SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Juan Soto leaves yesterday’s game early after turning his ankle while rounding third base. The X-rays were negative, and he says he is feeling better. He is listed as day-to-day.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Juan Soto to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 92.74 projected fantasy points puts him at #5 behind Nelson Cruz and ahead of George Springer. He has averaged 3.63 fantasy points in his past 238 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.48 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#8) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite outfielder. He is projected to be very good, but not one of the very best at his position. He is also currently the #5 ranked outfielder.
| REST OF SEASON RANK (OF) | PROJECTION | FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018 |
|---|
| #3 Mookie Betts (100% OWN) | 97 FP, 3.85 per game | 594 FP, 136 gp, 4.36 per game (#1) |
| #4 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN) | 96 FP, 3.92 per game | 440 FP, 144 gp, 3.06 per game (#16) |
| #5 Juan Soto (100% OWN) | 93 FP, 3.48 per game | 387 FP, 115 gp, 3.37 per game (#7) |
| #6 George Springer (100% OWN) | 89 FP, 3.73 per game | 421 FP, 138 gp, 3.05 per game (#17) |
| #7 Bryce Harper (100% OWN) | 87 FP, 3.32 per game | 532 FP, 158 gp, 3.37 per game (#6) |
WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Juan Soto is projected for 3.09 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week in week 23 which ranks him as the #25 projected outfielder for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a below average game with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Austin Meadows but behind Shin-Soo Choo the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#5). He is projected for 22.49 fantasy points.
| 9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (OF) | PROJECTION | ROS FP PROJ AVG |
|---|
| #23 Bryce Harper | 3.09 FP (97% ST) | 3.32 FP |
| #24 Shin-Soo Choo | 3.09 FP (73% ST) | 2.9 FP |
| #25 Juan Soto | 3.09 FP (98% ST) | 3.48 FP |
| #26 Austin Meadows | 2.99 FP (89% ST) | 3.2 FP |
| #27 Willie Calhoun | 2.98 FP (70% ST) | 3.19 FP |
| 9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF) | PROJECTION | ROS FP PROJ AVG |
|---|
| #3 Nelson Cruz | 23.9 FP (86% ST) | 3.92 FP |
| #4 Bryce Harper | 22.9 FP (97% ST) | 3.32 FP |
| #5 Juan Soto | 22.5 FP (98% ST) | 3.48 FP |
| #6 Mookie Betts | 22.4 FP (99% ST) | 3.85 FP |
| #7 Rhys Hoskins | 22.2 FP (93% ST) | 3.22 FP |
JUAN SOTO IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $4K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $5.1K ON 9/1
He is projected for 10.9 FanDuel points and 8.1 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$394 short of $4K on FanDuel and -$341 short of $5.1K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
| FANDUEL (OF) 9/1 RANK | PROJECTION | SALARY |
|---|
| #22 Nomar Mazara | 11.3 FD Points | $3000 |
| #23 Shin-Soo Choo | 11.2 FD Points | $3200 |
| #24 Juan Soto | 10.9 FD Points | $4000 |
| #25 Austin Meadows | 10.9 FD Points | $3500 |
| #26 Aaron Judge | 10.8 FD Points | $4400 |
| DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/1 RANK | PROJECTION | SALARY |
|---|
| #16 Shin-Soo Choo | 8.5 DK Points | $4500 |
| #17 Austin Meadows | 8.3 DK Points | $4700 |
| #18 Juan Soto | 8.1 DK Points | $5100 |
| #19 Aaron Judge | 8.1 DK Points | $5200 |
| #20 Thomas Pham | 8 DK Points | $4400 |
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
| JUAN SOTO | FP | HR | RBI | R | BB | SB |
|---|
| Rest of 2019 | 93 | 5.8 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 15.3 | 2.0 |
| -- Per Game (27 Proj) | 3.5 | 0.22 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.08 |
| 8/26 to 9/1 (1 Game) | 3.1 | 0.16 | 0.56 | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.06 |
| 9/2 to 9/8 (6.7 Games) | 22.5 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 0.51 |
| 2019 Season | 477 | 30 | 92 | 92 | 84 | 12 |
| -- Per Game (123 GP) | 3.9 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.10 |
| 2018 to 2019 | 864 | 51 | 160 | 168 | 163 | 17 |
| -- Per Game (238 GP) | 3.6 | 0.21 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.07 |