DAILY FANTASY VALUE
Adam Duvall is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 8.8 FD pts (#40 among outfielders). He is the #111 highest priced outfielder ($2200). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Duvall is worth $3.1K. There are many other options (16) at $2200 and Duvall is ranked #2 among the 17. Brian Goodwin (9.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Curtis Granderson (2.5 FP), Adam Jones (6.1 FP), Nick Markakis (8.7 FP), Matt Kemp (6.6 FP), and Alex Gordon (8.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Duvall but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.1 FPs, a value reached in 63 of 138 games (46%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 49%.
- 3/28 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: ATL 4.6 (#11 Most Today) vs PHI 5 (#5 Most)
- PROJECTION (POS RANK): 8.77 Fantasy Points (#39), 3.9 plate appearances (#12), 0.214 BA (#126), 0.667 OPS (#116), 0.13 HR (#33), 0.57 RBI (#10), 0.43 runs (#54), 0.02 stolen bases (#89),
WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE
When compared to other outfielders in week 1 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Dexter Fowler (8 FP), Jason Heyward (8 FP), Robbie Grossman (8 FP), Lonnie Chisenhall (9 FP), and Kevin Pillar (9 FP). Matt Kemp (5 FP), Jay Bruce (5 FP), Brett Gardner (7 FP), Marwin Gonzalez (5 FP), and Billy Hamilton (5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Duvall but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 8% of leagues he is expected to produce 6.6 fantasy points (WK 1). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #80 outfielder of week 1. He is projected to be better than that (the #74 outfielder). His per game projected FP average is 2.4 which is better than his actual per game average (2.1).
He is projected for 6.7 fantasy points in week 1 (#74 OF)
in 3 games.
Based on 3/22 start percentages, Adam Duvall is valued behind Brinson and above Kiermaier but the projections rank Adam Duvall over Brinson in week 1.
Adam Duvall last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.
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REST OF SEASON VALUE
As of 3/22, Adam Duvall is the #80 ranked outfielder based on ownership percentage (25%). His projection based outfielder rank is #52. There could be an opportunity to acquire him while the market is still not as high on them as the projections are. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better outfielder option available. He is projected for 364 fantasy points in 151 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#133) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Adam Duvall behind Brinson and above Kiermaier but the projections rank Adam Duvall over Brinson.
His value decreases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative weaknesses than strengths.