SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Trevor Bauer was traded to the Reds as part of a three-team deal between the Reds, Indians and Padres yesterday. The Reds acquired Bauer, the Padres acquired Taylor Trammell (the Reds #1 overall prospect), and the Indians acquired Franmil Reyes, Logan Allen, Yasiel Puig, Scott Moss, and Victor Nova. This seems like a good deal for all three teams involved, they all get what they were looking for and give up players that they deemed expendable. The Reds get their ace, the Padres get their possible superstar for a couple lower leverage prospects and the Indians get their big haul with Major League ready players, as well as prospects.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Trevor Bauer to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 10.36 projected fantasy points puts him at #56 behind Masahiro Tanaka and ahead of Alex Young. He has averaged 3.57 fantasy points in his past 56 games, which is more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 1.57 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#63) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #12 most highly owned starting pitcher. Trevor Bauer is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #45 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (SP)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#54 Carlos Carrasco (73% OWN)||10.5 FP, 3 per game||138 FP, 32 gp, 4.32 per game (#16)|
|#55 Masahiro Tanaka (96% OWN)||10.5 FP, 1.59 per game||82 FP, 26 gp, 3.17 per game (#30)|
|#56 Trevor Bauer (98% OWN)||10.4 FP, 1.57 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
|#57 Alex Young (43% OWN)||10 FP, 1.43 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
|#58 Dustin May (57% OWN)||9.9 FP, 1.85 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||10.4||2.3||2.3||43||44||15.5|
|-- Per Game (7 Proj)||1.6||0.35||0.35||6.5||6.7||2.3|
|8/19 to 8/25 (2 Games)||2.1||0.38||0.31||6.6||6.0||1.9|
|8/26 to 9/1 (2 Games)||1.9||0.28||0.40||6.8||6.6||2.4|
|-- Per Game (28 GP)||1.3||0.36||0.36||6.4||7.7||2.5|
|2018 to 2019||200||22||16||349||436||128|
|-- Per Game (56 GP)||3.6||0.39||0.29||6.2||7.8||2.3|