2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Josh Donaldson is projected to be an elite fantasy third baseman and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #9 (at 3B). In 2018, he was owned in 90 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.02 fantasy points per game in 146 games.
SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
He was the #336 ranked fantasy player this season and the #32 3B. Not playing many games certainly was the main reason for the disappointing season. Based on average fantasy points he was the #13 3B. We split his 52 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 17 games he averaged 3.5 FPs and that declined to 2.7 in his final 18 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Donaldson can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 2.7 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 13 fantasy points.
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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON
Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His fantasy average dropped by 23 percent.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
Out of 11 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 12.8 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 11 points and on DraftKings it was 8.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 14 and on FanDuel it was 18.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.