2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD
Sean Newcomb is projected to be an elite fantasy starting pitcher and worth a high draft pick. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #40 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 85 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 2.85 fantasy points per game in 29 games.
SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND
Sean Newcomb had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the number #54 ranked SP. His solid ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #64 SP. We split his 31 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He peaked early in the season. He averaged 4.8 FPs in his first 10 games and -1 FP in his final 11 games. He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Newcomb is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 1.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 20 fantasy points.
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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP
He has averaged 1.8 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +50% above average.
DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP
He averaged 29.2 FD points and 15.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -5.4 and on FanDuel it was -1 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 29.9 and 52 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more bad than good games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.