Arodys Vizcaino Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Our projections run counter to general expectations. Arodys Vizcaino is projected to be a top tier fantasy reliever. As of 4/13, Arodys Vizcaino is the #21 ranked reliever based on ownership percentage (74%). He is projected to be the #15 reliever. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better reliever option available. He is projected for 216 fantasy points in 63 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#19) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Arodys Vizcaino behind Smith and above Robertson but the projections rank Arodys Vizcaino over Smith.

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Lower Own%A. Vizcaino ROSHigher Own%
B. Morrow (250 FP)216 FPW. Smith (175 FP)
R. Brasier (257 FP)#21 RelieverC. Kimbrel (197 FP)
 
 
C. Allen (201 FP)
 
 
K. Yates (205 FP)
 
 
S. Greene (173 FP)
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
216 (#15) 
Saves 
30 (#17) 
Holds 
 
3 (#186)
Strikeouts 
 
69 (#54)
Walks 
 
26 (#42)
ERA 
2.37 (#20) 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among relievers for the rest of week 3 is #18, which is better than his market rank of #21. Week 4 relievers comparisons show these are 4 better options at lower start percentages: Anthony Swarzak (9.4 FP), Pedro Strop (11.9 FP), Blake Parker (10.3 FP), and Ryan Brasier (9.2 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other relievers starting in more leagues: Will Smith (6.2 FP) and Raisel Iglesias (7.8 FP). Starting in 59% of leagues he is expected to produce 8.7 fantasy points (WK 4). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 reliever of the week, but he is projected to be the #22 reliever.

Lower Start%A. Vizcaino WK 4Higher Start%
A. Swarzak (9 FP)8 FPW. Smith (6 FP)
P. Strop (12 FP)#20 RelieverR. Iglesias (8 FP)
B. Parker (10 FP) 
 
R. Brasier (9 FP) 
 

He is projected for 8.2 fantasy points in week 4 (#22 RP) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
8.15 (#22) 
Saves 
1.14 (#24) 
Holds 
 
0.12 (#188)
Strikeouts 
 
2.94 (#47)
Walks 
 
1.1 (#38)

  • Based on 4/13 start percentages, Arodys Vizcaino is valued behind Iglesias and above Holland but the projections rank Arodys Vizcaino over Iglesias in week 4.
  • Apr 16Apr 17Apr 18Apr 19Apr 20Apr 21
    1.4 FP vs ARI1.7 FP vs ARI1.6 FP vs ARI1.1 FP @CLE1.2 FP @CLE1.2 FP @CLE

    Arodys Vizcaino last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    4/7 vs MIA6 FP, 9 FD, 6 DK1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 1 HA, 0 BBI
    4/5 vs MIA-1 FP, 9 FD, 4 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 HA, 2 BBI
    4/3 vs CHC8 FP, 9 FD, 6 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 HA, 1 BBI, SAVE
    4/1 vs CHC0 FP, 6 FD, 4 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 HA, 0 BBI, SAVE
    10/7 vs LAD8 FP, 12 FD, 7 DK1 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 1 HA, 1 BBI, WIN

    Vizcaino is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.