Nick Senzel Leaves Early

SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

Nick Senzel left yesterday’s game in the first inning with an illness. He has missed games in his career before due to vertigo, although that was not specified as the illness. He has an off day today so we will know more about his availability tomorrow.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

According to our projection, you can expect Nick Senzel to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. His 61.15 projected fantasy points puts him at #49 behind Joc Pederson and ahead of Jorge Soler. He has averaged 2.46 fantasy points in his past 96 games, which is slightly less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 2.63 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#97) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 76%, he is the #42 most highly owned outfielder. Nick Senzel is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #71 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (OF) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#47 Alex Gordon (73% OWN)61 FP, 2.78 per game295 FP, 141 gp, 2.09 per game (#85)
#48 Joc Pederson (77% OWN)61 FP, 3.08 per game331 FP, 135 gp, 2.45 per game (#62)
#49 Nick Senzel (76% OWN)61 FP, 2.63 per game331 FP, 135 gp, 2.45 per game (#62)
#50 Jorge Soler (96% OWN)61 FP, 3.25 per game158 FP, 61 gp, 2.58 per game (#45)
#51 Franmil Reyes (73% OWN)61 FP, 3.11 per game181 FP, 86 gp, 2.1 per game (#84)

WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Nick Senzel is projected for 4.19 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #6 ranked outfielder and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Nelson Cruz but behind Bryan Reynolds the rest of the week. Week 24 will not be as good based on projected rank (#47). He is projected for 15.78 fantasy points.

9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#4 Charlie Blackmon4.42 FP (98% ST)3.51 FP
#5 Bryan Reynolds4.33 FP (79% ST)2.99 FP
#6 Nick Senzel4.19 FP (52% ST)2.63 FP
#7 Nelson Cruz4.19 FP (86% ST)3.92 FP
#8 Dexter Fowler4.18 FP (14% ST)2.63 FP
9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#45 Michael Conforto16.4 FP (87% ST)3.4 FP
#46 Justin Upton16.3 FP (54% ST)2.68 FP
#47 Nick Senzel15.8 FP (52% ST)2.63 FP
#48 Greg Allen15.5 FP (3% ST)2.6 FP
#49 Kole Calhoun15.5 FP (58% ST)2.77 FP

NICK SENZEL IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $3.3K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $4K ON 9/1

He is projected for 8.5 FanDuel points and 6.6 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$487 short of $3.3K on FanDuel and -$123 short of $4K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (OF) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#59 Josh Naylor8.6 FD Points$2300
#60 Justin Upton8.6 FD Points$3100
#61 Nick Senzel8.5 FD Points$3300
#62 Oscar Mercado8.5 FD Points$2900
#63 Keon Broxton8.4 FD Points$2000
DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#35 D.J. Stewart6.6 DK Points$3300
#36 Jake Cave6.6 DK Points$4100
#37 Nick Senzel6.6 DK Points$4000
#38 Jake Fraley6.6 DK Points$3000
#39 Victor Robles6.6 DK Points$4000

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

NICK SENZELFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019612.810.212.48.43.0
-- Per Game (23 Proj)2.60.120.440.530.360.13
8/26 to 9/1 (1.9 Games)4.20.140.650.840.640.25
9/2 to 9/8 (6 Games)15.80.752.73.22.10.71
2019 Season2361141532914
-- Per Game (96 GP)2.50.110.430.550.300.15