Alcides Escobar Was a Solid Contributor in Fantasy

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Alcides Escobar was not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He was the #168 ranked fantasy player this season and the #19 SS. Even though he missed plenty of games he played enough so that his overall fantasy rank was better than what it was based on average fantasy points (#28 SS). He was trending up for the season. In his first 45 games he averaged 1.9 FPs. He improved to 2.1 in his final 46 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.28 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 1.7 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 10 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Escobar is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His average fantasy points decreased by 15% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points237314
FP Average1.72
Regular Season GP139161
AVG0.2290.251
OPS0.5880.631
HR46
RBI3453
R5471
SB84
BB2915
KO74101

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 8.8 fantasy points per week and had 5 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 3 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL8.8 FP per Week35
Week 12 (2 games 1 per game)-6.8
Week 26.5 (5 games 1.3 per game)
Week 311.5 (6 games 1.9 per game)
Week 419 (7 games 2.7 per game)+10.2
Week 511.5 (7 games 1.6 per game)
Week 616.5 (7 games 2.4 per game)+7.7
Week 713 (6 games 2.2 per game)
Week 86 (6 games 1 per game)
Week 910 (7 games 1.4 per game)
Week 1016.5 (6 games 2.8 per game)+7.7
Week 118 (7 games 1.1 per game)
Week 120.5 (5 games 0.1 per game)-8.3
Week 135.5 (6 games 0.9 per game)
Week 141 (6 games 0.2 per game)-7.8
Week 156 (5 games 1.2 per game)
Week 168 (5 games 1.6 per game)
Week 178 (3 games 2.7 per game)
Week 180.5 (6 games 0.1 per game)-8.3
Week 199.5 (4 games 2.4 per game)
Week 2013 (4 games 3.2 per game)
Week 2110.5 (5 games 2.1 per game)
Week 229.5 (5 games 1.9 per game)
Week 237 (2 games 3.5 per game)
Week 242 (4 games 0.5 per game)-6.8
Week 2512 (5 games 2.4 per game)
Week 2612.5 (5 games 2.5 per game)
Week 2711 (3 games 3.7 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 6.7 FD points and 5.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 15 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All6.7 ($2.3K)21 G, 45 B5.2 ($2.8K)25 G, 34 B
9/30 CLE3 ($2.3K)-3.73 ($2.7K)--
9/29 CLE18.9 ($2.3K)+12.215 ($2.7K)+9.8
9/26 @CIN12.7 ($2.2K)+69 ($3.3K)+3.8
9/23 @DET9.2 ($2.2K)--8 ($3K)+2.8
9/21 @DET6.2 ($2.2K)--5 ($2.8K)--
9/20 @DET15.2 ($2.2K)+8.513 ($2.8K)+7.8
9/19 @PIT3 ($2.2K)-3.73 ($2.8K)--
9/18 @PIT6 ($2.2K)--5 ($2.8K)--
9/16 MIN0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
9/15 MIN34.9 ($2.1K)+28.226 ($2.8K)+20.8
9/13 MIN0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.9K)-5.2
9/12 CHW3 ($2.1K)-3.72 ($2.9K)-3.2
9/10 CHW6.5 ($2.1K)--4 ($2.9K)--
9/7 @MIN3 ($2.1K)-3.73 ($3K)--
9/5 @CLE0 ($2K)-6.70 ($3K)-5.2
9/4 @CLE6 ($2K)--6 ($2.9K)--
9/3 @CLE9 ($2K)--6 ($3.2K)--
9/2 BAL18.7 ($2K)+1215 ($2.8K)+9.8
8/28 DET3.5 ($2K)--2 ($3K)-3.2
8/26 CLE9 ($2K)--8 ($2.8K)+2.8
8/23 @TB6.2 ($2.1K)--4 ($2.9K)--
8/22 @TB6 ($2.1K)--5 ($3K)--
8/21 @TB9 ($2.3K)--8 ($2.9K)+2.8
8/20 @TB3 ($2.3K)-3.73 ($3.1K)--
8/18 @CHW12.5 ($2.1K)+5.88 ($3.1K)+2.8
8/17 @CHW15.2 ($2.3K)+8.512 ($2.9K)+6.8
8/15 TOR6.5 ($2.2K)--5 ($2.9K)--
8/14 TOR9.2 ($2.3K)--7 ($3K)--
8/13 TOR0 ($2.4K)-6.70 ($3K)-5.2
8/12 STL0 ($2.4K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
8/11 STL31.4 ($2.4K)+24.723 ($2.6K)+17.8
8/7 CHC12 ($2.3K)+5.38 ($2.8K)+2.8
8/6 CHC6.5 ($2.1K)--5 ($2.7K)--
8/5 @MIN15.4 ($2.1K)+8.712 ($2.7K)+6.8
8/4 @MIN0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
8/2 @CHW12.2 ($2K)+5.510 ($2.8K)+4.8
8/1 @CHW6.2 ($2.1K)--4 ($2.7K)--
7/29 @NYY0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.8K)-5.2
7/28 @NYY3 ($2.1K)-3.72 ($2.7K)-3.2
7/28 @NYY0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
7/25 DET3 ($2.1K)-3.73 ($2.6K)--
7/24 DET9 ($2.3K)--6 ($2.7K)--
7/23 DET0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($2.9K)-5.2
7/22 MIN9.2 ($2.2K)--7 ($2.7K)--
7/21 MIN6.2 ($2.2K)--4 ($2.7K)--
7/20 MIN9.2 ($2.2K)--8 ($2.6K)+2.8
7/14 @CHW9 ($2.2K)--6 ($2.7K)--
7/13 @CHW3.5 ($2.4K)--2 ($2.8K)-3.2
7/11 @MIN6 ($2.3K)--5 ($2.7K)--
7/10 @MIN9.2 ($2.2K)--8 ($2.6K)+2.8
7/9 @MIN9.5 ($2.2K)--7 ($2.6K)--
7/7 BOS6 ($2.1K)--5 ($2.6K)--
7/6 BOS6.5 ($2.1K)--5 ($2.6K)--
7/4 CLE6.2 ($2K)--5 ($2.6K)--
7/3 CLE3 ($2.1K)-3.73 ($2.6K)--
7/2 CLE0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
7/1 @SEA0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
6/30 @SEA0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
6/29 @SEA0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
6/27 @MIL6.2 ($2.3K)--5 ($2.6K)--
6/26 @MIL0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
6/25 LAA3 ($2.1K)-3.72 ($2.7K)-3.2
6/24 @HOU0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
6/23 @HOU0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.7K)-5.2
6/22 @HOU15 ($2.1K)+8.312 ($2.6K)+6.8
6/20 TEX3 ($2.3K)-3.72 ($2.6K)-3.2
6/19 TEX0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($2.6K)-5.2
6/18 TEX6.2--5--
6/17 HOU3.5--2--
6/16 HOU0--0--
6/15 HOU0--0--
6/13 CIN3--3--
6/12 CIN0--0--
6/10 @OAK0--0--
6/9 @OAK3--2--
6/8 @OAK0--0--
6/7 @OAK18.7--14--
6/6 @LAA0--0--
6/5 @LAA0--0--
6/4 @LAA15.7--10--
6/3 OAK3--3--
6/2 OAK15.7--12--
6/1 OAK3--3--
5/30 MIN6.2--5--
5/29 MIN21.7--17--
5/28 MIN6.2--4--
5/27 @TEX0--0--
5/26 @TEX6.2--5--
5/25 @TEX3--2--
5/24 @TEX6.2--5--
5/23 @STL3--3--
5/22 @STL18.7--15--
5/21 @STL0--0--
5/20 NYY0--0--
5/19 NYY6.2--5--
5/18 NYY3--3--
5/16 TB3.5--2--
5/15 TB6--6--
5/14 TB6 ($2.2K)--5 ($3K)--
5/13 @CLE0 ($2.1K)-6.70 ($2.8K)-5.2
5/12 @CLE0 ($2.2K)-6.70-5.2
5/11 @CLE26.2 ($2.3K)+19.518 ($3K)+12.8
5/10 @BAL3.2 ($2.4K)-3.52 ($3.1K)-3.2
5/9 @BAL3 ($2.4K)-3.73 ($3K)--
5/8 @BAL12.4 ($2.5K)+5.710 ($3K)+4.8
5/6 DET3 ($2.9K)-3.73 ($3K)--
5/5 DET3 ($2.7K)-3.72 ($3K)-3.2
5/4 DET15.2 ($2.7K)+8.510 ($3K)+4.8
5/3 DET6.2 ($2.5K)--5 ($2.9K)--
5/2 @BOS6.2 ($2.6K)--5--
5/1 @BOS3.5 ($2.4K)--4 ($2.9K)--
4/30 @BOS24.9 ($2.4K)+18.219 ($2.8K)+13.8
4/29 CHW12.2--9--
4/28 CHW3 ($2.4K)-3.73 ($2.8K)--
4/28 CHW3 ($2.4K)-3.72 ($2.8K)-3.2
4/27 CHW3 ($2.4K)-3.73 ($2.8K)--
4/26 CHW6.5 ($2.4K)--5 ($3.1K)--
4/25 MIL6 ($2.6K)--5 ($2.8K)--
4/24 MIL3.5 ($2.6K)--2 ($2.8K)-3.2
4/22 @DET3 ($2.6K)-3.73 ($2.8K)--
4/21 @DET12.2 ($2.5K)+5.510 ($2.6K)+4.8
4/20 @DET9.2 ($2.6K)--7 ($2.8K)--
4/20 @DET3.2 ($2.6K)-3.52 ($2.8K)-3.2
4/18 @TOR9.2 ($2.5K)--7 ($2.9K)--
4/17 @TOR3 ($2.5K)-3.72-3.2
4/17 @TOR21.7 ($2.5K)+1517+11.8
4/14 LAA0 ($2.5K)-6.70 ($2.9K)-5.2
4/13 LAA12.2 ($2.5K)+5.59 ($3.1K)+3.8
4/12 LAA6 ($2.6K)--4 ($3K)--
4/11 SEA0 ($2.5K)-6.70 ($3K)-5.2
4/10 SEA6 ($2.2K)--5 ($3K)--
4/9 SEA16.2 ($2.3K)+9.511 ($3K)+5.8
4/8 @CLE0 ($2.2K)-6.70 ($3.2K)-5.2
4/7 @CLE9 ($2.3K)--6 ($3.1K)--
4/6 @CLE0 ($2.3K)-6.70 ($2.9K)-5.2
4/3 @DET3 ($2.2K)-3.73--
4/2 @DET18.2 ($2.2K)+11.515 ($3.2K)+9.8
3/31 CHW0 ($2.3K)-6.70 ($3.3K)-5.2
3/29 CHW6.2 ($2.3K)--4 ($3.1K)--