headshot
Jon
Lester
College None
Team Chicago Cubs
34SP
6'4"Height
240Weight
35Age
13Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Jon Lester's Fantasy Scouting Report

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Jon Lester is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. In our latest projection he is the #37 starting pitcher based on total projected fantasy points. In 2018, he was owned in 96 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 2.69 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down from where he finished last season.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Jon Lester was the number #29 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (33). Based on average fantasy points he is the #37 SP. We split his 33 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 12 games he averaged 3.6 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (1.3 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. He averaged 2.6 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Lester may be getting older but he did get better this season. His fantasy average improved by 73%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 3.3 fantasy points per week and had 15 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 9 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 27.3 FD points and 15 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -4.3 and on FanDuel it was -12 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 26.7 and 46 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
2018CHC3232181.71860149641743.311.3100
2017CHC3232180.71380180601794.331.3210
2016CHC3232202.71950197521542.441.0120
2015CHC3232205.011120207471833.331.1210
2014OAK3232219.716110220481942.451.1011
2013BOS3333213.31580177672093.751.2911
2012BOS3333205.39140166682164.821.3830
2011BOS3131191.71590182751663.481.2600
2010BOS3232208.01990225831673.241.2020
2009BOS3232203.31580225641863.411.2320
2008BOS3333210.31660152662023.211.2722
2007BOS121163.04005031614.571.4600
2006BOS151581.37206043914.771.6500
Career (14 Seasons)3813802366.0177980219076821823.501.24154
YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
2018CHC756724611731950.920412.090
2017CHC1018726431851551.240312.110
2016CHC575521602001871.11049.410
2015CHC837616702171661.320810.400
2014OAK766016501982200.910310.120
2013BOS948919702202231.010511.950
2012BOS11711025422501721.500612.640
2011BOS7774201102111541.440411.860
2010BOS8175141002351411.760611.250
2009BOS807720302091561.360611.210
2008BOS7875141012471971.331311.910
2007BOS3332101051810.610113.290
2006BOS434375182861.060515.430
Career (14 Seasons)995920232798247821331.23715811.520
2019 Game Log
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
Past Projections
  • 12 Mar 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)
  • 07 Mar 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#38 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#38 SP)
  • 04 Mar 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)
  • 28 Feb 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#39 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#39 SP)