As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Emilio Pagan to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 62.88 projected fantasy points puts him at #7 behind Hector Neris and ahead of Carlos Martinez. He has averaged 1.27 fantasy points in his past 105 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 4.47 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#10) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 74%, he is the #19 most highly owned reliever. Emilio Pagan is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #23 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (RP)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#5 Craig Kimbrel (93% OWN)||71 FP, 4.8 per game||351 FP, 63 gp, 5.57 per game (#2)|
|#6 Hector Neris (80% OWN)||66 FP, 4.08 per game||65 FP, 53 gp, 1.22 per game (#49)|
|#7 Emilio Pagan (74% OWN)||63 FP, 4.47 per game||65 FP, 53 gp, 1.22 per game (#49)|
|#8 Carlos Martinez (82% OWN)||61 FP, 11.2 per game||51 FP, 34 gp, 1.5 per game (#36)|
|#9 Josh Hader (96% OWN)||61 FP, 3.81 per game||175 FP, 54 gp, 3.24 per game (#13)|
These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.
WEEK 22 AND 23 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Emilio Pagan is projected for 12.37 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #4 ranked reliever and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Craig Kimbrel but behind Kenley Jansen the rest of the week. Week 23 will not be as good based on projected rank (#20). He is projected for 7.63 fantasy points.
|8/20 TO 8/25 RANK (RP)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#2 Brad Hand||13.3 FP (92% ST)||5.4 FP|
|#3 Kenley Jansen||13.2 FP (87% ST)||5.5 FP|
|#4 Emilio Pagan||12.4 FP (70% ST)||4.47 FP|
|#5 Craig Kimbrel||12 FP (65% ST)||4.8 FP|
|#6 Liam Hendriks||10.4 FP (75% ST)||5.1 FP|
|8/26 TO 9/1 RANK (RP)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#18 Jarlin Garcia||8.1 FP (4% ST)||2.95 FP|
|#19 Edwin Diaz||8 FP (64% ST)||3.84 FP|
|#20 Emilio Pagan||7.6 FP (70% ST)||4.47 FP|
|#21 Mark Melancon||7.6 FP (45% ST)||3.11 FP|
|#22 Ken Giles||7 FP (63% ST)||3.14 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||63||8.1||0.6||12.5||15.6||2.9|
|-- Per Game (14 Proj)||4.5||0.57||0.04||0.89||1.1||0.21|
|8/19 to 8/25 (2.4 Games)||12.4||1.6||0.11||2.1||2.5||0.47|
|8/26 to 9/1 (2.4 Games)||7.6||0.98||0.11||2.1||2.8||0.52|
|-- Per Game (50 GP)||2.6||0.26||0.14||1.0||1.5||0.24|
|2018 to 2019||133||13||13||107||139||31|
|-- Per Game (105 GP)||1.3||0.12||0.12||1.0||1.3||0.30|