headshot
Rafael
Devers
College None
Team Boston Red Sox
113B
6'0"Height
237Weight
22Age
3Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Rafael Devers's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 6.9 DraftKings pts Rafael Devers is the #14 ranked third baseman. At $4700 he is expected to be the #5 third baseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3.9K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Asdrubal Cabrera (9.3 FP), Justin Turner (8 FP), Manny Machado (8 FP), Jose Ramirez (7.5 FP), and Miguel Sano (7.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.3 FPs, a value reached in 64 of 182 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 39%.

  • 5/24 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: BOS 4.2 (#21 Most Today) vs HOU 4.3 (#18 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 6.87 Fantasy Points (#13), 4.09 plate appearances (#8), 0.244 BA (#23), 0.696 OPS (#28), 0.12 HR (#17), 0.44 RBI (#18), 0.51 runs (#10), 0.06 stolen bases (#4),

FANDUEL VALUE: Devers is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 9 FD pts (#19 among third basemen). At $3700 he is expected to be the #8 third baseman. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Devers is worth $3K. There are 2 other options at $3700 (Mike Moustakas, Matt Chapman) and Devers is ranked #3 among the 3. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Asdrubal Cabrera (12.6 FP), Justin Turner (10.5 FP), Manny Machado (10.6 FP), Eugenio Suarez (10.5 FP), and Jose Ramirez (10 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 11 FPs, a value reached in 65 of 182 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 42%.

Devers is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Rafael Devers is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #10 while his projection (rest of week 9) rank is #20. In week 10 rankings vs other third basemen Tommy La Stella (19.5 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. He is projected for more points than 3 other third basemen starting in more leagues: Mike Moustakas (17.8 FP), Alex Bregman (18.3 FP), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (16.9 FP). Starting in 89% of leagues he is expected to produce 18.3 fantasy points (WK 10). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #9 third baseman of week 10. He is projected to be better than that (the #7 third baseman).

He is projected for 18.8 fantasy points in week 10 (#7 3B) in 7 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start percentages, Rafael Devers is valued behind Moustakas and above Chapman but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 10.
  • Rafael Devers last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 5/24, Rafael Devers is the #10 ranked third baseman based on ownership percentage (97%). Our projections indicate that Rafael Devers is slightly overrated by the market. His fantasy third baseman projection rank is #12. There are other third basemen with virtually the same market rank (Josh Donaldson, Justin Turner 97% Owned) and Devers ranks #2 out of 3. He is projected for 299 fantasy points in 104 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#20) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Rafael Devers behind Chapman and above Donaldson and the projections agree.

    If stolen bases are important to your league, his value is higher.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 18.1 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 2 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 11.7 points and on DraftKings it was 9.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0 and on FanDuel it was 3 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 16 and on FanDuel it was 24.4 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGABRHHRRBIBBKOSBCSAVGOBPSLG
    2019BOS501893560629203263.317.383.481
    2018BOS1214505910821663812152.240.298.433
    2017BOS5822234631030185731.283.337.482
    Career (3 Seasons)2298611282313712576210146.268.327.456
    YEARTEAM2B3BTBSFSHHPIBGDP
    2019BOS1309111122
    2018BOS24019520069
    2017BOS14010700035
    Career (3 Seasons)5103933111116
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    March4174620002310.421.471.353800000
    April268511246008121732.378.353.2823001101
    May198218284061961121.382.610.3415010021
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Home238414296021591321.409.488.3454101011
    Away26100192960412111842.363.470.2904710111
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Day19681527301671031.453.485.3973300001
    Night30116183190521132132.344.474.2675511121
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Ariz.3102200002200.333.200.200200000
    vs. Balt.7222500003401.320.227.227501000
    vs. Chi-A4186620162200.381.611.3331110010
    vs. Col.292100111200.200.444.111400010
    vs. Det.4111410042101.462.455.364500000
    vs. Hou.3120100000400.083.083.083100001
    vs. NY-AL260200000210.429.333.333200100
    vs. Oak.7255620012510.296.320.240800000
    vs. Sea.73181540173320.529.710.4842200000
    vs. T.B.5182620013511.429.444.333800001
    vs. Tor.52251010372110.500.909.4552000000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Guaranteed Rate Field4186620162200.381.611.3331110010
    Fenway Park238414296021591321.409.488.3454101011
    Oakland Coliseum4131100001400.143.077.077100000
    Oriole Park at Camden Yards3110300001201.333.273.273300000
    T-Mobile Park4174620002310.421.471.353800000
    Rogers Centre3144600351110.4671.071.4291500000
    Tropicana Field3112320012211.385.455.273500001
    Yankee Stadium260200000210.429.333.333200100
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    vs. Lefthanded Pitcher2950101430121900.308.400.2802000100
    vs. Righthanded Pitcher46134234490525192263.409.507.3286811022
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Turf93581120365521.400.629.3142200001
    Grass401492547100321152642.380.443.3156611121
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Pre All-Star491843358120627203163.383.478.3158811122
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    RISP41442711401215521.320.409.2501811020
    RISP w/Two out262211520193010.320.455.2271000010
    Runners on Base478828276012271563.354.409.3073611022
    Bases Empty45965316055131600.409.542.3235200100
    Bases Loaded1064200061000.375.333.333210000
    Late Inning Pressure22253810013401.393.360.320900010
    LIP-Runners On15123200011201.231.167.167200010
    with 0 outs396082020467821.403.567.3333401010
    with 1 out415713195001171432.409.421.3332410102
    with 2 outs42671219502106910.342.448.2843000010
    Leading Off293931320336400.422.615.3332400000
    1st Inning14123610150210.462.833.5001010000
    >= 7th Inning48621118203991421.380.468.2902901022
    Extra Innings551100001200.333.200.200100010
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Lineup Slot 2152210000000.400.600.400300000
    Lineup Slot 35212400002610.261.190.190400000
    Lineup Slot 4294410000000.444.556.444500000
    Lineup Slot 514561319305136920.397.661.3393710010
    Lineup Slot 62075102470114111223.407.453.3203401011
    Lineup Slot 74132400001410.400.308.308400101
    Lineup Slot 8240000000000.000.000.000000000
    Lineup Slot 91101000000001.0001.0001.000100000
    CATEGORYGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSOBPSLGAVGTBSFSHHBPIBBGDP
    Playing 3B471793357120627203063.388.486.3188711122
    Designated Hitter130000000100.000.000.000000000
    Pinch Hitter220100000000.500.500.500100000
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    03/28@L12-4501000002000.200.200.200
    03/29@W7-6311100011000.250.375.300
    03/30@L6-5412000010100.333.417.375
    03/31@L10-8522100000000.353.471.381
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    04/01@L7-0300000013000.300.400.346
    04/02@L1-0401000000000.292.375.333
    04/03@W6-3510000001000.241.310.286
    04/04@L7-3100000000000.233.300.278
    04/05@L15-8411000001000.235.294.275
    04/06@L5-4311000010000.243.297.289
    04/07@W1-0300000011000.225.275.280
    04/09vsL7-5402000000000.250.295.296
    04/11vsW7-6412100210000.271.333.317
    04/12vsW6-4300000001000.255.314.302
    04/13vsL9-5321000011000.259.315.309
    04/14vsW4-0300000000000.246.298.296
    04/15vsL8-1201000010000.254.305.307
    04/16@L8-0200000001000.246.295.299
    04/17@L5-3402000001100.262.308.309
    04/19@W6-4411100101000.261.319.306
    04/20@W6-5401100000000.260.329.303
    04/21@W4-3311000021110.263.329.313
    04/23vsL7-4301000010000.266.329.317
    04/24vsW11-4411000210010.265.325.318
    04/25vsW7-3402100201000.276.345.324
    04/27vsL2-1301000011000.278.344.328
    04/28vsL5-2402000002000.287.351.333
    04/29vsW9-4422100010100.296.367.341
    04/30vsW5-1401100101000.294.373.338
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSHBPAVGSLG%YTD OBP%
    05/01vsW7-3422000000000.302.377.343
    05/02@L6-4300000211000.294.367.338
    05/03@W6-1522001300000.298.395.340
    05/04@W15-2522100111000.303.403.344
    05/05@W9-2522100000000.306.411.346
    05/06@L4-1300000001000.299.402.340
    05/07@W8-5301000011000.300.400.341
    05/08@W2-1502000000010.304.400.343
    05/10vsW14-1513101400000.314.436.351
    05/11vsW9-5413000210100.326.444.361
    05/12vsW11-2523100100000.336.456.368
    05/14vsL5-4521001101000.331.468.363
    05/15vsW6-5400000011000.323.456.357
    05/17vsL3-1400000002000.315.444.350
    05/18vsL7-3400000001000.307.434.343
    05/19vsW4-3401000001000.306.429.341
    05/20@W12-2523001300100.314.451.347
    05/21@L10-3312001110000.320.472.353
    05/22@W6-5611001101000.315.478.348
    05/23@W8-2522100201000.317.481.349
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Rafael Devers Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

    Rafael Devers Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations
  • 22 May 2019

    Daily Fantasy Projection: Rafael Devers

    Daily Fantasy Projection: Rafael Devers
  • 21 May 2019

    Rafael Devers Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Rafael Devers Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?
  • 20 May 2019

    Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Devers to Escobar

    Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Devers to Escobar