Daily Fantasy Projection: Andrew McCutchen

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

McCutchen is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 7.3 DK pts (#34 among outfielders). He is the #26 highest priced outfielder ($4600). Based on 6/4 salaries and projected points per dollar, McCutchen is worth $4.2K. There are 6 other options at $4600 (Ryan Braun, Michael Brantley, Bryce Harper, Kevin Kiermaier, Byron Buxton, Willie Calhoun) and McCutchen is ranked #5 among the 7. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Nelson Cruz (9.1 FP), Nick Markakis (8 FP), Alex Gordon (7.5 FP), Jason Heyward (7.4 FP), and Aaron Hicks (8.4 FP). Hunter Pence (6.2 FP), Starling Marte (7.3 FP), Joc Pederson (7.1 FP), Corey Dickerson (6.9 FP), and David Peralta (5.6 FP) are all projected for fewer points than McCutchen but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.9 FPs, a value reached in 89 of 219 games (41%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 38%.

  • 6/4 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: PHI 3.4 (#28 Most Today) vs SD 4.1 (#21 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 7.3 Fantasy Points (#33), 4.17 plate appearances (#12), 0.215 BA (#107), 0.743 OPS (#66), 0.2 HR (#18), 0.38 RBI (#65), 0.57 runs (#31), 0.05 stolen bases (#52),
Lower SalaryA. McCutchenHigher Salary
N. Cruz (9 FP)7 FPH. Pence (6 FP)
N. Markakis (8 FP)#26 OutfieldS. Marte (7 FP)
A. Gordon (8 FP) 
J. Pederson (7 FP)
J. Heyward (7 FP) 
C. Dickerson (7 FP)
A. Hicks (8 FP) 
D. Peralta (6 FP)

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 9.8 FanDuel pts Andrew McCutchen is the #36 ranked outfielder. He is the #31 highest priced outfielder ($3600). Based on 6/4 salaries and projected points per dollar, McCutchen is worth $3.4K. There are 4 other options at $3600 (Khris Davis, Max Kepler, Nomar Mazara, Andrew Benintendi) and McCutchen is ranked #5 among the 5. Instead of McCutchen consider these better options at lower salaries: Nelson Cruz (12.1 FP), Nick Markakis (10.6 FP), Alex Gordon (10 FP), Aaron Hicks (11.3 FP), and Avisail Garcia (10.9 FP). Hunter Pence (8.4 FP), Starling Marte (9.6 FP), Joc Pederson (9.6 FP), Kole Calhoun (9.7 FP), and David Peralta (7.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than McCutchen but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.4 FPs, a value reached in 86 of 219 games (39%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 45%.

McCutchen is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Andrew McCutchen is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection (rest of week 11) rank is #51. In week 12 rankings vs other outfielders these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Nick Markakis (19.8 FP), Charlie Blackmon (23.9 FP), Thomas Pham (19.6 FP), Gregory Polanco (18.2 FP), and David Peralta (20.2 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other outfielders starting in more leagues: Michael Brantley (13.6 FP), Eddie Rosario (16.7 FP), and Mitch Haniger (17.3 FP). Starting in 92% of leagues he is expected to produce 18.3 fantasy points (WK 12). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #15 outfielder of the week, but he is projected to be the #17 outfielder.

Lower Start%A. McCutchen WK 12Higher Start%
N. Markakis (20 FP)18 FPM. Brantley (14 FP)
C. Blackmon (24 FP)#15 OutfieldE. Rosario (17 FP)
T. Pham (20 FP) 
M. Haniger (17 FP)
G. Polanco (18 FP) 
 
D. Peralta (20 FP) 
 

He is projected for 18 fantasy points in week 12 (#17 OF) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
17.98 (#17) 
Avg 
 
0.274 (#42)
OPS 
 
0.724 (#45)
Home Runs 
0.96 (#25) 
Runs3.86 (#8) 
 
RBI 
 
2.97 (#32)
Stolen Bases 
 
0.35 (#49)

  • Based on 6/4 start percentages, Andrew McCutchen is valued behind Marte and above Mancini but the projections rank Andrew McCutchen over Marte in week 12.
  • Jun 10Jun 11Jun 12Jun 14Jun 15Jun 16
    2.7 FP vs ARI3.1 FP vs ARI2.5 FP vs ARI3.6 FP @ATL2.9 FP @ATL3.1 FP @ATL

    Andrew McCutchen last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/3 @SD1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-0, 1 BB
    6/2 @LAD0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/1 @LAD0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/31 @LAD5 FP, 19 FD, 14 DK1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R
    5/30 vs STL4 FP, 12 FD, 9 DK1-4, 2 R, 1 BB

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 6/4, Andrew McCutchen is the #18 ranked outfielder based on ownership percentage (99%). Our projections indicate that Andrew McCutchen is slightly underrated by the market. His fantasy outfielder projection rank is #16. There are other outfielders with virtually the same market rank (Starling Marte, Thomas Pham, Joey Gallo, Austin Meadows 99% Owned) and McCutchen ranks #3 out of 5. He is projected for 291 fantasy points in 92 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#17) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Andrew McCutchen behind Marte and above Pham but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    Lower Own%A. McCutchen ROSHigher Own%
    T. Pham (309 FP)291 FPS. Marte (271 FP)
    D. Dietrich (302 FP)#18 OutfieldG. Springer (284 FP)
    M. Kepler (291 FP) 
    A. Judge (253 FP)
     
     
    A. Benintendi (285 FP)
     
     
    M. Haniger (264 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    291 (#14) 
    Avg 
     
    0.261 (#70)
    OPS 
    0.85 (#19) 
    Home Runs 
    17 (#21) 
    Runs65 (#5) 
     
    RBI 
     
    48 (#37)
    Stolen Bases 
     
    6 (#48)
    Strikeouts 
     
    89 (#115)

    His value decreases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative weaknesses than strengths.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 11 fantasy weeks he had one where he was +50% above his weekly average of 17.3 fantasy points. He had one bad week where he came up 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL17.3 FP per Week11
    Week 115 (3 games 5 per game)
    Week 216 (5 games 3.2 per game)
    Week 322 (6 games 3.7 per game)
    Week 422 (7 games 3.1 per game)
    Week 512 (7 games 1.7 per game)
    Week 611 (5 games 2.2 per game)
    Week 711.5 (5 games 2.3 per game)
    Week 822 (7 games 3.1 per game)
    Week 934 (7 games 4.9 per game)+16.7
    Week 1024 (6 games 4 per game)
    Week 111 (1 games)-16.3

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 11.6 FD points and 8.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 19 and on FanDuel it was 27.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All11.6 ($3.9K)14 G, 17 B8.6 ($4.4K)11 G, 16 B
    6/3 @SD3 ($3.6K)-8.62 ($5.4K)-6.6
    6/2 @LAD3 ($3.8K)-8.63-5.6
    6/1 @LAD0 ($3.7K)-11.60 ($4.2K)-8.6
    5/31 @LAD18.7 ($3.9K)+7.114 ($4.3K)+5.4
    5/30 STL12.4 ($3.8K)--9 ($4.7K)--
    5/29 STL40.8 ($3.8K)+29.228 ($4.8K)+19.4
    5/28 STL6.2 ($3.7K)--5 ($4.7K)--
    5/26 @MIL0 ($3.7K)-11.60 ($4.9K)-8.6
    5/25 @MIL21.7 ($3.8K)+10.116 ($5.1K)+7.4
    5/24 @MIL18.7 ($3.6K)+7.114 ($4.8K)+5.4
    5/23 @CHC28.4 ($3.5K)+16.820 ($4.2K)+11.4
    5/22 @CHC30.9 ($3.4K)+19.324 ($4K)+15.4
    5/21 @CHC10 ($3.5K)--7 ($4K)--
    5/20 @CHC15 ($3.4K)--10 ($3.8K)--
    5/19 COL16 ($3.6K)--12 ($4.4K)--
    5/18 COL0 ($3.5K)-11.60 ($4.1K)-8.6
    5/17 COL31.4 ($3.4K)+19.824 ($3.9K)+15.4
    5/16 MIL12.2 ($3.5K)--9 ($4K)--
    5/15 MIL6.5 ($3.7K)--5 ($4K)--
    5/14 MIL0 ($3.7K)-11.60 ($4.1K)-8.6
    5/13 MIL6 ($3.6K)--6 ($4.1K)--
    5/12 @KC15.2 ($3.9K)--11 ($4.2K)--
    5/11 @KC13.2 ($3.9K)--9 ($4.4K)--
    5/10 @KC0 ($3.8K)-11.60 ($4.5K)-8.6
    5/7 @STL9.2 ($3.7K)--6 ($4.4K)--
    5/6 @STL3 ($3.7K)-8.63 ($4.3K)-5.6
    5/5 WAS9.2 ($3.9K)--7 ($4.5K)--
    5/4 WAS9.5 ($3.9K)--7 ($4.3K)--
    5/3 WAS0 ($3.9K)-11.60 ($4.6K)-8.6
    5/1 DET12.5 ($3.9K)--11 ($4.5K)--
    4/30 DET15.2 ($4.2K)--10 ($4.5K)--
    4/28 MIA12.4 ($3.7K)--8 ($4.3K)--
    4/27 MIA27.9 ($3.8K)+16.320 ($4.3K)+11.4
    4/26 MIA0 ($3.6K)-11.60 ($4.5K)-8.6
    4/25 MIA6 ($3.6K)--5 ($4.6K)--
    4/24 @NYM3 ($4.4K)-8.63 ($4.5K)-5.6
    4/23 @NYM0 ($4.1K)-11.60 ($4.4K)-8.6
    4/22 @NYM0 ($3.9K)-11.60 ($4.6K)-8.6
    4/21 @COL6 ($4.5K)--6 ($4.7K)--
    4/20 @COL24.9 ($4.6K)+13.319 ($4.8K)+10.4
    4/19 @COL12.2 ($4.5K)--9 ($4.8K)--
    4/18 @COL0 ($4.7K)-11.60 ($5.4K)-8.6
    4/17 NYM0 ($4.3K)-11.60-8.6
    4/16 NYM15.4 ($4.1K)--12 ($4.6K)--
    4/15 NYM18.2 ($4.1K)+6.614 ($4K)+5.4
    4/14 @MIA12.2 ($3.8K)--10 ($4.2K)--
    4/13 @MIA12 ($3.7K)--9--
    4/12 @MIA37.9 ($3.8K)+26.328 ($4.3K)+19.4
    4/10 WAS6 ($3.7K)--4 ($4.3K)-4.6
    4/9 WAS9.2 ($3.7K)--7 ($4.1K)--
    4/8 WAS0 ($3.9K)-11.60 ($4.4K)-8.6
    4/7 MIN6.2 ($4.5K)--4 ($4.1K)-4.6
    4/6 MIN9 ($4.3K)--7--
    4/5 MIN15.4 ($4.2K)--11 ($4.3K)--
    4/3 @WAS19.7 ($4.2K)+8.113+4.4
    4/2 @WAS12.2 ($4.1K)--10 ($3.8K)--
    3/31 ATL27.9 ($4.1K)+16.320+11.4
    3/30 ATL0 ($4K)-11.60-8.6
    3/28 ATL24.9 ($3.4K)+13.318+9.4