headshot
Jon
Lester
College None
Team Chicago Cubs
34SP
6'4"Height
240Weight
34Age
13Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Jon Lester's Fantasy Scouting Report

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Jon Lester is projected to be an elite fantasy starting pitcher and worth a high draft pick. In our latest projection he is the #36 starting pitcher based on total projected fantasy points. In 2018, he was owned in 96 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 2.27 fantasy points per game in 33 games.

Stream Major League Baseball games with SlingTV

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Jon Lester was the number #25 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (33). Based on average fantasy points he is the #32 SP. We split his 33 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 12 games he averaged 3.6 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (1.3 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Lester is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 2.6 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

SportsLine has the best MLB picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, NBA, NHL, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Getting older did not stop Lester from increasing production. His fantasy average improved by 73%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 3.3 fantasy points per week and had 15 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 9 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 27.3 points and on DraftKings it was 15 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -4.3 and on FanDuel it was -12 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 26.7 and 46 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
2018CHC3232181.71860149641743.311.3100
2017CHC3232180.71380180601794.341.3210
2016CHC3232202.71950197521542.441.0120
2015CHC3232205.011120207471833.331.1210
2014BOS-OAK3232219.716110220481942.461.1011
2013BOS3333213.31580177672093.751.2911
2012BOS3333205.39140166682164.821.3830
2011BOS3131191.71590182751663.481.2600
2010BOS3232208.01990225831673.241.2020
2009BOS3232203.31580225641863.411.2320
2008BOS3333210.31660152662023.211.2722
2007BOS121163.04005031614.571.4600
2006BOS151581.37206043914.771.6500
Career (14 Seasons)3813802366.0177980219076821823.501.24154
YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
2018CHC756724611731950.920412.090
2017CHC1018726431851551.240312.140
2016CHC575521602001871.11049.440
2015CHC837616702171661.320810.400
2014BOS-OAK766016501982200.910310.140
2013BOS948919702202231.010511.950
2012BOS11711025422501721.500612.640
2011BOS7774201102111541.440411.860
2010BOS8175141002351411.760611.250
2009BOS807720302091561.360611.210
2008BOS7875141012471971.331311.910
2007BOS3332101051810.610113.290
2006BOS434375182861.060515.430
Career (14 Seasons)995920232798247821331.23715811.520
2017 Situational Stats
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
April013.6855000029.1331312319262400520.289
May324661000363119164014414400609.231
June213.41660000372914145010374300607.216
July324.5555000027.2252114716262000449.238
August017.8544000018.1251916117252002365.316
September514.1866000032.13615156114255101581.288
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Home734.2718181000999658471533010376011720.254
Away654.411414000081.28343401113077126021411.265
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Day545.421414000073795444142236998001258.281
Night843.5918181000107.2100474312237111104031873.244
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
vs. Ariz.015.4220000101276015180002207.286
vs. Atl.203.75220000121155302102000194.239
vs. Chi-A102.5711000074222014000097.160
vs. Cin.207.3644000018.1271715204161100325.329
vs. Col.017.211000056441015000094.286
vs. LA-NL016.752200009.11177203100100176.289
vs. Miami103.86110000743310141100108.167
vs. NY-NL202.08220000131133105152000220.234
vs. NY-AL001.29110000732100292000120.125
vs. Phil.103.6110000543210550100106.211
vs. Pitt.124.6644000019.12417104111130301374.316
vs. S.D.003110000652220170000111.208
vs. S.F.101111000941100010010099.138
vs. St.L.212.9355000030.22711105111344200512.248
vs. T.B.0211.572200009.117131221464000186.405
vs. Wash.002.8422000012.2944004143200202.209
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Guaranteed Rate Field102.5711000074222014000097.160
Dodger Stadium0116.21100003.17662023000076.412
Great American Ball Park007.941100005.295510240000108.360
Nationals Park001.511000063110037220090.158
Citi Field101.291100007511001101000106.192
Marlins Park103.86110000743310141100108.167
Tropicana Field0114.541100004.18771130300086.421
SunTrust Park101.29110000731100161000102.130
Wrigley Field734.2718181000999658471533010376011720.254
PNC Park114.6322000011.21576206100101218.319
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Turf0114.541100004.18771130300086.421
Grass1374.0831311000176.11719480253571801612033045.254
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Post All-Star824.461313000072.2713936113237081031242.255
Pre All-Star564.25191910001081086251151371101111001889.262
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
RISP0013.28300000041.14573616122477401784.290
RISP w/Two out008.83280000017.1132217408233001304.206
Runners on Base008.79320000071.27683708132721912031224.298
Bases Empty001.4320000010910318171832810800001907.236
Bases Loaded0040.5800000261591003000049.500
Late Inning Pressure002.898000009.164312170100148.194
LIP-Runners On007.715000002.12320001010030.400
with 0 outs003.6632000006466272682205773001097.268
with 1 out005.4632000006162433791215685011032.267
with 2 outs003.88320000055.251312491196744021002.239
w/Bases Full 2 Out002750000012731001000020.400
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Last 7 Appearances515.82770000344324227115256101627.312
SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
As Starter1384.3332321000180.217910187264601801912033131.259
> 5 Days Rest433.941111000064603128102275986011127.255
5 Days Rest954.6720201000111.211269581623111496021902.257
< 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
Chase Field014.5110000674300290001103.280
Busch Stadium112.733000016.21865208204200317.286
2017 Game Log
APRIL
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
04/02@L0-001.801005.0711027000102
04/10vsL0-001.641006.0411017000100
04/16vsL0-001.001007.0300023100103
04/21@L0-002.741005.7955124000108
04/26@L0-103.861005.71065225000107
MAY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
05/02vsW1-103.821005.0432155000106
05/07vsL1-103.381007.0321029000120
05/13@L1-203.601005.7643149000112
05/18vsW2-203.711006.073301500096
05/23vsW3-203.301109.0411001000099
05/28@L3-304.001003.376622300076
JUNE
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
06/03vsL3-304.041006.063313400098
06/08vsL3-404.261005.064411500094
06/13@W4-404.001007.05110110000106
06/19vsL4-403.931006.0522217000111
06/24@W5-403.931007.0433114000108
06/29@L5-403.781006.031103700090
JULY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
07/04vsL5-504.031005.0965116000100
07/09vsL5-604.371000.7610423000053
07/17@W6-604.181007.0311016000102
07/22vsW7-604.051008.0322201010097
07/27@W8-603.971007.042221400097
AUGUST
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
08/01vsL8-604.051004.0533039110104
08/06vsL8-604.071006.7633017000112
08/12@L8-704.091006.0743029010103
08/17vsL8-704.501001.779711000046
SEPTEMBER
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
09/02vsW9-704.591005.084431400092
09/07@W10-704.471006.0511045010111
09/13vsW11-704.421006.0622145000114
09/20@L11-804.691004.387713010086
09/25@W12-804.581006.0511124000103
09/30vsW13-804.451005.040000700075
Past Projections
  • 12 Nov 2018

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)
  • 10 Nov 2018

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#36 SP)
  • 08 Nov 2018

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#34 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#34 SP)
  • 05 Nov 2018

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#34 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#34 SP)