Juan Soto Leaves Early

SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

Juan Soto leaves yesterday’s game early after turning his ankle while rounding third base. The X-rays were negative, and he says he is feeling better. He is listed as day-to-day.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Juan Soto to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 92.74 projected fantasy points puts him at #5 behind Nelson Cruz and ahead of George Springer. He has averaged 3.63 fantasy points in his past 238 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.48 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#8) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite outfielder. He is projected to be very good, but not one of the very best at his position. He is also currently the #5 ranked outfielder.

REST OF SEASON RANK (OF) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#3 Mookie Betts (100% OWN)97 FP, 3.85 per game594 FP, 136 gp, 4.36 per game (#1)
#4 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)96 FP, 3.92 per game440 FP, 144 gp, 3.06 per game (#16)
#5 Juan Soto (100% OWN)93 FP, 3.48 per game387 FP, 115 gp, 3.37 per game (#7)
#6 George Springer (100% OWN)89 FP, 3.73 per game421 FP, 138 gp, 3.05 per game (#17)
#7 Bryce Harper (100% OWN)87 FP, 3.32 per game532 FP, 158 gp, 3.37 per game (#6)

WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Juan Soto is projected for 3.09 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week in week 23 which ranks him as the #25 projected outfielder for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a below average game with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Austin Meadows but behind Shin-Soo Choo the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#5). He is projected for 22.49 fantasy points.

9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#23 Bryce Harper3.09 FP (97% ST)3.32 FP
#24 Shin-Soo Choo3.09 FP (73% ST)2.9 FP
#25 Juan Soto3.09 FP (98% ST)3.48 FP
#26 Austin Meadows2.99 FP (89% ST)3.2 FP
#27 Willie Calhoun2.98 FP (70% ST)3.19 FP
9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#3 Nelson Cruz23.9 FP (86% ST)3.92 FP
#4 Bryce Harper22.9 FP (97% ST)3.32 FP
#5 Juan Soto22.5 FP (98% ST)3.48 FP
#6 Mookie Betts22.4 FP (99% ST)3.85 FP
#7 Rhys Hoskins22.2 FP (93% ST)3.22 FP

JUAN SOTO IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $4K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $5.1K ON 9/1

He is projected for 10.9 FanDuel points and 8.1 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$394 short of $4K on FanDuel and -$341 short of $5.1K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (OF) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#22 Nomar Mazara11.3 FD Points$3000
#23 Shin-Soo Choo11.2 FD Points$3200
#24 Juan Soto10.9 FD Points$4000
#25 Austin Meadows10.9 FD Points$3500
#26 Aaron Judge10.8 FD Points$4400
DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/1 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#16 Shin-Soo Choo8.5 DK Points$4500
#17 Austin Meadows8.3 DK Points$4700
#18 Juan Soto8.1 DK Points$5100
#19 Aaron Judge8.1 DK Points$5200
#20 Thomas Pham8 DK Points$4400

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

JUAN SOTOFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019935.818.017.815.32.0
-- Per Game (27 Proj)3.50.220.670.670.570.08
8/26 to 9/1 (1 Game)3.10.160.560.640.520.06
9/2 to 9/8 (6.7 Games)22.51.34.34.33.80.51
2019 Season4773092928412
-- Per Game (123 GP)3.90.240.750.750.680.10
2018 to 20198645116016816317
-- Per Game (238 GP)3.60.210.670.710.680.07