MLB World Series and League Futures: Astros Fans Will Like This

The percentage difference at the top of the AL is very large at 21.1%. The New York Yankees at 23% trail the Houston Astros at 44.1%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Yankees chances are down from 32.4 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #6 best record. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the AL with just 4 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

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AL FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN AL ODDSWIN AL SIM
Houston Astros108.799.9%100.0%5/8 (61.5%)44.1%
New York Yankees102.198.3%99.7%11/4 (26.7%)23.0%
Minnesota Twins98.150.9%95.6%7/1 (12.5%)13.5%
Cleveland Indians98.049.1%93.8%10/1 (9.1%)12.8%
Tampa Bay Rays92.31.6%49.4%12/1 (7.7%)3.8%
Oakland Athletics92.60.1%57.7%20/1 (4.8%)2.6%
Boston Red Sox86.30.0%3.8%30/1 (3.2%)0.3%
Texas Rangers79.60.0%0.1%250/1 (0.4%)--
Los Angeles Angels76.20.0%0.0%500/1 (0.2%)--
Chicago White Sox70.90.0%0.0%5000/1--
Toronto Blue Jays67.90.0%0.0%10000/1--
Seattle Mariners66.90.0%0.0%10000/1--
Kansas City Royals61.50.0%0.0%25000/1--
Baltimore Orioles54.00.0%0.0%25000/1--
Detroit Tigers48.30.0%0.0%25000/1--

There is a huge 30% gap between NL leaders. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead with a 46.1 percent chance of winning the NL and the Chicago Cubs are at 16.1%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Cubs chances are down from 19.4 percent. There is a 3.52 difference in projected win total between the #5 best record and the #6 best record in the NL. This is a pretty significant difference even if it does not seem to be at first glance. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the NL with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

NL FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN NL ODDSWIN NL SIM
Los Angeles Dodgers105.8100.0%100.0%4/7 (63.6%)46.1%
Chicago Cubs88.558.8%78.8%6/1 (14.3%)16.1%
Atlanta Braves92.078.9%96.7%9/2 (18.2%)14.6%
Milwaukee Brewers86.226.8%58.1%20/1 (4.8%)9.0%
Washington Nationals87.215.0%62.0%15/1 (6.2%)7.4%
New York Mets83.74.0%27.7%40/1 (2.4%)2.5%
St Louis Cardinals84.113.7%34.9%10/1 (9.1%)2.0%
Philadelphia Phillies82.62.0%18.0%20/1 (4.8%)1.4%
Arizona Diamondbacks82.60.0%18.0%250/1 (0.4%)0.7%
San Francisco Giants78.90.0%3.0%50/1 (2%)0.2%
Cincinnati Reds77.50.6%2.0%250/1 (0.4%)--
San Diego Padres75.80.0%0.6%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Colorado Rockies72.60.0%0.0%1000/1 (0.1%)--
Pittsburgh Pirates67.90.0%0.0%2500/1--
Miami Marlins61.30.0%0.0%25000/1--

All playoff teams may think they have a shot at winning the World Series, but only 9 really do with at least a two percent chance. At #2, the Dodgers have a 27 percent chance of winning the World Series, which is 1 percentage points behind the Astros. At the bottom of the contenders list, 2.7 percentage points separate the Twins from the Nationals.

WS CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Houston Astros2/133.3%27.4%UP
Los Angeles Dodgers5/228.6%26.8%DOWN
New York Yankees6/114.3%11.1%DOWN
Chicago Cubs14/16.7%6.3%DOWN
Atlanta Braves10/19.1%6.1%--
Cleveland Indians20/14.8%5.5%DOWN
Minnesota Twins16/15.9%5.4%--
Milwaukee Brewers40/12.4%3.7%DOWN
Washington Nationals30/13.2%2.7%DOWN
Tampa Bay Rays25/13.8%1.6%DOWN
Oakland Athletics40/12.4%1.1%DOWN