SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Pirates are not contenders to win the championship at 20000/1. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 10000/1. They are projected to win 67 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 78.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 4.8% at 20/1, 4.8%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 127 games, their expected win percentage is 44% based on the money line odds. At 52-75 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (-1537 units). They are not good against the spread (58-69) for a -1941 loss. Their over-under record is 71-51 with 5 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 47% chance to beat the Reds in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|8/23 CIN||47%||22-10, +1097||15-16-1|
|8/24 CIN||54%||22-10, +1097||15-16-1|
|8/25 CIN||48%||22-10, +1097||15-16-1|
|8/26 PHI||29%||2-8, -663||1-7-2|
|8/27 PHI||31%||2-8, -663||1-7-2|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their average run differential is -0.98 which ranks #14 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #14 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #15 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -2.54.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 127 Games||4.6 (#10)||0.262 (#3)||0.612 (#10)|
|Road||4.5 (#10)||0.261 (#3)||0.621 (#6)|
|Home||4.6 (#11)||0.263 (#6)||0.603 (#12)|
|Last 13 Games||3.5 (#15)||0.233 (#14)||0.533 (#15)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||5.5 (#14)||0.266 (#14)||0.657 (#14)|
|Road||5.1 (#15)||0.264 (#13||0.625 (#8)|
|Home||6.0 (#14)||0.267 (#14)||0.689 (#14)|
|Last 13 Games||6.1 (#13)||0.283 (#13)||0.676 (#8)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Josh Bell who is projected to be the #6 first baseman / DH the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Josh Bell||99||6||Anthony Rizzo||Paul Goldschmidt|
|Starling Marte||100||14||Yordan Alvarez||Trey Mancini|
|Jacob Stallings||1||16||Willians Astudillo||Jake Rogers|
|Felipe Vazquez||94||17||Brandon Workman||Ian Kennedy|
|Bryan Reynolds||78||20||Danny Santana||Austin Meadows|
|Kevin Newman||36||23||Harold Castro||Bo Bichette|
|Adam Frazier||20||30||Joe Panik||Isan Diaz|
|Colin Moran||19||31||Cheslor Cuthbert||Martin Prado|
|Elias Diaz||7||43||Matt Wieters||Kevin Plawecki|
|Keone Kela||3||47||Sam Dyson||Rowan Wick|