Irvin Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among starting pitchers is #107. As of 6/20, Cole Irvin is the #123 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (4%). With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Cole Irvin to be undervalued. While not a great fantasy option, he may be good for a spot start if you are in bind and with a market ranking this low, there could be a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up. He is projected for 7 fantasy points in 14 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#107) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Cole Irvin behind De Leon and above Montgomery but the projections rank Cole Irvin over De Leon.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
7 (#106) 
Wins5 (#91) 
 
Losses 
 
5 (#125)
Quality Starts7 (#77) 
 
Strikeouts 
 
64 (#124)
Innings 
 
79 (#123)
Walks24 (#93) 
 
ERA 
 
4.22 (#129)
WHIP 
1.28 (#113) 

LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 5/22 VS CHC

  • Loss 4.2 IP, 6 K, 15 ERA, 2.38 WHIP
  • FanDuel: $8100, 11 FPs (-$5069 value, -18.4 FPs)
  • DraftKings: $6800, 1.9 FPs (-$5868 value, -11.9 FPs)

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 6 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of -2.1 FPs in 3 of them. He had 3 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL-2.1 FP per Week33
Week 712.5 (1 games)+14.6
Week 88 (1 games)+10.1
Week 9-15.3 (1 games)-13.3
Week 10-0.8 (1 games)+1.2
Week 12-11.3 (1 games)-9.3
Week 13-5.4 (1 games)-3.3

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 18.7 FD points and 12.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All18.7 ($7.9K)0 G, 0 B12.3 ($6.7K)1 G, 1 B
6/19 @WAS-5.7---5.6--
6/16 @ATL5---2.3--
6/1 @LAD20 ($8.1K)--11.3 ($6.8K)--
5/22 @CHC11 ($8.1K)--1.9 ($6.8K)-10.4
5/17 COL25 ($7.6K)--11.9 ($7K)--
5/12 @KC43+24.324.2 ($6.3K)+11.9