Lambert Fantasy Week 17 Projection vs Expectation

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Velasquez is expected to produce more fantasy points than Peter Lambert but the projections say otherwise. Alzolay is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Peter Lambert but the projections have Alzolay putting up more fantasy points. Starting in 3% of leagues he is expected to produce -2.1 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #98 starting pitcher of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #80 starting pitcher).

He is projected for 0.3 fantasy points in week 17 (#85 SP) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
0.33 (#85) 
Wins0.42 (#60) 
 
Losses0.22 (#24) 
 
Quality Starts 
 
0.37 (#124)
Strikeouts 
 
4.01 (#121)
Innings 
 
5.06 (#139)
Walks 
 
1.29 (#136)

  • Based on 7/13 start percentages, Peter Lambert is valued behind Velasquez and above Alzolay
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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (13%), Peter Lambert is expected to be the #110 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Peter Lambert is overrated by the market. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #121. He is projected for -2 fantasy points in 13 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#128) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Peter Lambert behind Duplantier and above Urena but the projections rank Urena over Peter Lambert.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    -2 (#127) 
    Wins5 (#45) 
     
    Losses3 (#64) 
     
    Quality Starts5 (#93) 
     
    Strikeouts52 (#111) 
     
    Innings68 (#107) 
     
    Walks17 (#116) 
     
    ERA 
     
    4.5 (#147)
    WHIP 
     
    1.34 (#143)

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 7/3 VS HOU

    • Loss 5 IP, 2 K, 7.2 ERA, 1.6 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $5500, 9 FPs (-$2705 value, -8.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5300, 2.4 FPs (-$4005 value, -7.4 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -3.3 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (under 50% of average) and just one week where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-3.3 FP per Week14
    Week 1115.5 (1 games)+18.8
    Week 12-7 (2 games -3.5 per game)-3.7
    Week 13-5.5 (1 games)-2.2
    Week 14-8.3 (1 games)-5.1
    Week 15-11 (1 games)-7.7

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 16.5 FD points and 4.8 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All16.5 ($6.1K)2 G, 2 B4.8 ($5.3K)1 G, 1 B
    7/3 HOU9 ($5.5K)--2.4 ($5.3K)--
    6/27 LAD5 ($5.8K)-11.5-0.9 ($4.7K)-5.7
    6/22 @LAD9 ($6.9K)--2.5 ($5.5K)--
    6/16 SD-6 ($6.3K)-22.5-8.6-13.4
    6/11 CHC27 ($6.7K)+10.515 ($5.6K)+10.2
    6/6 @CHC55 ($5.5K)+38.532.8+28