2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: SOLID PERFORMER
While not considered an 'elite' fantasy option, Ender Inciarte is projected to be a regular fantasy starter next season. In our latest projection he is the #42 outfielder based on total projected fantasy points. He finished the 2018 season owned in 87 percent of leagues so plenty has been expected out of him in the past. He is projected to average 2.47 fantasy points per game in 151 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down from where he finished last season.
SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Ender Inciarte was the #67 ranked fantasy player this season and the #24 OF. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (156). Based on average fantasy points he is the #50 OF. He was trending up for the season. In his first 51 games he averaged 2.5 FPs. He improved to 2.8 in his final 52 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.16 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Inciarte when he 'goes off' is 13 fantasy points (his average is 2.5FPs).
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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON
Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a downward trend. His average fantasy points decreased by 11% this season.
WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 14.7 FPs in 5 of them. He had 5 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
His FanDuel average was 10.2 points and on DraftKings it was 7.7 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 17 and 24.6 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.