As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Anthony Rendon left yesterday’s game early after being hit by a pitch in the right foot. The extent of the injury is not known and with the Nationals off day today we will not know much until tomorrow.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Based on our latest projection, you can expect Anthony Rendon to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 104.04 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of Alex Bregman making him our #1 ranked third baseman. He has averaged 3.95 fantasy points in his past 254 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.98 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite third baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Anthony Rendon is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #3 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)||104 FP, 3.98 per game||476 FP, 134 gp, 3.55 per game (#4)|
|#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)||93 FP, 3.98 per game||592 FP, 157 gp, 3.77 per game (#2)|
|#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)||87 FP, 3.57 per game||555 FP, 155 gp, 3.58 per game (#3)|
|#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)||84 FP, 3.47 per game||300 FP, 120 gp, 2.5 per game (#16)|
|#5 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)||81 FP, 3.44 per game||444 FP, 144 gp, 3.08 per game (#8)|
WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Anthony Rendon is projected for 3.8 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #5 ranked third baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a slightly below average game with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Matt Chapman but behind Alex Bregman the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#1). He is projected for 25.29 fantasy points.
|9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)||4.42 FP (100% ST)||3.57 FP|
|#4 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)||3.82 FP (100% ST)||3.98 FP|
|#5 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)||3.8 FP (99% ST)||3.98 FP|
|#6 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)||3.79 FP (92% ST)||3.44 FP|
|#7 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)||3.46 FP (97% ST)||3.11 FP|
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#1 Anthony Rendon (100% OWN)||25.3 FP (99% ST)||3.98 FP|
|#2 Alex Bregman (100% OWN)||22.3 FP (100% ST)||3.98 FP|
|#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)||20.4 FP (100% ST)||3.57 FP|
|#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)||19.5 FP (98% ST)||3.47 FP|
|#5 Eugenio Suarez (99% OWN)||19.4 FP (95% ST)||3.11 FP|
ANTHONY RENDON IS A BETTER VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $4.4K THAN ON DRAFTKINGS AT $5.5K ON 9/1
He is a better value on FanDuel than on DraftKings based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 13.1 FD points and is worth $4.4K on FD. On DK he is projected for 9.7 points and is worth -$111 less than $5.5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (3B) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#1 Nolan Arenado||14.8 FD Points||$4600|
|#2 Matt Chapman||13.5 FD Points||$3800|
|#3 Anthony Rendon||13.1 FD Points||$4400|
|#4 Jose Osuna||13 FD Points||$3300|
|#5 Yoan Moncada||12.5 FD Points||$3000|
|DRAFTKINGS (3B) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#1 Nolan Arenado||11 DK Points||$5600|
|#2 Matt Chapman||10.1 DK Points||$4600|
|#3 Anthony Rendon||9.7 DK Points||$5500|
|#4 Alex Bregman||9.4 DK Points||$5300|
|#5 Kris Bryant||9.1 DK Points||$4400|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||104||5.9||21||19.2||10.7||0.7|
|-- Per Game (26 Proj)||4.0||0.23||0.82||0.74||0.41||0.03|
|8/26 to 9/1 (1 Game)||3.8||0.30||0.81||0.64||0.52||0.03|
|9/2 to 9/8 (6.6 Games)||25.3||1.4||5.2||4.6||2.7||0.17|
|-- Per Game (120 GP)||4.4||0.26||0.91||0.83||0.46||0.02|
|2018 to 2019||1004||54||200||186||110||5|
|-- Per Game (254 GP)||4.0||0.21||0.79||0.73||0.43||0.02|