Brad Boxberger Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Brad Boxberger has a market rank of 66 and a projection based rank of 125. A disparity this large usually indicates that crucial information around player status, depth, role on the team, etc. is clouding market expectations and/or making it tough to provide confident projections. Keep monitoring this situation for more updates. He is projected for -5 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #166 highest average. The market ranks Brad Boxberger behind Baez and above Watson

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-5 (#211) 
Saves2 (#54) 
 
Holds3 (#152) 
 
Strikeouts35 (#98) 
 
Walks18 (#21) 
 
ERA 
 
5.14 (#241)

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Velasquez is expected to produce more fantasy points than Brad Boxberger and the projections validate that assessment. Harris is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Brad Boxberger but the projections have Harris putting up more fantasy points. He is starting in just 3% of leagues and with a projected reliever rank of #110 in week 14 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for -0.1 fantasy points in week 14 (#142 RP) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-0.06 (#142) 
Saves0.12 (#57) 
 
Holds 
 
0.15 (#169)
Strikeouts 
1.82 (#140) 
Walks0.92 (#70) 
 

  • Based on 6/20 start percentages, Brad Boxberger is valued behind Velasquez and above Harris but the projections rank Harris over Brad Boxberger in week 14.
  • Brad Boxberger last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/16 @MIN-6 FP, -6 FD, -6 DK0 IP, 2 ER, 0 K, 3 HA, 1 BBI, SAVE
    6/15 @MIN1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI
    6/12 vs DET2 FP, 6 FD, 4 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI
    6/7 vs CHW6 FP, 9 FD, 5 DK1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 2 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE
    6/5 vs BOS0 FP, 1 FD, 1 DK0.1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE

    Boxberger is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 12 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of -1.6 FPs in 7 of them. He had 7 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-1.6 FP per Week77
    Week 13.3 (2 games 1.7 per game)+4.9
    Week 2-4 (3 games -1.3 per game)-2.4
    Week 3-10 (3 games -3.3 per game)-8.4
    Week 4-14 (2 games -7 per game)-12.4
    Week 51.5 (1 games)+3.1
    Week 65 (3 games 1.7 per game)+6.6
    Week 7-1 (1 games)+0.60.6
    Week 8-4.7 (2 games -2.3 per game)-3.1
    Week 9-2.4 (2 games -1.2 per game)+-0.8-0.8
    Week 103.7 (3 games 1.2 per game)+5.3
    Week 116.8 (3 games 2.3 per game)+8.4
    Week 12-3.5 (3 games -1.2 per game)-1.9