Mitch Garver Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations


Based on ownership percentage (79%), Mitch Garver has a market rank of #10 among catchers. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of higher market expectations. He is only projected to be the #30 catcher. Most owners expect to start Garver every active week, but we think they might have to bench him in certain situations. Since they are overrated by the market, there is the potential to SELL HIGH before other league owners catch on. He is projected for 112 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #1 highest average. The market ranks Mitch Garver behind Posey and above Phegley and the projections agree.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
112 (#30) 
Avg0.29 (#1) 
OPS0.886 (#2) 
Home Runs 
7 (#23) 
23 (#24) 
24 (#26) 
Stolen Bases 
0 (#26) 
30 (#23) 

He does not score as many fantasy points and has fewer RBI than you might expect given his OPS projection.


Mitch Garver is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #10 while his projection (rest of week 13) rank is #41. In week 14 rankings vs other catchers instead of Garver consider these better options at lower start percentages: Russell Martin (7.8 FP), Brian McCann (10.1 FP), Kurt Suzuki (11.6 FP), Chris Iannetta (11.2 FP), and Tyler Flowers (11.2 FP). Starting in 59% of leagues he is expected to produce 11.2 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #10 catcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #40 catcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 5 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 3.4 which is less than his actual per game average (4.4). In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just 1.841875 games.

He is projected for 6.2 fantasy points in week 14 (#40 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
6.22 (#40) 
Avg0.285 (#3) 
OPS0.787 (#4) 
Home Runs0.37 (#31) 
1.26 (#39) 
1.38 (#37) 
Stolen Bases0 (#30) 

  • Based on 6/23 start percentages, Mitch Garver is valued behind Posey and above McCann and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    2 FP vs TB0.7 FP vs TB0.8 FP vs TB1 FP @CHW1 FP @CHW0.8 FP @CHW

    Mitch Garver last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    6/21 @KC1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-0, 1 BB
    6/20 @KC0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3
    6/18 vs BOS4 FP, 12 FD, 9 DK1-7, 1 R, 1 BB
    6/16 vs KC0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    6/15 vs KC2 FP, 6 FD, 5 DK1-4, 1 R


    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (6/23): Garver is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 2.7 DK pts (#26 among catchers). He is the #1 highest priced catcher ($5300). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Garver is worth $2.1K. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Jeff Mathis (3.3 FP), Robinson Chirinos (5 FP), Brian McCann (4.1 FP), Kurt Suzuki (4.2 FP), and Tyler Flowers (4.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.7 FPs, a value reached in 48 of 141 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 49%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 3.6 FanDuel pts Mitch Garver is the #88 ranked C/1Bs. At $3400 he is expected to be the #15 C/1Bs. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Garver is worth $1.3K. C.J. Cron is also priced at $3400 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Garver consider these better options at lower salaries: Albert Pujols (7.4 FP), Miguel Cabrera (8 FP), Jeff Mathis (4.3 FP), Yadier Molina (6.6 FP), and Robinson Chirinos (6.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.1 FPs, a value reached in 45 of 141 games (32%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 47%.

    Garver is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.


    He has averaged 11.2 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL11.2 FP per Week24
    Week 10 (1 games)-11.2
    Week 27.5 (3 games 2.5 per game)
    Week 328.5 (3 games 9.5 per game)+17.3
    Week 415.5 (3 games 5.2 per game)
    Week 52.5 (3 games 0.8 per game)-8.7
    Week 611 (4 games 2.8 per game)
    Week 726.5 (5 games 5.3 per game)+15.3
    Week 88.5 (2 games 4.2 per game)
    Week 103.5 (1 games)-7.7
    Week 1116 (5 games 3.2 per game)
    Week 1210.5 (4 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 134.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-6.7


    His FanDuel average was 13.1 points and on DraftKings it was 10.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 19 and on FanDuel it was 31.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All13.1 ($3.1K)11 G, 19 B10.1 ($4.6K)9 G, 17 B
    6/21 @KC3--2--
    6/20 @KC0 ($3.7K)-13.10 ($5.3K)-10.1
    6/18 BOS12.2 ($3.7K)--9 ($5.1K)--
    6/16 KC0 ($3.6K)-13.10 ($5.3K)-10.1
    6/15 KC6.2 ($3.4K)-6.95 ($5.3K)-5.1
    6/14 KC22.2 ($3.5K)+9.116 ($5.3K)+5.9
    6/12 SEA9.5 ($3.4K)--8 ($5.1K)--
    6/9 @DET21.9 ($3.2K)+8.815 ($5.3K)--
    6/7 @DET31.7 ($2.9K)+18.624 ($4.3K)+13.9
    6/6 @CLE9.5 ($2.9K)--7 ($4.9K)--
    6/5 @CLE0 ($3.1K)-13.10 ($5.5K)-10.1
    6/4 @CLE3 ($3.1K)-10.12 ($5.1K)-8.1
    6/2 @TB12.7 ($3K)--9 ($4.6K)--
    5/14 LAA22.2 ($3.3K)+9.116 ($4.6K)+5.9
    5/13 LAA6.2 ($3.3K)-6.94 ($4.7K)-6.1
    5/12 DET3 ($3.1K)-10.12 ($4.8K)-8.1
    5/11 DET18.7 ($3.1K)--14 ($4.7K)--
    5/10 DET34.4 ($3.1K)+21.324 ($4.7K)+13.9
    5/8 @TOR3 ($3K)-10.13 ($4.5K)-7.1
    5/7 @TOR31.2 ($3K)+18.124 ($4.3K)+13.9
    5/4 @NYY31.4 ($2.8K)+18.324 ($4.4K)+13.9
    5/3 @NYY0 ($2.7K)-13.10 ($4.1K)-10.1
    5/1 HOU6.2 ($2.9K)-6.94 ($4.4K)-6.1
    4/29 HOU0 ($3.2K)-13.10 ($4.2K)-10.1
    4/28 BAL3 ($3.5K)-10.12 ($4.5K)-8.1
    4/26 BAL6 ($3.5K)-7.15 ($4.6K)-5.1
    4/23 @HOU6.2 ($3.8K)-6.95 ($4.5K)-5.1
    4/20 @BAL53.9 ($3.4K)+40.839 ($4.4K)+28.9
    4/16 TOR3 ($3.4K)-10.12 ($4.2K)-8.1
    4/15 TOR0 ($3.4K)-13.10 ($4K)-10.1
    4/14 DET18.2 ($3.2K)--14 ($4.1K)--
    4/10 @NYM24.9 ($2.1K)+11.819 ($2.9K)+8.9
    4/9 @NYM46.6 ($2.1K)+33.536 ($3.1K)+25.9
    4/6 @PHI0 ($2.1K)-13.10-10.1
    4/5 @PHI0 ($2K)-13.10 ($3.6K)-10.1
    4/3 @KC25.4 ($2K)+12.319+8.9
    3/30 CLE0 ($2.4K)-13.10-10.1