Lambert Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (12%), Peter Lambert is expected to be the #109 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. Peter Lambert's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #122. He is projected for -9 fantasy points in 12 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #157 highest average. The market ranks Peter Lambert behind Valdez and above Loaisiga but the projections rank Loaisiga over Peter Lambert.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-9 (#163) 
Wins4 (#66) 
 
Losses3 (#74) 
 
Quality Starts5 (#83) 
 
Strikeouts46 (#130) 
 
Innings63 (#112) 
 
Walks15 (#124) 
 
ERA 
4.71 (#162) 
WHIP1.35 (#150) 
 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Agrazal is expected to produce more fantasy points than Peter Lambert and the projections validate that assessment. Peter Lambert should put up more fantasy points than Beede who is ranked 1 spot below him based on start%. He is starting in just 4% of leagues and with a projected starting pitcher rank of #101 in week 18 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for -1.1 fantasy points in week 18 (#140 SP) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-1.13 (#140) 
Wins0.64 (#22) 
 
Losses 
0.6 (#134) 
Quality Starts0.86 (#25) 
 
Strikeouts7.2 (#43) 
 
Innings11.03 (#21) 
 
Walks2.31 (#38) 
 

  • Based on 7/17 start percentages, Peter Lambert is valued behind Agrazal and above Beede
  • LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 7/16 VS SF

    • 6 IP, 3 K, 3 ERA, 1 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $5500, 25 FPs (+$2011 value, +6.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $4900, 11.9 FPs (+$1372 value, +2.6 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -2.3 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-2.3 FP per Week24
    Week 1115.5 (1 games)+17.8
    Week 12-7 (2 games -3.5 per game)-4.7
    Week 13-5.5 (1 games)-3.2
    Week 14-8.3 (1 games)-6
    Week 15-11 (1 games)-8.7
    Week 172.5 (1 games)+4.8

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 17.7 FD points and 6.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more bad than good games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All17.7 ($6K)2 G, 2 B6.2 ($5.2K)2 G, 3 B
    7/16 SF25 ($5.5K)--11.9 ($4.9K)+5.7
    7/3 HOU9 ($5.5K)--2.4 ($5.3K)-3.8
    6/27 LAD5 ($5.8K)-12.7-0.9 ($4.7K)-7.1
    6/22 @LAD9 ($6.9K)--2.5 ($5.5K)-3.7
    6/16 SD-6 ($6.3K)-23.7-8.6-14.8
    6/11 CHC27 ($6.7K)+9.315 ($5.6K)+8.8
    6/6 @CHC55 ($5.5K)+37.332.8+26.6