headshot
Kyle
Gibson
College Missouri
Team Minnesota Twins
44SP
6'6"Height
215Weight
31Age
7Exp
R/RBats/Throws
Kyle Gibson's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Gibson is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 13.7 DK pts (#16 among pitchers). He is the #6 highest priced pitcher ($8800). Based on 6/19 salaries and projected points per dollar, Gibson is worth $6.9K. Instead of Gibson consider these better options at lower salaries: Jon Lester (16.5 FP), Jake Arrieta (14.3 FP), Andrew Heaney (22.3 FP), Patrick Corbin (18.4 FP), and Eduardo Rodriguez (15.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 17.5 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 45 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 47%.

  • 6/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: MIN 4.9 (#7 Most Today) vs BOS 4.6 (#12 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 13.73 Fantasy Points (#15), 0.32 wins (#11), 0.39 losses (#13 lowest), 5.16 strikeouts (#10), 5.7 innings (#11), 1.47 WHIP (#19), 4.39 ERA (#18),

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 28.1 FanDuel pts Kyle Gibson is the #21 ranked pitcher. He is the #14 highest priced pitcher ($8000). Based on the projection, Gibson is worth $7.5K. Instead of Gibson consider these better options at lower salaries: Jon Lester (31.4 FP), Jake Arrieta (28.7 FP), Marco Gonzales (29.2 FP), Chris Bassitt (33.7 FP), and Zach Davies (30.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 29.9 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 45 games (53%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 44%.

Gibson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Kyle Gibson is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #64 while his projection (rest of week 13) rank is #99. Week 14 starting pitchers comparisons show instead of Gibson consider these better options at lower start percentages: Anibal Sanchez (3.4 FP), Jhoulys Chacin (2.1 FP), Danny Duffy (3.9 FP), Michael Pineda (2.3 FP), and Brad Peacock (2.3 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other starting pitchers starting in more leagues: Madison Bumgarner (1.2 FP), Masahiro Tanaka (1.5 FP), and Jack Flaherty (1.4 FP). Starting in 57% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.4 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #53 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #69 starting pitcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 0.8 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 0.8 which is less than his actual per game average (3.1).

He is projected for 1.6 fantasy points in week 14 (#73 SP) in 4 games.


  • Based on 6/19 start percentages, Kyle Gibson is valued behind Marquez and above Heaney but the projections rank Heaney over Kyle Gibson in week 14.
  • Kyle Gibson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among starting pitchers is #77. Based on ownership percentage (87%), Kyle Gibson has a market rank of #64 among starting pitchers. Kyle Gibson's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. There are other starting pitchers with virtually the same market rank (Yu Darvish, Caleb Smith 87% Owned) and Gibson ranks #2 out of 3. He is projected for 22 fantasy points in 18 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#81) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Kyle Gibson behind Paddack and above Darvish but the projections rank Kyle Gibson over Paddack.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 3.6 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 5 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 32.8 FD points and 21.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 7.8 and on FanDuel it was 23 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 32.8 and on FanDuel it was 55 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019MIN131375.37307717713.701.1600
    2018MIN3232196.710130179791773.611.3000
    2017MIN2929158.012100121601825.071.5300
    2016MIN2525147.36110104551755.071.5610
    2015MIN3232194.711110145651863.831.2810
    2014MIN3131179.313120107571784.461.3100
    2013MIN101051.02402920696.521.7400
    Career (7 Seasons)1721721002.06164076235310384.411.3820
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019MIN3631114085571.500410.990
    2018MIN887923422351521.520811.900
    2017MIN938924601981261.620414.130
    2016MIN898320431881271.540914.290
    2015MIN888318762591591.620711.930
    2014MIN918912202681451.8201111.890
    2013MIN383775062531.200416.590
    Career (7 Seasons)523491115321112958191.61204712.780
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    April204.8855000027.2261615418242101469.241
    May323.3455000029.2291411526360202465.261
    June10011000056100113000088.286
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home303.24440000251899226240101385.205
    Away324.177000037.1432217729392202637.283
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day413.2866000035.2361513534322301555.255
    Night214.3955000026.22516134111310002467.253
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Balt.202.0822000013833110121001194.170
    vs. Chi-A101.2911000075111119010098.200
    vs. K.C.009.641100004.28651022110084.364
    vs. LA-AL104.761100005.26330025000188.300
    vs. NY-NL005.791100004.26332036000097.300
    vs. NY-AL013.6110000575211250001100.350
    vs. Sea.01611000069442006010091.346
    vs. T.B.10011000056100113000088.286
    vs. Tor.103.9722000011.1655104150000182.154
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Kauffman Stadium009.641100004.28651022110084.364
    Oriole Park at Camden Yards10311000065220006100189.217
    Target Field303.24440000251899226240101385.205
    T-Mobile Park01611000069442006010091.346
    Citi Field005.791100004.26332036000097.300
    Rogers Centre101.5110000621110111000088.100
    Tropicana Field10011000056100113000088.286
    Yankee Stadium013.6110000575211250001100.350
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Turf200.8222000011821112140000176.195
    Grass424.3899000051.15329258313492303846.266
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star623.751111000062.161312694156323031022.254
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP0012.15100000013.1152318217140103231.300
    RISP w/Two out0019.890000058131121460101101.400
    Runners on Base006.41110000026.2272419227222303391.287
    Bases Empty001.77110000035.23477728410000631.233
    Bases Loaded00542000000.11220000000010.500
    Late Inning Pressure0001000000.1000000000006.000
    with 0 outs002.051100000222155315250001377.247
    with 1 out002.95110000021.119107114181101319.244
    with 2 outs006.63110000019211614526201201326.273
    w/Bases Full 2 Out0001000000.1000000000008.000
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances522.5977000041.2381612647450202658.244
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    > 5 Days Rest403.1266000034.23013124310330101570.233
    5 Days Rest223.524400002323129413281102368.258
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter623.751111000062.161312694156323031022.254
    2019 Game Log
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/03@L0-0011.251004.786512200084
    04/09@L0-009.001004.763323600097
    04/16vsL0-008.311005.344403400094
    04/21@W1-006.631006.052200601089
    04/28vsW2-005.191007.0311106100105
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/03@L2-104.941005.0752125110100
    05/08@W3-104.381006.0211111100088
    05/14vsW4-104.501005.763302501088
    05/19@L4-204.691006.094420600091
    05/25vsW5-204.251007.051111910098
    JUNE
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    06/01@W6-203.901005.061001310088
    06/08@L6-304.291005.085522800094
    06/14vsW7-303.821008.020000601088
    Past Projections
  • 18 Jun 2019

    Gibson Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection

    Gibson Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection
  • 17 Jun 2019

    Starting in 47% of Leagues, Projections Show Gibson Meeting Expectations in WK 13

    Starting in 47% of Leagues, Projections Show Gibson Meeting Expectations in WK 13
  • 16 Jun 2019

    Starting in 47% of Leagues, Projections Show Gibson Meeting Expectations in WK 13

    Starting in 47% of Leagues, Projections Show Gibson Meeting Expectations in WK 13
  • 15 Jun 2019

    Gibson Fantasy Week 13 Projection vs Expectation

    Gibson Fantasy Week 13 Projection vs Expectation