Lambert Fantasy Week 17 Projection vs Expectation


Based on start%, Wilson is expected to produce more fantasy points than Peter Lambert but the projections say otherwise. Peter Lambert should put up more fantasy points than Godley who is ranked 1 spot below him based on start%. Starting in 3% of leagues he is expected to produce 0 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #112 starting pitcher of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #82 starting pitcher).

He is projected for 0.3 fantasy points in week 17 (#89 SP) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
0.32 (#89) 
Wins0.46 (#54) 
Losses0.2 (#20) 
Quality Starts 
0.37 (#123)
4.02 (#126)
5.01 (#139)
1.37 (#126)

  • Based on 7/15 start percentages, Peter Lambert is valued behind Wilson and above Godley
  • Peter Lambert last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    7/3 vs HOU-11 FP, 9 FD, 2 DK5 IP, 4 ER, 2 K, 5 HA, 3 BBI, WIN
    6/27 vs LAD-8 FP, 5 FD, -1 DK4.2 IP, 5 ER, 2 K, 9 HA, 0 BBI, WIN
    6/22 @LAD-6 FP, 9 FD, 2 DK5 IP, 3 ER, 1 K, 7 HA, 1 BBI
    6/16 vs SD-12 FP, -6 FD, -9 DK3 IP, 8 ER, 3 K, 9 HA, 0 BBI
    6/11 vs CHC6 FP, 27 FD, 15 DK5 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 3 HA, 2 BBI

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    Ranking by ownership percentage (12%), Peter Lambert is expected to be the #112 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. The market is higher on Peter Lambert than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #121. He is projected for -6 fantasy points in 13 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #145 highest average. The market ranks Peter Lambert behind Wilson and above Godley

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    -6 (#148) 
    Wins5 (#46) 
    Losses4 (#125) 
    Quality Starts5 (#84) 
    Strikeouts52 (#111) 
    Innings68 (#94) 
    Walks18 (#96) 
    4.63 (#158)
    1.35 (#150) 


    • Loss 5 IP, 2 K, 7.2 ERA, 1.6 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $5500, 9 FPs (-$2705 value, -8.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5300, 2.4 FPs (-$4005 value, -7.4 FPs)


    He has averaged -3.3 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (under 50% of average) and just one week where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-3.3 FP per Week14
    Week 1115.5 (1 games)+18.8
    Week 12-7 (2 games -3.5 per game)-3.7
    Week 13-5.5 (1 games)-2.2
    Week 14-8.3 (1 games)-5.1
    Week 15-11 (1 games)-7.7


    He averaged 16.5 FD points and 4.8 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was -1000 fantasy points and -1000 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All16.5 ($6.1K)2 G, 2 B4.8 ($5.3K)1 G, 1 B
    7/3 HOU9 ($5.5K)--2.4 ($5.3K)--
    6/27 LAD5 ($5.8K)-11.5-0.9 ($4.7K)-5.7
    6/22 @LAD9 ($6.9K)--2.5 ($5.5K)--
    6/16 SD-6 ($6.3K)-22.5-8.6-13.4
    6/11 CHC27 ($6.7K)+10.515 ($5.6K)+10.2
    6/6 @CHC55 ($5.5K)+38.532.8+28