Swanson FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 8.8 FanDuel pts Dansby Swanson is the #22 ranked shortstop. He is the #16 highest priced shortstop ($3400). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.9K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 2 other options at $3400 (Jean Segura, Corey Seager) and Swanson is ranked #2 among the 3. Instead of Swanson consider these better options at lower salaries: Didi Gregorius (9.8 FP), Nick Ahmed (9.1 FP), Orlando Arcia (9.1 FP), Amed Rosario (10.2 FP), and J.P. Crawford (9.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.3 FPs, a value reached in 64 of 209 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 43%.

  • 6/18 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: ATL 4.2 (#23 Most Today) vs NYM 4.3 (#21 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 8.84 Fantasy Points (#21), 3.79 plate appearances (#23), 0.235 BA (#36), 0.709 OPS (#31), 0.14 HR (#13), 0.47 RBI (#17), 0.5 runs (#18), 0.05 stolen bases (#19),
Lower SalaryD. SwansonHigher Salary
D. Gregorius (10 FP)9 FPJ. Polanco (8 FP)
N. Ahmed (9 FP)#16 Shortstop 
O. Arcia (9 FP) 
 
A. Rosario (10 FP) 
 
J. Crawford (9 FP) 
 

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Swanson is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 6.6 DK pts (#19 among shortstops). He is the #17 highest priced shortstop ($4100). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3.7K. Jean Segura is also priced at $4100 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Nick Ahmed (7 FP), Orlando Arcia (6.9 FP), Tim Anderson (7.3 FP), Amed Rosario (7.8 FP), and J.P. Crawford (6.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.3 FPs, a value reached in 70 of 209 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 40%.

Swanson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Dansby Swanson is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #15 while his projection (rest of week 13) rank is #22. When compared to other shortstops in week 14 Scott Kingery (17.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Elvis Andrus (16.4 FP), Manny Machado (14 FP), Xander Bogaerts (15.6 FP), Adalberto Mondesi (15.6 FP), and Paul DeJong (12.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Swanson but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 73% of leagues he is expected to produce 15.4 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #13 shortstop of week 14. He is projected to be better than that (the #8 shortstop). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 6 games.

Lower Start%D. Swanson WK 14Higher Start%
S. Kingery (18 FP)17 FPE. Andrus (16 FP)
 
#13 ShortstopM. Machado (14 FP)
 
 
X. Bogaerts (16 FP)
 
 
A. Mondesi (16 FP)
 
 
P. DeJong (13 FP)

He is projected for 17 fantasy points in week 14 (#8 SS) in 6 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
16.97 (#8) 
Avg 
 
0.254 (#36)
OPS 
 
0.677 (#26)
Home Runs0.98 (#3) 
 
Runs 
3.17 (#10) 
RBI 
3.31 (#6) 
Stolen Bases 
0.56 (#12) 

  • Based on 6/18 start percentages, Dansby Swanson is valued behind Semien and above Kingery but the projections rank Kingery over Dansby Swanson in week 14.
  • Jun 24Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    2.6 FP @CHC2.2 FP @CHC2.3 FP @CHC2.6 FP @CHC2 FP @NYM2.8 FP @NYM2.4 FP @NYM

    Dansby Swanson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/17 vs NYM1 FP, 6 FD, 4 DK0-5, 1 R, 1 BB
    6/16 vs PHI2 FP, 6 FD, 5 DK1-5, 1 R
    6/15 vs PHI4 FP, 12 FD, 9 DK1-3, 1 BB
    6/14 vs PHI2 FP, 9 FD, 7 DK1-4, 1 R, 1 BB
    6/13 vs PIT4 FP, 12 FD, 8 DK0-2, 1 R, 2 BB

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among shortstops is #17. Ranking by ownership percentage (91%), Dansby Swanson is expected to be the #15 shortstop for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Dansby Swanson is slightly overrated by the market. He is projected for 218 fantasy points in 80 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#24) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Dansby Swanson behind Anderson and above Gregorius but the projections rank Gregorius over Dansby Swanson.

    Lower Own%D. Swanson ROSHigher Own%
    D. Gregorius (226 FP)218 FPC. Correa (202 FP)
    M. Semien (248 FP)#15 ShortstopC. Seager (178 FP)
    J. Profar (220 FP) 
     
    S. Kingery (220 FP) 
     
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    218 (#17) 
    Avg 
     
    0.255 (#41)
    OPS 
    0.759 (#25) 
    Home Runs12 (#8) 
     
    Runs 
    43 (#16) 
    RBI 
    44 (#12) 
    Stolen Bases 
    6 (#13) 
    Strikeouts 
     
    70 (#44)

    He has more relative weaknesses than strengths which hurts his value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 16.9 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% vs just one bad week.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL16.9 FP per Week31
    Week 112.5 (3 games 4.2 per game)
    Week 225.5 (6 games 4.2 per game)+8.6
    Week 319 (6 games 3.2 per game)
    Week 416.5 (6 games 2.8 per game)
    Week 510 (6 games 1.7 per game)
    Week 619 (7 games 2.7 per game)
    Week 713 (7 games 1.9 per game)
    Week 811 (6 games 1.8 per game)
    Week 931 (6 games 5.2 per game)+14.1
    Week 1021 (5 games 4.2 per game)
    Week 1112.5 (6 games 2.1 per game)
    Week 1227.5 (7 games 3.9 per game)+10.6
    Week 131 (1 games)-15.9

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 11.2 FD points and 9 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 18 and 25.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All11.2 ($3.4K)19 G, 22 B9 ($4.3K)17 G, 19 B
    6/17 NYM6.2 ($3.6K)--4 ($4.3K)-5
    6/16 PHI6.2 ($3.7K)--5 ($4.6K)--
    6/15 PHI12 ($3.7K)--9 ($4.4K)--
    6/14 PHI9.2 ($3.7K)--7 ($4.5K)--
    6/13 PIT12.2--8--
    6/12 PIT18.4 ($3.6K)+7.214 ($4.8K)+5
    6/11 PIT6 ($3.6K)--8 ($4.4K)--
    6/10 PIT24.6 ($3.7K)+13.418 ($4.7K)+9
    6/9 @MIA0 ($3.7K)-11.20 ($4.7K)-9
    6/8 @MIA0 ($3.8K)-11.20-9
    6/7 @MIA12.4 ($3.9K)--10 ($5K)--
    6/6 @PIT0 ($3.9K)-11.20-9
    6/5 @PIT24.7 ($3.6K)+13.519 ($5K)+10
    6/4 @PIT21.9 ($3.6K)+10.715 ($5K)+6
    6/2 DET37.9 ($3.2K)+26.727 ($4K)+18
    6/1 DET28.4 ($3.3K)+17.221 ($4.4K)+12
    5/31 DET6.5 ($3.3K)--5 ($4.4K)--
    5/29 WAS0 ($3.5K)-11.20 ($4.8K)-9
    5/28 WAS3 ($3.4K)-8.23 ($4.2K)-6
    5/26 @STL6 ($3.6K)--5--
    5/25 @STL3 ($3.4K)-8.23 ($4.1K)-6
    5/24 @STL40.9 ($3.3K)+29.730 ($4K)+21
    5/23 @SF18.4 ($3.1K)+7.213 ($3.8K)--
    5/22 @SF28.7 ($3.2K)+17.521 ($4K)+12
    5/21 @SF12.2 ($3.4K)--10 ($4K)--
    5/19 MIL3 ($3.2K)-8.23 ($4K)-6
    5/18 MIL6 ($3.2K)--5 ($4.2K)--
    5/17 MIL25.7 ($3K)+14.518 ($4.1K)+9
    5/16 STL0 ($3.2K)-11.20 ($4K)-9
    5/15 STL0 ($3.2K)-11.20 ($4.2K)-9
    5/14 STL3.5 ($3.3K)-7.72 ($3.8K)-7
    5/12 @ARI3 ($3.3K)-8.23-6
    5/11 @ARI9.2 ($3.3K)--7 ($4.4K)--
    5/10 @ARI18.2 ($3.3K)+718 ($4.3K)+9
    5/9 @ARI3 ($3.3K)-8.22 ($4.1K)-7
    5/8 @LAD9 ($3.4K)--6 ($4K)--
    5/7 @LAD3 ($3.5K)-8.23 ($4K)-6
    5/6 @LAD9 ($3.6K)--6 ($4.1K)--
    5/5 @MIA6 ($3.6K)--5 ($4.2K)--
    5/4 @MIA12.4 ($3.6K)--9 ($4.3K)--
    5/3 @MIA3 ($3.4K)-8.23 ($4.4K)-6
    5/2 SD6.2 ($3.3K)--5 ($4.2K)--
    5/1 SD25.7 ($3.3K)+14.518 ($4.4K)+9
    4/30 SD9.2 ($3.2K)--7 ($4.2K)--
    4/29 SD6 ($3.4K)--6 ($4.4K)--
    4/28 COL9.5 ($3.4K)--7 ($4.5K)--
    4/27 COL0 ($3.3K)-11.20 ($4.5K)-9
    4/26 COL0 ($3.3K)-11.20 ($4.4K)-9
    4/25 @CIN9 ($3.5K)--8 ($4.2K)--
    4/24 @CIN0 ($3.3K)-11.20 ($4.4K)-9
    4/23 @CIN27.7 ($3.3K)+16.520 ($4.7K)+11
    4/21 @CLE6.2 ($3.3K)--5--
    4/20 @CLE28.4 ($3.3K)+17.220 ($4.1K)+11
    4/20 @CLE0 ($3.3K)-11.20 ($4.1K)-9
    4/18 ARI3 ($3.7K)-8.23-6
    4/17 ARI6.2 ($4K)--4 ($4.3K)-5
    4/16 ARI12 ($4.2K)--11 ($4.1K)--
    4/14 NYM0 ($4.3K)-11.20-9
    4/13 NYM16.5 ($4.5K)--11 ($4.3K)--
    4/12 NYM0 ($4.2K)-11.20 ($4.2K)-9
    4/11 NYM12 ($4.1K)--8 ($4.2K)--
    4/9 @COL25.7 ($4K)+14.518 ($4.1K)+9
    4/8 @COL22.7 ($3.9K)+11.516 ($4.3K)+7
    4/7 MIA25.2 ($3.2K)+1419 ($3.7K)+10
    4/6 MIA9.5 ($3K)--7 ($3.9K)--
    4/5 MIA6.2 ($2.7K)--4 ($3.9K)-5
    4/4 CHC12.5 ($2.3K)--10 ($3.6K)--
    4/3 CHC25.2 ($2.4K)+1418 ($3.7K)+9
    4/1 CHC6.5 ($2.4K)--5 ($3.7K)--
    3/31 @PHI3 ($2.4K)-8.22-7
    3/30 @PHI28.4 ($2.4K)+17.220+11
    3/28 @PHI12.2 ($2.5K)--9--