MLB World Series and League Futures: Astros Moving Up

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The percentage difference at the top of the AL is very large at 22.4%. The New York Yankees at 23.1% trail the Houston Astros at 45.5%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Yankees chances are down from 32.4 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #6 best record. This is a very top heavy league with just 4 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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AL FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN AL ODDSWIN AL SIM
Houston Astros105.299.1%100.0%5/8 (61.5%)45.5%
New York Yankees102.998.7%99.8%11/4 (26.7%)23.1%
Minnesota Twins100.063.1%96.7%9/1 (10%)13.2%
Cleveland Indians98.236.9%89.0%7/1 (12.5%)11.7%
Tampa Bay Rays94.11.3%48.8%12/1 (7.7%)4.0%
Oakland Athletics94.90.9%63.9%20/1 (4.8%)2.5%
Boston Red Sox87.60.0%2.0%50/1 (2%)0.1%
Texas Rangers77.00.0%0.0%150/1 (0.7%)--
Los Angeles Angels75.40.0%0.0%1500/1 (0.1%)--
Chicago White Sox71.70.0%0.0%5000/1--
Toronto Blue Jays68.30.0%0.0%10000/1--
Seattle Mariners68.00.0%0.0%10000/1--
Kansas City Royals60.40.0%0.0%----
Baltimore Orioles51.60.0%0.0%----
Detroit Tigers48.20.0%0.0%----

There is a huge 31% gap between NL leaders. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead with a 47.5 percent chance of winning the NL and the Chicago Cubs are at 16.4%. The gap seems to be widening. The Cubs chances are down from 19.4 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #6 best record. This is a top heavy league with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

NL FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN NL ODDSWIN NL SIM
Los Angeles Dodgers106.0100.0%100.0%5/9 (64.3%)47.5%
Chicago Cubs88.055.9%74.9%7/1 (12.5%)16.4%
Atlanta Braves92.979.4%98.9%9/2 (18.2%)13.7%
Washington Nationals88.818.5%82.1%20/1 (4.8%)9.0%
Milwaukee Brewers84.113.5%32.4%15/1 (6.2%)6.1%
St Louis Cardinals86.330.5%56.6%15/1 (6.2%)3.8%
Philadelphia Phillies84.11.4%28.3%40/1 (2.4%)2.5%
New York Mets82.40.6%14.5%15/1 (6.2%)0.7%
San Francisco Giants80.10.0%5.0%100/1 (1%)0.2%
Arizona Diamondbacks81.20.0%6.6%50/1 (2%)0.2%
Cincinnati Reds75.20.0%0.2%50/1 (2%)--
San Diego Padres75.30.0%0.3%500/1 (0.2%)--
Colorado Rockies74.60.0%0.1%2500/1--
Pittsburgh Pirates67.50.0%0.0%10000/1--
Miami Marlins60.00.0%0.0%25000/1--

All playoff teams may think they have a shot at winning the World Series, but only 9 really do with at least a two percent chance. At #2, the Astros have a 28 percent chance of winning the World Series, which is 1 percentage points behind the Dodgers. At the bottom of the contenders list, 2.6 percentage points separate the Indians from the Brewers.

WS CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Los Angeles Dodgers5/228.6%28.5%--
Houston Astros2/133.3%27.7%UP
New York Yankees6/114.3%10.9%DOWN
Chicago Cubs10/19.1%6.3%--
Minnesota Twins18/15.3%5.6%--
Atlanta Braves10/19.1%5.2%DOWN
Cleveland Indians16/15.9%5.0%DOWN
Washington Nationals40/12.4%3.5%DOWN
Milwaukee Brewers30/13.2%2.4%DOWN
Tampa Bay Rays25/13.8%1.7%DOWN
St Louis Cardinals30/13.2%1.1%DOWN
Oakland Athletics40/12.4%1.1%DOWN