SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Jon Lester was scratched from his scheduled start against the Giants yesterday with an illness. My guess is he is expected to make his next start, unless this illness persists into next week.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Jon Lester to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 15.84 projected fantasy points puts him at #46 behind Carlos Carrasco and ahead of Yonny Chirinos. He has averaged 1.44 fantasy points in his past 57 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 1.98 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#54) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 94%, he is the #43 most highly owned starting pitcher. Jon Lester is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #96 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (SP)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#44 Jon Gray (93% OWN)||16.9 FP, 1.88 per game||54 FP, 41 gp, 1.3 per game (#46)|
|#45 Carlos Carrasco (75% OWN)||16.1 FP, 4.03 per game||138 FP, 32 gp, 4.32 per game (#16)|
|#46 Jon Lester (94% OWN)||15.8 FP, 1.98 per game||86 FP, 33 gp, 2.61 per game (#37)|
|#47 Yonny Chirinos (77% OWN)||15.7 FP, 3.93 per game||86 FP, 33 gp, 2.61 per game (#37)|
|#48 Zac Gallen (88% OWN)||15.6 FP, 1.74 per game||86 FP, 33 gp, 2.61 per game (#37)|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||15.8||3.7||2.1||45||42||11.9|
|-- Per Game (8 Proj)||2.0||0.47||0.26||5.6||5.3||1.5|
|8/12 to 8/18 (2 Games)||1.4||0.41||0.27||5.8||4.9||1.3|
|8/19 to 8/25 (2 Games)||0.42||0.44||0.29||5.4||5.1||1.8|
|-- Per Game (24 GP)||-0.17||0.38||0.33||5.3||5.4||1.3|
|2018 to 2019||82||27||14||306||278||96|
|-- Per Game (57 GP)||1.4||0.47||0.25||5.4||4.9||1.7|