2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Freddie Freeman is projected to be a must start first baseman next season. In our latest projection he is the #5 first baseman based on total projected fantasy points. In 2018, he was owned in 100 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.09 fantasy points per game in 154 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down slightly from where he finished last season.
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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Freddie Freeman was the #11 ranked fantasy player this season and the #2 1B. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (162). Based on average fantasy points he is the #6 1B. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 53 games he averaged 3.8 FPs and that declined to 2.8 in his final 54 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. He averaged 3.2 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 16 fantasy points.
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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON
Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a downward trend. His fantasy average dropped by 16 percent.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 19.4 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% vs just one bad week.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 11.5 points and on DraftKings it was 8.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 15 and on FanDuel it was 22.2 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.