headshot
Marco
Gonzales
College None
Team Seattle Mariners
7SP
6'1"Height
199Weight
27Age
5Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Marco Gonzales's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 27.3 FanDuel pts Marco Gonzales is the #12 ranked pitcher. At $7500 he is expected to be the #9 pitcher. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $7.6K. Instead of Gonzales consider these better options at lower salaries: Andrew Heaney (30.4 FP), Austin Voth (32.1 FP), Alex Young (27.3 FP), and Zach Plesac (30 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 26.9 FPs, a value reached in 29 of 49 games (59%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 42%.

  • 7/16 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: SEA 4.3 (#25 Most Today) vs OAK 5.2 (#12 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 27.33 Fantasy Points (#11), 0.3 wins (#16), 0.42 losses (#25 lowest), 4.32 strikeouts (#21), 6.07 innings (#2), 1.16 WHIP (#6), 3.85 ERA (#9),

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 14 DraftKings pts Marco Gonzales is the #11 ranked pitcher. At $8100 he is expected to be the #9 pitcher. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $8K. These are 4 better options at lower salaries: Jack Flaherty (15.2 FP), Austin Voth (18 FP), Alex Young (14.5 FP), and Zach Plesac (16.1 FP). He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Andrew Cashner (13.4 FP), Michael Pineda (11.8 FP), Dylan Cease (12 FP), and Bryse Wilson (13.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.1 FPs, a value reached in 27 of 49 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 44%.

Gonzales is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among starting pitchers for the rest of week 17 is #83, which is less than his market rank of #69. In week 18 rankings vs other starting pitchers Brendan McKay (4.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. David Price (3.4 FP), Charlie Morton (3.2 FP), Madison Bumgarner (2.1 FP), Lance Lynn (2.4 FP), and Michael Pineda (3.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Gonzales but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 44% of leagues he is expected to produce 1 fantasy points (WK 18). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #65 starting pitcher of week 18. He is projected to be better than that (the #24 starting pitcher). His per game projected FP average is 2.4 which is better than his actual per game average (0.4). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing a projected 2 games.

He is projected for 4.8 fantasy points in week 18 (#24 SP) in 4 games.


  • Based on 7/16 start percentages, Marco Gonzales is valued behind Stroman and above Davies but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 18.
  • Marco Gonzales last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 7/16, Marco Gonzales is the #69 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (80%). Our projections indicate that Marco Gonzales is overrated by the market. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #79. He is projected for 13 fantasy points in 12 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#83) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Marco Gonzales behind Porcello and above Davies but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 0.5 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 7 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 26.2 FD points and 14.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -3 and on FanDuel it was 6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 23.7 and 41 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019SEA2121120.7108087331304.471.3500
    2018SEA2929166.71390145321723.991.2210
    2017SEA11840.01103211596.071.7500
    2016STL000.00000000000
    2015STL112.700011713.53.0000
    2014STL10534.74203121324.151.5200
    Career (6 Seasons)7264364.328200296984004.471.3610
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019SEA746014511151510.811112.530
    2018SEA767417601711601.170211.340
    2017SEA272781045371.210215.970
    2016STL0000000000000
    2015STL44100522.500027.000
    2014STL161641133380.910014.020
    Career (6 Seasons)197181441323693881.0101512.620
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March204.7622000011.1168620282010163.327
    April302.1455000033.22998107261000464.234
    May055.8666000027.23527185310182000472.313
    June425.29660000343822203112240000613.277
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home446990000486039324213354010763.303
    Away533.071010000058.25827207218411000949.259
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day255.988000039.25133264217272010687.313
    Night723.49111100006767332672144930001025.259
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Bos.114.822200009.1138510472010189.317
    vs. Chi-N0116.21100001.25631032000049.500
    vs. Hou.014.3522000010.1115500580000177.275
    vs. K.C.202.8422000012.21254003101000193.250
    vs. LA-AL215.6144000025.2231616319160000400.240
    vs. Milw.103.611000058321004000094.333
    vs. Minn.01911000058651023000078.381
    vs. NY-AL001.511000063110113000089.150
    vs. Oak.202.7722000013146420370000184.275
    vs. Texas123.53300001821107221162000259.296
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Angel Stadium of Anaheim103.5522000012.21055205110000205.222
    Fenway Park014.511000044421033000095.250
    Kauffman Stadium10311000066320025100097.261
    RingCentral Coliseum101.29110000772100230000115.259
    T-Mobile Park446990000486039324213354010763.303
    Tokyo Dome104.511000067432014000069.292
    Yankee Stadium001.511000063110113000089.150
    Miller Park103.611000058321004000094.333
    Minute Maid Park015.4110000563300350000104.300
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Grass974.3919190000106.21186652114317650101712.280
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star974.3919190000106.21186652114317650101712.280
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP0014.38190000025.22454412114185010416.264
    RISP w/Two out0014170000099221420482000150.237
    Runners on Base008.32190000048.24859454315345010722.273
    Bases Empty001.0919000005870777116420000990.285
    Bases Loaded0044.188000003.2520180023000056.556
    Late Inning Pressure008.13000003.14331011000052.286
    LIP-Runners On00813000000.12331000000012.667
    with 0 outs003.26190000038.24614143210273000645.289
    with 1 out005.351900000373927224212220010586.291
    with 2 outs004.65190000031332516409272000481.256
    w/Bases Full 2 Out00---1000000033000000000.000
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances436.16770000384630264212282000693.293
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter974.3919190000106.21186652114317650101712.280
    > 5 Days Rest523.8688000042522718329345010716.297
    5 Days Rest354.761010000058.25935316221380000927.265
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    Globe Life Park in Arlington011.2911000077211113000081.280
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/20@W1-004.501006.074321400069
    03/28vsW2-004.911005.394301400194
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/02vsW3-003.321008.3411013000100
    04/09@W4-003.241006.063202500097
    04/14vsL4-003.301005.352202300073
    04/19@L4-003.411007.083312600096
    04/25vsW5-002.861007.060000900098
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/01vsL5-103.401001.756313200049
    05/07@L5-103.181006.031101310089
    05/12@L5-203.271004.044213300095
    05/17vsL5-303.751005.086512300078
    05/22@L5-403.491007.072111310081
    05/28vsL5-504.061004.088610410080
    JUNE
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    06/02vsL5-605.041004.79101013210095
    06/07@W6-604.951005.7222135000109
    06/14@W7-604.661007.0721023000115
    06/19vsW8-604.551006.762201500096
    06/25@W9-604.501005.083210400094
    06/30@L9-704.541005.0633035000104
    JULY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    07/06vsW10-704.381008.0522116000104
    07/16@L10-804.621006.0766215110100
    Past Projections
  • 15 Jul 2019

    Gonzales is Projected For 0 FPs and Starting in 37% of Leagues in WK17

    Fantasy Scouting Report for Marco Gonzales (Jul 15)
  • 14 Jul 2019

    Gonzales Fantasy Week 17 Projection vs Expectation

    Marco Gonzales Scouting Report: Rest of Season Fantasy, Current Week and DFS
  • 13 Jul 2019

    Gonzales Fantasy Week 17 Projection vs Expectation

    July 13 Fantasy Value & Options Report for Marco Gonzales
  • 12 Jul 2019

    Marco Gonzales's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

    Fantasy Scouting Report for Marco Gonzales (Jul 12)