As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Nelson Cruz left a game over the weekend early after being hit by a pitch on the wrist. He will not need surgery and he should be back in action as soon as possible. He was put on the IL but he should be back after the minimum.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Based on our latest projection, you can expect Nelson Cruz to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 95.85 projected fantasy points puts him at #4 behind Mookie Betts and ahead of Juan Soto. He has averaged 3.42 fantasy points in his past 242 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.92 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#3) is better than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #22 most highly owned outfielder. Nelson Cruz is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #15 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#2 Mike Trout (100% OWN)||97 FP, 4.17 per game||541 FP, 139 gp, 3.89 per game (#3)|
|#3 Mookie Betts (100% OWN)||97 FP, 3.85 per game||594 FP, 136 gp, 4.36 per game (#1)|
|#4 Nelson Cruz (98% OWN)||96 FP, 3.92 per game||440 FP, 144 gp, 3.06 per game (#16)|
|#5 Juan Soto (100% OWN)||93 FP, 3.48 per game||387 FP, 115 gp, 3.37 per game (#7)|
|#6 George Springer (100% OWN)||89 FP, 3.73 per game||421 FP, 138 gp, 3.05 per game (#17)|
WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Nelson Cruz is projected for 4.19 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #7 ranked outfielder and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a slightly better than average game with more fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Dexter Fowler but behind Nick Senzel the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#3). He is projected for 23.93 fantasy points.
|9/1 TO 9/1 RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#5 Bryan Reynolds||4.33 FP (79% ST)||2.99 FP|
|#6 Nick Senzel||4.19 FP (52% ST)||2.63 FP|
|#7 Nelson Cruz||4.19 FP (86% ST)||3.92 FP|
|#8 Dexter Fowler||4.18 FP (14% ST)||2.63 FP|
|#9 Christian Yelich||4.1 FP (99% ST)||3.96 FP|
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#1 Mike Trout||24.8 FP (99% ST)||4.17 FP|
|#2 Willie Calhoun||24.1 FP (70% ST)||3.19 FP|
|#3 Nelson Cruz||23.9 FP (86% ST)||3.92 FP|
|#4 Bryce Harper||22.9 FP (97% ST)||3.32 FP|
|#5 Juan Soto||22.5 FP (98% ST)||3.48 FP|
NELSON CRUZ IS A BETTER VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $4K THAN ON DRAFTKINGS AT $5.6K ON 9/1
He is a better value on FanDuel than on DraftKings based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 14.7 FD points and is worth +$864 more than $4K on FD. On DK he is projected for 10.9 points and is worth +$805 more than $5.6K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (OF) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#4 Bryan Reynolds||15 FD Points||$3900|
|#5 Christian Yelich||14.9 FD Points||$4600|
|#6 Nelson Cruz||14.7 FD Points||$4000|
|#7 Mookie Betts||13.8 FD Points||$3800|
|#8 Yordan Alvarez||13.4 FD Points||$4100|
|DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/1 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#3 Charlie Blackmon||11.4 DK Points||$5800|
|#4 Christian Yelich||11.2 DK Points||$5300|
|#5 Nelson Cruz||10.9 DK Points||$5600|
|#6 Yordan Alvarez||10 DK Points||$5700|
|#7 George Springer||9.8 DK Points||$5400|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||96||7.8||23||16.9||10.4||0.1|
|-- Per Game (24 Proj)||3.9||0.32||0.94||0.69||0.43||0.01|
|8/26 to 9/1 (1 Game)||4.2||0.30||1.0||0.71||0.44||0.00|
|9/2 to 9/8 (6.4 Games)||23.9||1.9||5.8||4.2||2.6||0.03|
|-- Per Game (98 GP)||4.0||0.35||0.91||0.66||0.45||0.00|
|2018 to 2019||828||71||186||135||99||1|
|-- Per Game (242 GP)||3.4||0.29||0.77||0.56||0.41||0.00|