Brad Boxberger's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Brad Boxberger has a market rank of 64 and a projection based rank of 125. A disparity this large usually indicates that crucial information around player status, depth, role on the team, etc. is clouding market expectations and/or making it tough to provide confident projections. Keep monitoring this situation for more updates. He is projected for -2 fantasy points in 30 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #146 highest average. The market ranks Brad Boxberger behind Baez and above Brebbia but the projections rank Brebbia over Brad Boxberger.

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-2 (#164) 
Saves2 (#53) 
 
Holds3 (#148) 
 
Strikeouts32 (#105) 
 
Walks16 (#31) 
 
ERA 
 
4.85 (#219)

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Baez is expected to produce more fantasy points than Brad Boxberger and the projections validate that assessment. Brebbia is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Brad Boxberger but the projections have Brebbia putting up more fantasy points. He is starting in just 3% of leagues and with a projected reliever rank of #104 in week 14 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 0 fantasy points in week 14 (#117 RP) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
0.02 (#117) 
Saves0.12 (#54) 
 
Holds 
 
0.14 (#163)
Strikeouts 
 
1.67 (#139)
Walks0.86 (#76) 
 

  • Based on 6/24 start percentages, Brad Boxberger is valued behind Baez and above Brebbia but the projections rank Brebbia over Brad Boxberger in week 14.
  • Brad Boxberger last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/23 vs MIN-1 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE
    6/16 @MIN-6 FP, -6 FD, -6 DK0 IP, 2 ER, 0 K, 3 HA, 1 BBI
    6/15 @MIN1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI
    6/12 vs DET2 FP, 6 FD, 4 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE
    6/7 vs CHW6 FP, 9 FD, 5 DK1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 2 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE

    Boxberger is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -1.5 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-1.5 FP per Week78
    Week 13.3 (2 games 1.7 per game)+4.9
    Week 2-4 (3 games -1.3 per game)-2.5
    Week 3-10 (3 games -3.3 per game)-8.5
    Week 4-14 (2 games -7 per game)-12.5
    Week 51.5 (1 games)+3
    Week 65 (3 games 1.7 per game)+6.5
    Week 7-1 (1 games)+0.50.5
    Week 8-4.7 (2 games -2.3 per game)-3.1
    Week 9-2.4 (2 games -1.2 per game)-0.9
    Week 103.7 (3 games 1.2 per game)+5.2
    Week 116.8 (3 games 2.3 per game)+8.4
    Week 12-3.5 (3 games -1.2 per game)-2
    Week 13-0.8 (1 games)+0.70.7