Bet on the New York Yankees to Win Over 96.5 Games in 2019

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND 2019 OUTLOOK

The regular season went as expected. They won 100 games vs an expected win total of 100. They went 47-34 on the road and were expected to win 46.9. They won 53 at home and were expected to win 53. Expect a similar record next season. In our latest simulations they are averaging 102 wins and are projected to finish first in the American League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #3 ranked Red Sox who are projected for 100.1 wins. They are a contender with a 15.2% chance of winning the World Series based on simulations and a 25% chance of reaching the Series. Even with the juice, they are a good futures betting value with championship odds of 6/1, 14.3% and odds to win the AL at 11/4, 26.7%. They are the favorite to win the AL East at 53.5% but they are not a good value to win the division at 4/5 (55.6%) odds.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.05 which ranks #3 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #4 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 167 Games5.2 (#2)0.248 (#8)0.597 (#7)
Road4.9 (#4)0.238 (#10)0.574 (#9)
Home5.5 (#2)0.258 (#5)0.620 (#4)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.1 (#6)0.237 (#5)0.576 (#4)
Road3.8 (#2)0.223 (#20.565 (#3)
Home4.5 (#8)0.250 (#10)0.586 (#10)

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Yankees in all of their games would be down -179 units. Against the run line, they have lost -118 units risking 100 units on each pick (83-79 PL). The Yankees have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games5.3 - 4.1100-62, -17983-79, -11878-77 50.3% Over
On Road4.9 - 3.947-34, -17944-37, +24135-42 54.5% Under
At Home5.6 - 4.353-28, -13839-42, -35843-35 55.1% Over
9/30 @BOS2-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
9/29 @BOS8-5Win +150Covered +1.5Over 9.5
9/28 @BOS11-6Win +67Covered -1.5Over 9.5
9/27 @TB12-1Win +68Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/26 @TB7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
9/25 @TB9-2Win +45Covered -1.5Over 8
9/24 @TB4-1Win +88Covered -1.5Under 8.5
9/23 BAL3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
9/22 BAL3-2Win +30Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
9/21 BAL10-8Win +30Covered -1.5Over 9
9/20 BOS6-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
9/19 BOS10-1Win +67Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/18 BOS3-2Win +61Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
9/16 TOR2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
9/15 TOR7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
9/14 TOR11-0Win +33Covered -1.5Over 9
9/12 @MIN1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
9/11 @MIN5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
9/10 @MIN7-2Win +59Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/9 @SEA2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
9/8 @SEA4-2Win +79Covered -1.5Under 8.5
9/7 @SEA4-0Win +100Covered +1.5Under 7.5
9/5 @OAK2-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
9/4 @OAK5-1Win +83Covered -1.5Under 8
9/3 @OAK3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/2 DET7-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
9/1 DET2-1Win +29Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/31 DET7-5Win +26Covered -1.5Over 8
8/30 DET7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/29 CHW1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
8/28 CHW5-4Win +43Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
8/27 CHW2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/26 @BAL5-3Win +36Covered -1.5Under 8.5
8/25 @BAL5-1Win +51Covered -1.5Under 9
8/25 @BAL10-3Win +40Covered -1.5Over 9
8/24 @BAL7-5Win +53Covered -1.5Over 9
8/22 @MIA3-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
8/21 @MIA2-1Win +48Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/19 TOR10-2Win +38Covered -1.5Over 8.5
8/18 TOR11-6Win +32Covered -1.5Over 9
8/17 TOR7-5Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9
8/16 TB1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/15 TB1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/14 TB4-1Win +51Covered -1.5Under 8.5
8/13 NYM5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
8/12 TEX7-2Win +47Covered -1.5Push 9
8/11 TEX5-3Win +44Covered -1.5Under 9.5
8/10 TEX7-12Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/9 TEX7-3Win +45Covered -1.5Over 9.5
8/8 @CHW7-3Win +40Covered -1.5Over 8.5
8/7 @CHW4-3Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/6 @CHW7-0Win +51Covered -1.5Under 9.5
8/5 @BOS4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Push 9
8/4 @BOS1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
8/3 @BOS1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/2 @BOS7-15Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 10
8/1 BAL5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
7/31 BAL6-3Win +32Covered -1.5Over 8.5
7/29 KC6-3Win +31Covered -1.5Push 9
7/28 KC5-4Win +33Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/28 KC5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
7/26 KC7-2Win +36Covered -1.5Under 9.5
7/25 @TB2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
7/24 @TB4-0Win +48Covered -1.5Under 7.5
7/23 @TB6-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
7/21 NYM7-6Win +40Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
7/20 NYM5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
7/15 @CLE2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
7/14 @CLE5-4Win +95Covered +1.5Push 9
7/13 @CLE5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
7/12 @CLE7-4Win +77Covered -1.5Over 7.5
7/11 @BAL9-0Win +59Covered -1.5Push 9
7/10 @BAL5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
7/9 @BAL10-2Win +53Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/9 @BAL4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
7/8 @TOR2-1Win +63Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
7/7 @TOR8-5Win +49Covered -1.5Over 7.5
7/6 @TOR2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/4 ATL6-2Win +47Covered -1.5Under 9.5
7/3 ATL8-5Win +67Covered -1.5Over 9
7/2 ATL3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/1 BOS11-1Win +56Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/30 BOS0-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
6/29 BOS8-1Win +83Covered -1.5Under 9.5
6/27 @PHI0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
6/26 @PHI6-0Win +54Covered -1.5Under 7.5
6/25 @PHI4-2Win +68Covered -1.5Under 8
6/24 @TB6-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
6/23 @TB0-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
6/22 @TB1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
6/21 SEA4-3Win +51Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
6/20 SEA7-5Win +49Covered -1.5Over 10
6/19 SEA7-2Win +57Covered -1.5Under 9.5
6/18 @WAS3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/18 @WAS4-2Win +79Covered -1.5Under 8.5
6/17 TB1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/16 TB4-1Win +29Covered -1.5Under 8
6/15 TB5-0Win +47Covered -1.5Under 9
6/14 TB4-3Win +60Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/13 WAS4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/12 WAS3-0Win +69Covered -1.5Under 9
6/10 @NYM0-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7
6/9 @NYM4-3Win +63Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/8 @NYM4-1Win +86Covered +1.5Under 7
6/6 @TOR3-0Win +66Covered -1.5Under 9.5
6/5 @TOR7-2Win +71Covered -1.5Under 9.5
6/4 @DET2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
6/4 @DET7-4Win +35Covered -1.5Over 9
6/2 @BAL8-5Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9
6/1 @BAL4-1Win +53Covered -1.5Under 10
5/30 HOU5-3Win +56Covered -1.5Push 8
5/29 HOU6-5Win +110Covered +1.5Over 9
5/28 HOU1-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
5/27 LAA3-1Win +62Covered -1.5Under 8
5/26 LAA4-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
5/25 LAA2-1Win +43Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
5/23 @TEX10-12Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/22 @TEX4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/21 @TEX10-5Win +48Covered -1.5Over 9.5
5/20 @KC10-1Win +56Covered -1.5Over 9
5/19 @KC8-3Win +34Covered -1.5Over 8
5/18 @KC2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
5/13 OAK6-2Win +33Covered -1.5Under 8.5
5/12 OAK7-6Win +51Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/11 OAK5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/10 BOS4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
5/9 BOS9-6Win +71Covered -1.5Over 8.5
5/8 BOS3-2Win +44Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
5/6 CLE7-4Win +78Covered -1.5Over 9
5/5 CLE5-2Win +93Covered -1.5Under 9
5/4 CLE7-6Win +50Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10.5
5/3 @HOU6-5Win +105Covered +1.5Over 8
5/2 @HOU4-0Win +83Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/1 @HOU4-0Win +158Covered +1.5Under 8.5
4/30 @HOU1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
4/29 @LAA2-1Win +115Covered +1.5Under 9
4/28 @LAA11-1Win +95Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/27 @LAA4-3Win +68Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/26 MIN4-3Win +48Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
4/25 MIN7-4Win +57Covered -1.5Over 9
4/24 MIN8-3Win +68Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/23 MIN14-1Win +49Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/22 TOR5-1Win +42Covered -1.5Under 8.5
4/21 TOR9-1Win +60Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/20 TOR5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
4/19 TOR4-3Win +64Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
4/17 MIA1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/16 MIA12-1Win +30Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/13 @DET8-6Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9
4/12 @BOS3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
4/11 @BOS10-7Win +91Covered -1.5Over 8
4/10 @BOS1-14Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7
4/8 BAL7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
4/7 BAL8-3Win +43Covered -1.5Over 9.5
4/6 BAL3-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/5 BAL2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/4 TB7-2Win +37Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/3 TB11-4Win +56Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/1 @TOR4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
3/31 @TOR3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
3/30 @TOR4-2Win +72Covered -1.5Under 8.5
3/29 @TOR6-1Win +62Covered -1.5Under 8.5