As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE
Matt Chapman was hit by a pitch in the head during last night’s game and was removed. He escaped without any concussion symptoms and it is listed as a head contusion. He will most likely sit out today’s game but he could be back in the lineup for their next game.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Matt Chapman to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 77.74 projected fantasy points puts him at #6 behind Kris Bryant and ahead of Mike Moustakas. He has averaged 3.21 fantasy points in his past 273 games, which is slightly less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.44 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#7) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #8 most highly owned third baseman. Matt Chapman is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #7 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)||80 FP, 3.43 per game||300 FP, 120 gp, 2.5 per game (#15)|
|#5 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)||78 FP, 3.12 per game||306 FP, 101 gp, 3.03 per game (#9)|
|#6 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)||78 FP, 3.44 per game||444 FP, 144 gp, 3.08 per game (#7)|
|#7 Mike Moustakas (99% OWN)||71 FP, 3.21 per game||430 FP, 151 gp, 2.85 per game (#12)|
|#8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (98% OWN)||69 FP, 3.06 per game||430 FP, 151 gp, 2.85 per game (#12)|
WEEK 24 AND 25 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Matt Chapman is projected for 19.68 fantasy points in 5 games which is good enough to be the #5 ranked third baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Kris Bryant but behind Rafael Devers. Week 25 will be slightly worse based on projected rank (#6). He is projected for 19.99 fantasy points.
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#3 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)||20.4 FP (100% ST)||3.6 FP|
|#4 Rafael Devers (100% OWN)||19.8 FP (96% ST)||3.43 FP|
|#5 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)||19.7 FP (91% ST)||3.44 FP|
|#6 Kris Bryant (100% OWN)||18.5 FP (98% ST)||3.12 FP|
|#7 Justin Turner (98% OWN)||17.9 FP (92% ST)||3.13 FP|
|9/9 TO 9/15 RANK (3B)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#4 Nolan Arenado (100% OWN)||21.4 FP (100% ST)||3.6 FP|
|#5 Mike Moustakas (99% OWN)||20.6 FP (73% ST)||3.21 FP|
|#6 Matt Chapman (99% OWN)||20 FP (91% ST)||3.44 FP|
|#7 Justin Turner (98% OWN)||18.5 FP (92% ST)||3.13 FP|
|#8 Josh Donaldson (99% OWN)||18.5 FP (93% ST)||2.83 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||78||4.9||14.7||15.6||9.1||0.3|
|-- Per Game (23 Proj)||3.4||0.22||0.65||0.69||0.40||0.01|
|9/2 to 9/8 (5.4 Games)||19.7||1.3||3.7||4.0||2.2||0.06|
|9/9 to 9/15 (6.4 Games)||20.0||1.3||3.7||4.1||2.6||0.06|
|-- Per Game (129 GP)||3.3||0.23||0.58||0.67||0.45||0.01|
|2018 to 2019||876||54||144||187||116||2|
|-- Per Game (273 GP)||3.2||0.20||0.53||0.68||0.42||0.01|