SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

Jeff McNeil left yesterday’s game early with abdominal tightness. He has had multiple hernia surgeries which is what he attributes it to. He is not expected to be added to the IL, and it is not expected to be serious.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (81%), Jeff McNeil is expected to be the #17 second baseman for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Jeff McNeil is overrated by the market. His fantasy second baseman projection rank is #20. He is projected for 239 fantasy points in 91 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #19 highest average. The market ranks Jeff McNeil behind Lowe and above Gennett but the projections rank Gennett over Jeff McNeil.

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His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Jeff McNeil is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #17 while his projection rank (rest of week 9) is #10. When compared to other second basemen in week 10 instead of McNeil consider these better options at lower start percentages: Robinson Cano (13.9 FP), Asdrubal Cabrera (18.4 FP), Daniel Murphy (16.4 FP), Jason Kipnis (14.9 FP), and Jose Altuve (16.9 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other second basemen starting in more leagues: Ozzie Albies (13.1 FP) and Nick Senzel (12 FP). Starting in 62% of leagues he is expected to produce 14.9 fantasy points (WK 10). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #12 second baseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #20 second baseman. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 1.7 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 2.3 which is less than his actual per game average (3).

He is projected for 13.2 fantasy points in week 10 (#20 2B) in 6 games.

Jeff McNeil last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

DRAFTKINGS VALUE (5/23): Projected for 5.8 DraftKings pts Jeff McNeil is the #14 ranked second baseman. He is the #11 highest priced second baseman ($4000). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, McNeil is worth $3.5K. There are 3 other options at $4000 (Leury Garcia, Adam Frazier, Brendan Rodgers) and McNeil is ranked #2 among the 4. Instead of McNeil consider these better options at lower salaries: Daniel Descalso (6 FP), Starlin Castro (6.1 FP), Brian Dozier (7.2 FP), and Ozzie Albies (7.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.6 FPs, a value reached in 52 of 109 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 43%.

FANDUEL VALUE: McNeil is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 7.4 FD pts (#47 among outfielders). He is the #37 highest priced outfielder ($2800). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.5K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 5 other options at $2800 (Ian Desmond, Mark Trumbo, Jason Heyward, Kevin Kiermaier, Steven Duggar) and McNeil is ranked #3 among the 6. Instead of McNeil consider these better options at lower salaries: Curtis Granderson (8.3 FP), Cameron Maybin (10.2 FP), Jake Marisnick (10.5 FP), Leonys Martin (9.1 FP), and Jackie Bradley (9 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Leury Garcia (4.8 FP) and Austin Riley (5.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.1 FPs, a value reached in 60 of 109 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 45%.

McNeil is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 9 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 14.1 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 9.5 points and on DraftKings it was 7.3 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 14 and 21.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.