2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
J.A. Happ is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. In our latest projection he is the #26 starting pitcher based on total projected fantasy points. In 2018, he was owned in 96 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.97 fantasy points per game in 27 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down from where he finished last season.
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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
J.A. Happ was the number #15 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (31). Based on average fantasy points he is the #18 SP. We split his 31 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He was trending up for the season. In his first 10 games he averaged 4.2 FPs. He improved to 6.7 in his final 11 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 2.36 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Happ when he 'goes off' is 20 fantasy points (his average is 4.1FPs).
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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON
Happ may be getting older but he did get better this season. His fantasy average improved by 310%.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 4.9 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 32.6 points and on DraftKings it was 17.5 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -7.7 and on FanDuel it was -2 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 27.9 and 49 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.