B and the #40 ranked player overall. His elite ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #11 1B. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 49 games he averaged 3.9 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (2.4 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Cruz can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 3.1 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 19 fantasy points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His fantasy point average held steady over the past 2 seasons, which is a good sign given his advancing age.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 26 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 16.9 FPs in 5 of them. He had 5 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 10.7 points and on DraftKings it was 7.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 17 and on FanDuel it was 24.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGABRHHRRBIBBKOSBCSAVGOBPSLG
2018SEA1445197013337975512210.256.341.508
2017SEA15555691160391197014011.287.375.548
2016SEA15558996169431056215920.286.359.555
2015SEA1525909017844935916432.301.369.566
2014BAL15961387166401085514045.270.333.525
2013TEX1094134911027763510951.266.326.506
2012TEX1595858615224904814084.259.319.459
2011TEX1244756412529873311695.263.311.509
2010TEX1083996012722783881174.318.373.576
2009TEX12846275120337649118204.259.332.523
2008TEX311151938726172831.330.421.608
2007TEX963073572934218724.234.287.384
2006TEX41130152962273210.223.260.384
2005MIL8511002000.200.428.400
Career (15 Seasons)156957588381580360101155114367631.274.341.518
YEARTEAM2B3BTBSFSHHPIBGDP
2018SEA1812643014515
2017SEA2803057012715
2016SEA271327709515
2015SEA22133410596
2014BAL322322505817
2013TEX180209404214
2012TEX45026940527
2011TEX28124230218
2010TEX313230611512
2009TEX21124220269
2008TEX917000121
2007TEX15211811215
2006TEX305010001
2005MIL10200000
Career (15 Seasons)2981329844426253125
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
March262200240000.3331.333.333800000
April1667418603721200.300.493.2693300111
May25899201051682310.340.404.2253610804
June26952031311124141800.418.726.3266900123
July2268101510412102000.333.412.2212810213
August2710014274081982100.330.550.2705500112
September2694112030415132800.312.372.2133510102
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Home762613857802151296500.312.490.21812830815
Away6825832761011646265710.372.527.295136006410
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Day431542136611126123800.302.500.2347700316
Night10136549971202671438410.358.512.266187301149
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
vs. Ariz.250200001200.500.400.400200000
vs. Balt.5174710246200.565.824.4121400010
vs. Bos.72651011394300.467.846.3852200010
vs. Chi-A6241510040200.200.250.208610000
vs. Clev.6233720360400.333.783.3041800100
vs. Col.5112100003500.286.091.091100011
vs. Det.5192300012710.273.158.158300100
vs. Hou.19727185041122000.280.486.2503500102
vs. K.C.3111200000000.182.182.182200000
vs. LA-AL1863121800816101800.408.667.2864200304
vs. LA-NL3101200012400.333.200.200200000
vs. Minn.4141300130200.313.429.214600200
vs. NY-AL6225510112800.292.409.227900000
vs. Oak.17669120041442000.247.364.1822410212
vs. S.D.4153410231100.313.733.2671100001
vs. S.F.261100001100.286.167.167100000
vs. T.B.7234510245500.379.522.2171200102
vs. Texas18676215041271600.397.567.3133810311
vs. Tor.7253700385200.400.640.2801600002
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Guaranteed Rate Field3130310020100.231.308.231400000
Coors Field220100000100.500.500.500100000
Angel Stadium of Anaheim93461100493900.410.676.3242300202
Fenway Park3134811271100.6431.308.6151700010
Progressive Field4171520120400.333.588.2941000100
Oakland Coliseum9354600153900.256.257.171900112
Oriole Park at Camden Yards281300132200.500.750.375600010
Target Field130100000000.500.333.333100100
Safeco Field762613857802151296500.312.490.21812830815
Rogers Centre3100200014000.429.200.200200002
PETCO Park282200120000.250.625.250500001
Tropicana Field4124200224200.412.667.167800101
Yankee Stadium3114410111400.417.727.364800000
Comerica Park3131300011410.286.231.231300000
Minute Maid Park937311201611100.316.432.2971600001
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
vs. Lefthanded Pitcher721432338711122223410.373.559.2668010346
vs. Righthanded Pitcher13937647951102675338800.329.489.253184201119
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Turf7224400238200.419.455.1821000103
Grass1374976612918135944712010.338.511.2602543013512
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Post All-Star632313156801542225700.314.472.24210920315
Pre All-Star8128839771012255336510.363.538.2671551011410
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
RISP120138384230860283710.431.500.3046930558
RISP w/Two out6962122320330121300.487.548.3713400240
Runners on Base1372544972501676356510.387.492.2831253010515
Bases Empty13326521611312121205700.294.525.23013900400
Bases Loaded21810310060200.375.500.375400001
Late Inning Pressure6267820404862200.373.537.2993600200
LIP-Runners On393159201541200.405.452.2901400200
with 0 outs1161691841601120164310.325.473.2438010508
with 1 out1261773450801840214000.371.633.28211220517
with 2 outs116173184241837183900.328.416.2437200440
Leading Off991128245088102500.296.473.2145300300
1st Inning9680141800621102200.337.450.2253610402
>= 7th Inning137159144170616184310.344.415.2586600334
Extra Innings650310011100.714.800.600400100
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Lineup Slot 31242510213351300.319.548.2382300013
Lineup Slot 41284746512216034944910710.343.506.2572403014412
Lineup Slot 8110000000100.000.000.000000000
Lineup Slot 9320100001100.667.500.500100000
CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
Playing OF4152400120400.267.467.267700001
Designated Hitter1365016812818136955411610.343.511.2552563014514
Pinch Hitter430100001200.500.333.333100000
2018 Game Log
MARCH
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
03/29vsW2-1311001200000.333.333.333
03/31vsL6-5311001200000.333.333.333
APRIL
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
04/14vsW10-8511000001000.273.818.273
04/15vsL2-1400000001000.200.600.200
04/16vsW2-1311001110000.222.722.250
04/17vsL4-1300000001000.190.619.217
04/18vsL7-1400000001000.160.520.185
04/19vsL9-2401000001000.172.483.194
04/20@W6-2402200010000.212.545.243
04/21@W9-7513001201000.263.632.286
04/22@L7-4502100001000.279.628.298
04/23@L10-4400000001000.255.574.275
04/24@W1-0400000000000.235.529.255
04/25@W4-3503100200000.268.554.283
04/26@W5-4401100001000.267.550.281
04/27@L6-5400000001000.250.516.265
04/28@W12-4514101200000.290.594.301
04/29@W10-4400000002000.274.562.286
MAY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
05/01vsW6-3411001301000.273.584.284
05/02vsL3-2400000004000.259.556.271
05/03vsW4-1311001200000.262.583.273
05/04vsL5-0400000001000.250.557.261
05/05vsW9-8311000021000.253.549.273
05/06vsL8-2300000001000.245.532.265
05/08@W5-0402000110000.255.531.278
05/09@L5-2300000010000.248.515.274
05/10@W9-3300000020000.240.500.275
05/12@L4-3913000102100.248.487.279
05/13@L5-4400000012000.239.470.274
05/14@W1-0301000000000.242.467.275
05/15vsW9-8110000001000.240.463.273
05/18vsW5-4310000012000.234.452.271
05/19vsW7-2300000001000.228.441.265
05/23@W1-0400000002000.221.427.258
05/24@L4-3401000001000.222.422.258
05/25vsW2-1301000100000.225.420.259
05/26vsW4-3411001200000.225.437.259
05/27vsW3-1400000002000.219.425.253
05/28vsW2-1401000101000.220.420.253
05/29vsL9-5412001100000.227.442.259
05/30vsL7-6503100101000.239.453.268
05/31vsW6-1312001300000.247.475.275
JUNE
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
06/01vsW4-3502100100000.251.479.278
06/02vsW3-1301000110000.253.476.281
06/03vsW2-1300000003000.249.468.277
06/05@W7-1412000001000.254.469.281
06/06@L7-5412001211000.260.486.288
06/07@W5-4300000011000.255.478.286
06/08@W4-3310000001000.251.471.282
06/09@L7-3311001120000.253.484.286
06/10@W5-4321001110000.254.497.289
06/11vsW5-3322002311000.260.531.296
06/12vsW6-3400000000000.255.520.291
06/13vsW8-6411001201000.255.529.290
06/14vsL2-1300000010000.251.522.288
06/15vsW7-6300000011000.248.514.286
06/16vsW1-0401000101000.248.509.286
06/17vsL9-3311001110000.249.521.288
06/19@L7-2311001102000.250.532.288
06/20@L7-5511000001000.249.524.287
06/21@L4-3322100011000.254.531.293
06/22@L14-10524002700000.266.562.302
06/23@W7-2423100010000.274.570.310
06/24@L5-0401010001000.274.573.309
06/25@W5-3300000021000.270.566.308
06/28@W4-2513001301000.277.578.313
06/29vsW4-1400000000000.273.569.309
06/30vsW6-4412000000000.276.568.311
JULY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
07/01vsW1-0300000000000.273.562.308
07/03vsW4-1321001112000.274.570.310
07/04vsL7-4401000102000.273.566.309
07/05vsW4-1101000030000.276.567.315
07/06vsL7-1400000002000.272.559.311
07/07vsL5-1400000002000.268.551.307
07/08vsW6-4120000030000.267.549.310
07/10@L9-3300000012000.264.543.308
07/11@W3-0301000200000.265.541.308
07/12@L11-2301000011000.266.538.310
07/14@L4-1101000000000.268.540.312
07/15@L4-3100000001000.267.538.311
07/20vsW3-1301000200000.268.536.311
07/21vsL5-0400000001000.264.529.307
07/22vsW8-2411000000000.264.525.307
07/24vsL4-3411000001000.264.521.306
07/25vsW3-2200000010000.262.518.306
07/27@L4-3412001101000.265.528.308
07/28@L11-5422002201000.268.546.310
07/29@W8-5511000101000.267.541.308
07/30vsW2-0301100201000.268.542.308
07/31vsL5-2400000002000.265.535.305
AUGUST
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
08/01vsL8-3411001100000.264.541.305
08/02vsL7-3422002300000.267.559.307
08/03vsL7-2400000001000.264.552.304
08/04vsL5-1301000010000.265.550.305
08/05vsW6-3412001401000.267.558.307
08/06@W4-3502000011000.269.556.309
08/07@L11-4311001110000.270.563.310
08/08@L11-7400000001000.267.556.307
08/09@W8-6501000101000.266.551.306
08/10@W5-2402200201000.268.556.308
08/11@W3-2412000001000.271.556.309
08/12@W4-3400000001000.268.550.306
08/13@L7-6301000121000.269.548.308
08/14@L3-2401000101000.268.545.308
08/15@W2-0400000001000.266.539.305
08/17vsL11-1201000011000.267.539.307
08/18vsW5-4411000111000.267.536.307
08/19vsL12-1400000002000.264.530.305
08/20vsW7-4501100002000.263.529.304
08/21vsL3-2100000001000.263.528.303
08/22vsL10-7422101100000.265.537.305
08/25@W4-3502000002000.267.535.305
08/26@L5-2000000010000.267.535.306
08/28@L2-1411001100000.266.540.306
08/29@L8-3411000100000.266.537.305
08/30@W7-1410000000000.264.532.303
08/31@L7-5422001101000.266.539.305
SEPTEMBER
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
09/01@W8-7410000111000.263.534.303
09/02@L8-2401000101000.263.531.303
09/03vsW2-1301000010000.264.530.303
09/04vsL5-3211000020000.265.530.306
09/05vsW5-2422101110000.267.538.308
09/07vsL4-0400000001000.265.534.306
09/08vsL4-2300000011000.263.530.305
09/09vsW3-2411000002000.263.528.304
09/11vsL2-1400000000000.260.523.302
09/12vsL5-4312101111000.263.533.305
09/13@W8-2422001302000.265.539.306
09/14@W5-0300000010000.263.535.305
09/15@W6-5502000001000.265.534.306
09/17@W4-1401000001000.265.532.306
09/18@L7-0400000003000.263.527.303
09/19@W9-0401000101000.262.525.303
09/21@L8-3300000011000.261.522.302
09/22@W13-0402000211000.263.521.304
09/23@L6-1400000001000.261.517.302
09/24vsL7-3401000001000.261.515.302
09/25vsW10-8512001302000.262.520.303
09/26vsL9-3210000111000.261.518.302
09/27vsL2-0400000003000.259.514.300
09/28vsW12-6311100121000.259.515.302
09/29vsW4-1400000000000.257.511.300
09/30vsW3-1200000002000.256.509.299
Past Projections
  • 11 Feb 2019

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)
  • 07 Feb 2019

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)
  • 04 Feb 2019

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#7 1B/DH)
  • 28 Jan 2019

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#6 1B/DH)

    Nelson Cruz is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#6 1B/DH)