SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Trevor Bauer was traded to the Reds as part of a three-team deal between the Reds, Indians and Padres yesterday. The Reds acquired Bauer, the Padres acquired Taylor Trammell (the Reds #1 overall prospect), and the Indians acquired Franmil Reyes, Logan Allen, Yasiel Puig, Scott Moss, and Victor Nova. This seems like a good deal for all three teams involved, they all get what they were looking for and give up players that they deemed expendable. The Reds get their ace, the Padres get their possible superstar for a couple lower leverage prospects and the Indians get their big haul with Major League ready players, as well as prospects.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
According to our projection, you can expect Trevor Bauer to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. His 2.08 projected fantasy points puts him at #95 behind Tyler Glasnow and ahead of Dakota Hudson. He has averaged 2.87 fantasy points in his past 58 games, which is more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 0.44 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#101) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 97%, he is the #23 most highly owned starting pitcher. Trevor Bauer is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #90 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (SP)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#93 Francellis Montas (27% OWN)||2.2 FP, 2.4 per game||142 FP, 112 gp, 1.3 per game (#41)|
|#94 Tyler Glasnow (72% OWN)||2.2 FP, 0.95 per game||142 FP, 112 gp, 1.3 per game (#41)|
|#95 Trevor Bauer (97% OWN)||2.1 FP, 0.44 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
|#96 Dakota Hudson (85% OWN)||2 FP, 0.43 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
|#97 Kyle Gibson (88% OWN)||2 FP, 0.4 per game||163 FP, 28 gp, 5.82 per game (#9)|
WEEK 24 FANTASY PROJECTION AND RANK
Trevor Bauer is projected for -0.33 fantasy points which projects to being the #109 ranked starting pitcher. This may be a week you want to sit Trevor Bauer. His rest of season rank is better than his week 23 rank. Trevor Bauer is not expected to be active the rest of week 23.
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (SP)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#107 Drew VerHagen (3% OWN)||-0.32 FP (1% ST)||-1.16 FP|
|#108 Jimmy Nelson (21% OWN)||-0.32 FP (1% ST)||0.04 FP|
|#109 Trevor Bauer (97% OWN)||-0.33 FP (72% ST)||0.44 FP|
|#110 Johnny Cueto (20% OWN)||-0.36 FP (1% ST)||1.25 FP|
|#111 Wei-Yin Chen (0% OWN)||-0.39 FP||-1.28 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and next week. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||2.1||1.5||1.8||30||31||11.5|
|-- Per Game (5 Proj)||0.44||0.32||0.39||6.4||6.5||2.4|
|9/2 to 9/8 (2 Games)||-0.33||0.30||0.38||6.1||7.1||2.6|
|-- Per Game (30 GP)||0.12||0.33||0.40||6.2||7.4||2.5|
|2018 to 2019||166||22||18||356||443||133|
|-- Per Game (58 GP)||2.9||0.38||0.31||6.1||7.6||2.3|