headshot
Jon
Lester
College None
Team Chicago Cubs
34SP
6'4"Height
240Weight
35Age
14Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Jon Lester's Fantasy Scouting Report

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Odorizzi is expected to produce more fantasy points than Jon Lester and the projections validate that assessment. Ray is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Jon Lester but the projections have Ray putting up more fantasy points. Starting in 69% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.9 fantasy points (WK 10). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #36 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #86 starting pitcher. His per game projected FP average is 0 which is less than his actual per game average (1.7).

He is projected for 0 fantasy points in week 10 (#99 SP) in 2 games.


  • Based on 5/24 start percentages, Jon Lester is valued behind Odorizzi and above Ray but the projections rank Ray over Jon Lester in week 10.
  • Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 5/24, Jon Lester is the #31 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (96%). The market expects more than the projections do. His projection based starting pitcher rank is #44. Most owners expect to start Lester every active week, but we think they might have to bench him in certain situations. There are many other starting pitchers with virtually the same market rank (Robbie Ray, Kyle Hendricks, Tyler Glasnow, Domingo German, Zack Wheeler, Jack Flaherty, Chris Paddack 96% Owned) and Lester ranks #7 out of 8. He is projected for 56 fantasy points in 22 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#49) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jon Lester behind Hendricks and above Ray but the projections rank Ray over Jon Lester.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 5/23 VS PHI

    • Loss 4 IP, 5 K, 9 ERA, 2 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $8500, 15 FPs (-$4178 value, -14.5 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $8300, 6.2 FPs (-$5053 value, -9.6 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 1.9 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 3 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 30.9 points and on DraftKings it was 15.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
    2019CHC9947.03304710522.681.3100
    2018CHC3232181.71860149641743.311.3100
    2017CHC3232180.71380180601794.331.3210
    2016CHC3232202.71950197521542.441.0120
    2015CHC3232205.011120207471833.331.1210
    2014OAK3232219.716110220481942.451.1011
    2013BOS3333213.31580177672093.751.2911
    2012BOS3333205.39140166682164.821.3830
    2011BOS3131191.71590182751663.481.2600
    2010BOS3232208.01990225831673.241.2020
    2009BOS3232203.31580225641863.411.2320
    2008BOS3333210.31660152662023.211.2722
    2007BOS121163.04005031614.571.4600
    2006BOS151581.37206043914.771.6500
    Career (14 Seasons)3903892413.01801010223777822343.481.24154
    YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
    2019CHC201460043500.900111.870
    2018CHC756724611731950.920412.090
    2017CHC1018726431851551.240312.110
    2016CHC575521602001871.11049.410
    2015CHC837616702171661.320810.400
    2014OAK766016501982200.910310.120
    2013BOS948919702202231.010511.950
    2012BOS11711025422501721.500612.640
    2011BOS7774201102111541.440411.860
    2010BOS8175141002351411.760611.250
    2009BOS807720302091561.360611.210
    2008BOS7875141012471971.331311.910
    2007BOS3332101051810.610113.290
    2006BOS434375182861.060515.430
    Career (14 Seasons)1015934238798252121831.23715911.530
    2019 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    March10311000064221023010098.190
    April012.08330000131333204161000230.255
    May211.88440000242885103230200420.280
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Home110.4644000019.22441002210100349.289
    Away213.4744000023.12199407211200399.236
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Day211.35440000201233104200100319.167
    Night112.744400002333107305221200429.330
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    vs. Atl.003110000662220371000106.261
    vs. LA-NL011.811000054110005000079.211
    vs. Miami000110000682000060000109.296
    vs. Milw.1001100006.291000160100116.321
    vs. Pitt.00011000023000014000045.333
    vs. Sea.10011000071000018000097.043
    vs. Texas10311000064221023010098.190
    vs. Wash.0110.381100004.110551013010098.455
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Nationals Park0110.381100004.110551013010098.455
    T-Mobile Park10011000071000018000097.043
    SunTrust Park003110000662220371000106.261
    Wrigley Field110.4644000019.22441002210100349.289
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Grass322.0988000043451310409421300748.262
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Pre All-Star322.0988000043451310409421300748.262
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    RISP005.5670000011.11010710290100169.238
    RISP w/Two out003.867000004.23321004000068.176
    Runners on Base002.9580000021.118107104241300336.234
    Bases Empty001.2580000021.22733305180000412.284
    Bases Loaded0001000000.1000000000006.000
    Late Inning Pressure0001000000.21000010000017.333
    LIP-Runners On00---10000001000000000021.000
    with 0 outs001.7680000015.12043202151100279.303
    with 1 out003.1480000014.11665102180100257.276
    with 2 outs001.3580000013.193210590100212.188
    w/Bases Full 2 Out0001000000.1000000000006.000
    CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
    Last 7 Appearances221.957700003741118307391200650.272
    SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
    As Starter322.0988000043451310409421300748.262
    > 5 Days Rest122.5455000028.129108305291100489.254
    5 Days Rest1002200008.21210002100100161.324
    < 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
    Globe Life Park in Arlington10311000064221023010098.190
    2019 Game Log
    MARCH
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    03/28@W1-003.001006.042212300098
    APRIL
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    04/03@L1-003.001006.0622237000106
    04/08vsL1-002.571002.030001400045
    04/25vsL1-102.371005.041100500079
    MAY
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
    05/01@W2-101.731007.010001800097
    05/07vsL2-101.411006.0820006000109
    05/12vsW3-101.181006.7910016000116
    05/18@L3-202.141004.3105511300098
    05/23vsL3-302.741004.077421501084
    Past Projections
  • 23 May 2019

    Daily Fantasy Projection: Jon Lester

    Daily Fantasy Projection: Jon Lester
  • 22 May 2019

    Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Lester to Price

    Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Lester to Price
  • 21 May 2019

    Jon Lester Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

    Jon Lester Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?
  • 20 May 2019

    Jon Lester Is (Not) a Must Start in Week 9?

    Jon Lester Is (Not) a Must Start in Week 9?