Mitch Garver Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (76%), Mitch Garver is expected to be the #10 catcher for the rest of the season. Based on the latest projections the market is overrating Garver. He is only projected to be the #30 catcher. Based on these value metrics, there is the potential to SELL HIGH before other league owners catch on. He is projected for 113 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #1 highest average. The market ranks Mitch Garver behind Posey and above Phegley and the projections agree.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
113 (#30) 
Avg0.289 (#1) 
 
OPS0.884 (#1) 
 
Home Runs 
7 (#22) 
Runs 
23 (#24) 
RBI 
24 (#24) 
Stolen Bases 
0 (#26) 
Strikeouts 
31 (#26) 

His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Mitch Garver is a bad value this week. He has a market rank of #10 while his projection (week 14) rank is #40. In week 14 rankings vs other catchers these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Russell Martin (8 FP), Brian McCann (10 FP), Kurt Suzuki (12 FP), Chris Iannetta (11 FP), and Tyler Flowers (11 FP). Starting in 50% of leagues he is expected to produce 11 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #10 catcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #40 catcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 4.6 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 3.4 which is less than his actual per game average (4.4). In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just 1.8665625 games.

He is projected for 6.4 fantasy points in week 14 (#40 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
6.35 (#40) 
Avg0.294 (#2) 
 
OPS0.82 (#2) 
 
Home Runs0.4 (#28) 
 
Runs 
1.26 (#39) 
RBI 
1.38 (#38) 
Stolen Bases 
0 (#32) 

  • Based on 6/24 start percentages, Mitch Garver is valued behind Posey and above Phegley and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    2.2 FP vs TB0.7 FP vs TB0.8 FP vs TB1 FP @CHW1 FP @CHW0.8 FP @CHW

    Mitch Garver last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/21 @KC1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-0, 1 BB
    6/20 @KC0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3
    6/18 vs BOS4 FP, 12 FD, 9 DK1-7, 1 R, 1 BB
    6/16 vs KC0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    6/15 vs KC2 FP, 6 FD, 5 DK1-4, 1 R

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 6/20 VS KC

    • 0-3
    • FanDuel: $3700, 0 FPs (-$3695 value, -12.9 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5300, 0 FPs (-$5299 value, -10.6 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 11.2 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL11.2 FP per Week24
    Week 10 (1 games)-11.2
    Week 27.5 (3 games 2.5 per game)
    Week 328.5 (3 games 9.5 per game)+17.3
    Week 415.5 (3 games 5.2 per game)
    Week 52.5 (3 games 0.8 per game)-8.7
    Week 611 (4 games 2.8 per game)
    Week 726.5 (5 games 5.3 per game)+15.3
    Week 88.5 (2 games 4.2 per game)
    Week 103.5 (1 games)-7.7
    Week 1116 (5 games 3.2 per game)
    Week 1210.5 (4 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 134.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-6.7

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 13.1 points and on DraftKings it was 10.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 19 and on FanDuel it was 31.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All13.1 ($3.1K)11 G, 19 B10.1 ($4.6K)9 G, 17 B
    6/21 @KC3--2--
    6/20 @KC0 ($3.7K)-13.10 ($5.3K)-10.1
    6/18 BOS12.2 ($3.7K)--9 ($5.1K)--
    6/16 KC0 ($3.6K)-13.10 ($5.3K)-10.1
    6/15 KC6.2 ($3.4K)-6.95 ($5.3K)-5.1
    6/14 KC22.2 ($3.5K)+9.116 ($5.3K)+5.9
    6/12 SEA9.5 ($3.4K)--8 ($5.1K)--
    6/9 @DET21.9 ($3.2K)+8.815 ($5.3K)--
    6/7 @DET31.7 ($2.9K)+18.624 ($4.3K)+13.9
    6/6 @CLE9.5 ($2.9K)--7 ($4.9K)--
    6/5 @CLE0 ($3.1K)-13.10 ($5.5K)-10.1
    6/4 @CLE3 ($3.1K)-10.12 ($5.1K)-8.1
    6/2 @TB12.7 ($3K)--9 ($4.6K)--
    5/14 LAA22.2 ($3.3K)+9.116 ($4.6K)+5.9
    5/13 LAA6.2 ($3.3K)-6.94 ($4.7K)-6.1
    5/12 DET3 ($3.1K)-10.12 ($4.8K)-8.1
    5/11 DET18.7 ($3.1K)--14 ($4.7K)--
    5/10 DET34.4 ($3.1K)+21.324 ($4.7K)+13.9
    5/8 @TOR3 ($3K)-10.13 ($4.5K)-7.1
    5/7 @TOR31.2 ($3K)+18.124 ($4.3K)+13.9
    5/4 @NYY31.4 ($2.8K)+18.324 ($4.4K)+13.9
    5/3 @NYY0 ($2.7K)-13.10 ($4.1K)-10.1
    5/1 HOU6.2 ($2.9K)-6.94 ($4.4K)-6.1
    4/29 HOU0 ($3.2K)-13.10 ($4.2K)-10.1
    4/28 BAL3 ($3.5K)-10.12 ($4.5K)-8.1
    4/26 BAL6 ($3.5K)-7.15 ($4.6K)-5.1
    4/23 @HOU6.2 ($3.8K)-6.95 ($4.5K)-5.1
    4/20 @BAL53.9 ($3.4K)+40.839 ($4.4K)+28.9
    4/16 TOR3 ($3.4K)-10.12 ($4.2K)-8.1
    4/15 TOR0 ($3.4K)-13.10 ($4K)-10.1
    4/14 DET18.2 ($3.2K)--14 ($4.1K)--
    4/10 @NYM24.9 ($2.1K)+11.819 ($2.9K)+8.9
    4/9 @NYM46.6 ($2.1K)+33.536 ($3.1K)+25.9
    4/6 @PHI0 ($2.1K)-13.10-10.1
    4/5 @PHI0 ($2K)-13.10 ($3.6K)-10.1
    4/3 @KC25.4 ($2K)+12.319+8.9
    3/30 CLE0 ($2.4K)-13.10-10.1