headshot
Jon
Lester
College None
Team Chicago Cubs
34SP
6'4"Height
240Weight
35Age
13Exp
L/LBats/Throws
Jon Lester's Fantasy Scouting Report

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Jon Lester is projected to be an elite fantasy starting pitcher and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #38 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 96 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 2.52 fantasy points per game in 33 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down from where he finished last season.

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Jon Lester was the number #29 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (33). Based on average fantasy points he is the #36 SP. We split his 33 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 12 games he averaged 3.6 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.8 FP) and his ending average (1.3 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Lester is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 2.6 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Getting older did not stop Lester from increasing production. His fantasy average improved by 73%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 3.3 fantasy points per week and had 15 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 9 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 27.3 FD points and 15 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -4.3 and on FanDuel it was -12 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 26.7 and 46 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMAPPGSINNWLSKBBIHAERAWHIPCGSO
2018CHC3232181.71860149641743.311.3100
2017CHC3232180.71380180601794.331.3210
2016CHC3232202.71950197521542.441.0120
2015CHC3232205.011120207471833.331.1210
2014OAK3232219.716110220481942.451.1011
2013BOS3333213.31580177672093.751.2911
2012BOS3333205.39140166682164.821.3830
2011BOS3131191.71590182751663.481.2600
2010BOS3232208.01990225831673.241.2020
2009BOS3232203.31580225641863.411.2320
2008BOS3333210.31660152662023.211.2722
2007BOS121163.04005031614.571.4600
2006BOS151581.37206043914.771.6500
Career (14 Seasons)3813802366.0177980219076821823.501.24154
YEARTEAMRAERHRAHBIBBIGOAOGDAOPKOBWPRD9BS
2018CHC756724611731950.920412.090
2017CHC1018726431851551.240312.110
2016CHC575521602001871.11049.410
2015CHC837616702171661.320810.400
2014OAK766016501982200.910310.120
2013BOS948919702202231.010511.950
2012BOS11711025422501721.500612.640
2011BOS7774201102111541.440411.860
2010BOS8175141002351411.760611.250
2009BOS807720302091561.360611.210
2008BOS7875141012471971.331311.910
2007BOS3332101051810.610113.290
2006BOS434375182861.060515.430
Career (14 Seasons)995920232798247821331.23715811.520
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
March008.11100003.17430032000071.412
April212.1255000029.2211074310253101494.194
May312.7550000302699419270200472.243
June501.135500003217442110203001514.155
July226.4666000030.23924227117253000585.315
August215.8155000026.1351817607202401471.340
September311.944000023.22665104272201406.286
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Home643.961616000091894640122377096021576.263
Away1122.871515000084.2822927124237643021437.255
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Day923.781515000083.1814035113347192021473.257
Night843.121616000092.1903532133267547021540.261
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
vs. Ariz.001.5110000641110071000103.182
vs. Chi-A202.5322000010.2124310390001194.279
vs. Cin.202.3333000019.11055206194100301.161
vs. Clev.022.5722000014104430380100211.208
vs. Col.0001100005.252001350000106.227
vs. Det.101.591100005.271100130000100.318
vs. LA-NL201.52200001292200451001201.209
vs. Miami008.11100003.17430032000071.412
vs. Milw.112.3122000011.21133013131200178.262
vs. Minn.103.6110000594210350000100.360
vs. NY-NL102.0822000013733116103200201.156
vs. Phil.100110000680000070000107.320
vs. Pitt.313.7255000029281212418251100483.255
vs. S.D.106.9722000010.1148831580101198.341
vs. St.L.215.3144000020.12013125111151101371.267
vs. Wash.0119.641100003.210983015100088.556
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Guaranteed Rate Field103.6110000583210040001102.348
Dodger Stadium103.611000054220014100182.222
Great American Ball Park101.511000062111018000099.105
Progressive Field013.86110000743330240000107.160
Citi Field100110000720001372000107.087
Marlins Park008.11100003.17430032000071.412
PETCO Park105.061100005.163311370000101.286
Citizens Bank Park100110000680000070000107.320
Wrigley Field643.961616000091894640122377096021576.263
Miller Park10011000063000116110089.150
PNC Park214.24330000172088313170100283.299
Comerica Park101.591100005.271100130000100.318
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Turf104.433000014.11787117112100256.293
Grass1763.4331310000175.2171756724660146139043013.259
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Post All-Star544.921212000064793735110195856021167.316
Pre All-Star1222.5819190000111.2923832136418883021846.224
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
RISP0010.74290000032.23547394110273402507.304
RISP w/Two out0010.69290000016202419305163201274.317
Runners on Base005.87310000076.2635850712461139041161.248
Bases Empty001.553100000991081717175368500001852.266
Bases Loaded001890000030660102000032.000
Late Inning Pressure002.2550000042111011000055.167
LIP-Runners On0002000001.20000001000012.000
with 0 outs002.64310000061.1491818121195133001007.220
with 1 out002.931000006258232055204632011022.261
with 2 outs004.99310000052.16434297021497403984.298
w/Bases Full 2 Out003.868000002.10110001000025.000
CATEGORYWLERAGGSCGSHOSVSVOINNHRERHRHBPBBSOSBCSBKWPTPAVG
Last 7 Appearances511.9677000041.143109208413501692.276
SVO (incl. Holds)00---0000000000000000000.000
As Starter1763.4331310000175.2171756724660146139043013.259
> 5 Days Rest1243.6819190000107.21064744174329373031826.262
5 Days Rest522.781111000064.258242072255166011116.244
< 5 Days Rest00---0000000000000000000.000
Busch Stadium103.1822000011.1114430570100189.268
2018 Game Log
MARCH
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
03/29@L0-009.001003.374303200071
APRIL
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
04/05@W1-003.001006.030001610089
04/11vsL1-004.501005.074413300096
04/19vsW2-003.151006.021001711096
04/25@L2-103.331007.0433324000107
04/30vsL2-102.811005.7520035100106
MAY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
05/06@L2-102.921005.362214400087
05/12vsW3-102.791005.741103500092
05/18@W4-102.631006.021111800099
05/23vsL4-202.451007.0611014000104
05/29@W5-202.801006.084420610090
JUNE
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
06/03@W6-202.511007.0200037100107
06/09vsW7-202.281007.0100025000104
06/15@W8-202.331006.0522213000102
06/20vsW9-202.151007.0500031000119
06/26@W10-202.231005.042201401082
JULY
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
07/01vsW11-202.301005.0942135000100
07/08vsL11-202.511006.364413200094
07/15@W12-202.641005.3633137100101
07/20vsL12-303.211003.078825100086
07/25vsL12-303.131006.0411107000103
07/31@L12-403.291005.0744133000101
AUGUST
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
08/05vsL12-403.521005.085522101097
08/11vsL12-503.981003.7109831500088
08/16@W13-503.811006.050000800092
08/22@W14-503.741005.7711013000100
08/27vsL14-503.771006.053313300094
SEPTEMBER
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTRECORDSVERAGSCGSHOIPHRERHRBBKHBWPBKPC
09/02@W15-503.621006.0800007000107
09/10vsL15-603.681005.783302700089
09/15vsW16-603.521007.0200029000108
09/22@W17-603.531005.0832104010102
09/27vsW18-603.411006.0300043000108
Past Projections
  • 14 Jan 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#35 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#35 SP)
  • 10 Jan 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#32 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#32 SP)
  • 08 Jan 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#32 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#32 SP)
  • 03 Jan 2019

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#31 SP)

    Jon Lester is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#31 SP)