As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
DJ Lemahieu was out of the lineup over the weekend with a groin strain. He said he felt a lot better yesterday and expects to be back in the lineup tomorrow after the off day today. The Yankees are optimistic he can avoid an IL stint.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Based on our latest projection, you can expect DJ LeMahieu to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 76.24 projected fantasy points puts him at #2 behind Jose Altuve and ahead of Yoan Moncada. He has averaged 3.39 fantasy points in his past 250 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.38 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #5 most highly owned second baseman. He is also currently the #2 ranked second baseman.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (2B)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#1 Jose Altuve (100% OWN)||93 FP, 3.84 per game||412 FP, 137 gp, 3 per game (#3)|
|#2 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)||76 FP, 3.38 per game||383 FP, 127 gp, 3.02 per game (#2)|
|#3 Yoan Moncada (98% OWN)||75 FP, 2.98 per game||332 FP, 149 gp, 2.22 per game (#22)|
|#4 Whit Merrifield (100% OWN)||74 FP, 3.18 per game||446 FP, 158 gp, 2.82 per game (#7)|
|#5 Ketel Marte (99% OWN)||74 FP, 3.14 per game||370 FP, 151 gp, 2.45 per game (#14)|
WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK
DJ LeMahieu is projected for 3.09 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #7 ranked second baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a slightly below average game with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Luis Arraez but behind Jonathan Villar the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#3). He is projected for 18.37 fantasy points.
|9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (2B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#5 Yoan Moncada (98% OWN)||3.26 FP (76% ST)||2.98 FP|
|#6 Jonathan Villar (97% OWN)||3.21 FP (88% ST)||2.79 FP|
|#7 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)||3.09 FP (97% ST)||3.38 FP|
|#8 Luis Arraez (53% OWN)||3.03 FP (39% ST)||2.87 FP|
|#9 Hanser Alberto (27% OWN)||2.98 FP (20% ST)||2.52 FP|
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (2B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#1 Jose Altuve (100% OWN)||21.5 FP (99% ST)||3.84 FP|
|#2 Eric Sogard (38% OWN)||18.5 FP (27% ST)||2.91 FP|
|#3 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)||18.4 FP (97% ST)||3.38 FP|
|#4 Whit Merrifield (100% OWN)||18.2 FP (98% ST)||3.18 FP|
|#5 Luis Arraez (53% OWN)||18.1 FP (39% ST)||2.87 FP|
DJ LEMAHIEU IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $4.2K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $5.1K ON 9/1
He is projected for 10.5 FanDuel points and 8 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$661 short of $4.2K on FanDuel and -$458 short of $5.1K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (3B) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#11 Miguel Sano||10.9 FD Points||$3600|
|#12 Kyle Seager||10.8 FD Points||$3500|
|#13 DJ LeMahieu||10.5 FD Points||$4200|
|#14 Sheldon Neuse||10.3 FD Points||$2000|
|#15 Justin Turner||10.2 FD Points||$3600|
|DRAFTKINGS (2B) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#5 Mike Moustakas||8.6 DK Points||$4300|
|#6 Hanser Alberto||8.2 DK Points||$4100|
|#7 DJ LeMahieu||8 DK Points||$5100|
|#8 Luis Arraez||8 DK Points||$3900|
|#9 Gleyber Torres||7.9 DK Points||$4800|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||76||3.4||14.5||16.3||8.0||0.8|
|-- Per Game (23 Proj)||3.4||0.15||0.64||0.72||0.36||0.03|
|8/26 to 9/1 (0.9 Games)||3.1||0.14||0.50||0.68||0.29||0.04|
|9/2 to 9/8 (5.4 Games)||18.4||0.78||3.5||3.9||1.9||0.19|
|-- Per Game (123 GP)||3.8||0.20||0.73||0.77||0.33||0.03|
|2018 to 2019||847||39||152||185||77||10|
|-- Per Game (250 GP)||3.4||0.16||0.61||0.74||0.31||0.04|